Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 83, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Nov 16, 2004, 4:31 PM CST for Kimble County, Menard County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2004, 4:31 PM CST (22:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2004, 10:30 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Kimble County, TX, Menard County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 566 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 192 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 311 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS54 KSJT 162244
FFWSJT
TXC267-327-170430-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
431 PM CST TUE NOV 16 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
KIMBLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JUNCTION
MENARD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MENARD
* UNTIL 1030 PM CST
* AT 430 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
ALSO...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE NORTH
ACROSS KIMBLE AND MENARD COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING. ONE TO THREE
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH THESE STORMS.
RUNOFF FROM THIS RAIN IS CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE
CREEKS AND STREAMS RUNNING INTO THE LLANO RIVER. SEVERAL ROADS ARE
ALREADY CLOSED SINCE YESTERDAY. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE TO AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING PROBLEMS.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TELEGRAPH...SEGOVIA...ROOSEVELT...LONDON...HEXT...FORT MCKAVETT AND
JUNCTION.
FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.
IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN.
LAT...LON 3029 10012 3108 10010 3108 9960 3094 9960
3093 9948 3051 9948 3050 9931 3028 9931
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Nov 16, 2:53 PM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 2:53 PM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 253 PM CST TUE NOV 16 2004 .SHORT TERM... UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER SOUTHERN AZ/NM BORDER HAVING EDGED A LITTLE FURTHER EAST THAN AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY. GOOD LINE OF ONGOING CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN CONCHO VALLEY AND WESTERN HEARTLAND SOUTH INTO THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED IN EXTREME WEST TEXAS BY LATE THIS EVENING WITH A NORTH/SOUTH RAINFALL BAND ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL FORECAST AREA. RAINFALL BAND WILL PUSH ACROSS THE CWA OVERNIGHT ENDING WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. WILL LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS FOR TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...EVENING CREW WILL TWEAK PER LATEST TRENDS. WILL LEAVE MENTION OF RESIDUAL MOISTURE IN THE NORTHERN COUNTIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS LOW LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. && .LONG TERM... UPPER LOW WILL DE-AMPLIFY AS IT LIFTS INTO THE BROAD UPPER FLOW BY FRIDAY AS LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH TAKES SHAPE OVER THE WESTERN STATES. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING...HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWNWARD ACCORDINGLY. MODELS HINT AT SLIGHT CHANCE OF MOISTURE THIS WEEKEND...AM HESITANT IN TAMPERING TOO MUCH WITH THE EXTENDED AS BEST MOISTURE SHOULD BE SHUNTED EAST OF THE AREA BY THIS WEEKEND. WILL THEREFORE WILL NOT MENTION RAINFALL IN THE EXTENDED ATTM. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ABILENE 57 65 51 68 / 100 90 30 10 SAN ANGELO 56 66 51 69 / 100 50 30 10 JUNCTION 59 68 52 71 / 90 80 30 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. && 99/99
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 2:25 PM CST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 225 PM CST TUE NOV 16 2004 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-172030- BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-CROCKETT TX- FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-KIMBLE TX-MASON TX- MCCULLOCH TX-MENARD TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-SAN SABA TX-SCHLEICHER TX- SHACKELFORD TX-STERLING TX-SUTTON TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX- TOM GREEN TX- 225 PM CST TUE NOV 16 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED...SOME FLOODING IS LIKELY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN TONIGHT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY THIS EVENING...WITH STRONG WINDS THE MAJOR THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WEDNESDAY WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF BY LATE WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 16, 11:54 AM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1154 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1105 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 S OZONA 30.57N 101.20W
11/16/2004 CROCKETT TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION IN CROCKETT COUNTY
REPORTED ROAD CLOSURES ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 163 AND RANCH
ROAD 2083 DUE TO WATER OVER THE ROAD.
&&
HG/JJLocal storm report, Nov 16, 1:55 PM CST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
155 PM CST TUE NOV 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM FLASH FLOOD 14 NE JUNCTION 30.63N 99.60W
11/16/2004 KIMBLE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
KIMBLE COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTED 5 FEET OF
WATER OVER RANCH ROAD 385 NEAR US HIGHWAY 377.
&&
HG/JJThe office that day
Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 7:21 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Crockett | 6 hr |
| Nov 16, 10:45 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard | 6 hr |
| Nov 16, 5:12 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Sutton | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.