Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
100 PM CDT FRI SEP 24 2004

.DISCUSSION...

PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS NORTH OF
IVANS CENTER OF CIRCULATION...JUST TO THE SOUTH OF LUFKIN TEXAS.
WIDESPREAD TWO TO THREE INCH RAIN TOTALS HAVE FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST TEXAS WITH A GAUGE SITE NEAR LUFKIN TEXAS WITH OVER 8
INCHES SINCE 700 AM THIS MORNING. WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING...
HAVE ISSUED A FFA FOR OUR SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
OUR WESTERN HALF OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. MORE ON THIS INCREASING
FLOODING THREAT IN THE AFTERNOON DISCUSSION.

UPDATED ZONES ALREADY SENT...13.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  81  66  83  63 /  80  60  50  20
MLU  85  67  85  63 /  40  40  50  20
TXK  83  65  83  61 /  50  50  50  20
TYR  80  66  82  63 /  80  70  50  20
LFK  80  68  84  65 /  80  70  50  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...FFA IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...LAZ001>003-010-011-017-018-
OK...NONE.
TX...FFA IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...TXZ108>112-124>126-136>138-
149>153-165>167-

&&

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT FRI SEP 24 2004

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1200 PM CDT FRI SEP 24 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF EAST CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS...AS WELL AS EXTREME NORTHWEST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
PINEY WOODS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...CLOSER TO THE REMNANTS OF IVAN.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND EXTREME NORTHWEST LOUISIANA WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF IVAN WILL
BEGIN TO TAPER OFF OVER THE LOWER HALF OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH
LOUISIANA EARLY SATURDAY...BUT CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
EAST TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION. BY LATE SATURDAY RAIN CHANCES TAPER OFF OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS
...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...DELAYING UNTIL
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR NORTH LOUISIANA AS THE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTH.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS...SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1133 AM CDT FRI SEP 24 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1114 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LUFKIN                  31.33N 94.73W
09/24/2004                   ANGELINA           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING IN THE CITY OF LUFKIN.

1125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LUFKIN                  31.33N 94.73W
09/24/2004                   ANGELINA           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POLICE IN LUFKIN REPORT STREETS BEING CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

03