Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 215, NWS Springfield, MO

July 2, 2004Dallas County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2004, 8:16 PM CDT for Dallas County, Missouri. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 2, 2004, 8:16 PM CDT (01:16 UTC)
Expired: Jul 2, 2004, 9:00 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Dallas County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 548 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 767 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 156 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 212 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 030116
SVRSGF
MOC059-030200-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
816 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* AT 814 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF FAIR GROVE...OR
  17 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOLIVAR...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  DALLAS COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF OLIVE...FOOSE...MARCH...
  CHARITY AND LONG LANE.

THIS STORM HAS EXHIBITED SOME WEAK ROTATION. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP
QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3780 9320 3743 9319 3742 9309 3749 9307
      3751 9287 3784 9287

$$

LINDENBERG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 2, 3:25 PM CDT, 4 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 3:25 PM CDT, 4 hours 51 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
325 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2004

.DISCUSSION...
BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS SPIRALING AROUND THE UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN
KS. ONE SUCH BAND IS MOVING NORTHEAST OF THE CWA...WHILE ADDTIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED SOUTH OF THE LOW OVER SE KS. COMPLEX OF
STORMS THAT MOVED THROUGH SW MO/NW AR/NE OK HAS HELPED STABILIZE
MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...BUT CLEAR SLOT MOVING
INTO THE WESTERN CWA SHOULD DESTABILIZE SE KS WESTERN MO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DIE OFF/DIE DOWN THIS
EVENING...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW AND COOLING MIDLEVELS SHOULD
ALLOW ADDTIONAL STORMS TO REDEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. SKINNY CAPE OF
AROUND 1500 J/KG MAY ALLOW AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM TO DEVELOP...BUT
GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.7-1.8...HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE
FLOODING IS THE MAIN CONCERN. TOYED WITH THE IDEA OF A FLOOD
WATCH...BUT LIKE THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...MAY BE HARD TO PLACE
WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL DEVELOP. WILL MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE ZONE FCST (ALREADY IN THE HWO). WESTERN COUNTIES
HAVE RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST AND MOST RECENT WIDESPREAD RAIN...AND
WILL BRIEF THE EVENING SHIFT ABOUT MONITORING RAINFALL TRENDS.

UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY...AND
WOULD EXPECT RAIN THREAT TO GRADUALLY EASE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING
THE DAY. WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...BUT ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE AREA SUN EVENING/SUN NIGHT. HAVE RAISED RAIN CHANCES A BIT
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SHORTWAVE CONGA LINE CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AND CANT RULE OUT RAIN CHANCES THOROUGH MIDWEEK. ECMWF AND GFS
IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH 00Z WED BY MOVING MIDLEVEL CLOSED
UPPER LOW THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST WITH SMALLER
SCALE SHORTWAVES MOVING W-E THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. IN
GENERAL...RAIN CHANCES WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD FOR LATE MON/EARLY TUE
AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA...BUT AS SFC LOW MOVES THROUGH
THE CORN BELT TUE...FRONT SHOULD MOVES BACK INTO THE AREA.
ALL-IN-ALL...SHOULD SEE RELATIVELY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH
WED.

&&

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY SEEING VFR AND SCATTERED AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS OVER THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS SPIRALING AROUND AN
UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN KANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA
THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. BELIEVE WE WILL SEE SOME THUNDERSTORMS
REDEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST KS AND SOUTHWEST MO AS CONDITIONS
DESTABILIZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING
SLOWLY EAST INTO SOUTHERN MO. WOULD EXPECT CEILINGS TO LOWER TO
MVFR/AREAS OF IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE
KS...NONE

DSA/WFO SGF

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 2, 7:50 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
750 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2004

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-031100-
BARRY-BARTON-BENTON-BOURBON-CAMDEN-CEDAR-CHEROKEE-CHRISTIAN-CRAWFORD-
DADE-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HICKORY-HOWELL-JASPER-LACLEDE-
LAWRENCE-MARIES-MCDONALD-MILLER-MORGAN-NEWTON-OREGON-OZARK-PHELPS-
POLK-PULASKI-SHANNON-ST. CLAIR-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-VERNON-WEBSTER-
WRIGHT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AVA...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON...
FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON...
MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK...
PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS.
750 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS THIS EVENING. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME STORMS.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

THIS EVENING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.
THROUGH 9 PM...THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM
SPRINGFIELD SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TO CASSVILLE..PINEVILLE...AND
BRANSON. ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY EAST IN TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA.

  DISCUSSION:

A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER EASTERN KANSAS WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO
MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. BANDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING AROUND THIS STORM CENTER HAVE PRODUCED STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH ONE OF THESE BANDS MOVING THROUGH
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI EARLY THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL WINDS
INCREASE AND STORMS REDEVELOP NEAR A COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS
AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM NOW OVER EASTERN KANSAS WILL MOVE WEST
TO EAST THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
639 PM CDT FRI JUL 02 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TORNADO          2 N JOPLIN              37.11N 94.52W
07/02/2004                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DEPUTY REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND AT HWY 43 AND BASELINE
            ROAD

FEH

Local storm report, Jul 2, 7:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
705 PM CDT FRI JUL 02 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JOPLIN                  37.08N 94.52W
07/02/2004                   JASPER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON ROADS AND HOMES IN JOPLIN FROM 31ST TO
            INDIANA RD. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MNGR.

FEH

Special weather statement, Jul 2, 7:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
708 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2004

MOZ079-080-089-090-093>095-101>104-030500-
BARRY-CHRISTIAN-DADE-DALLAS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MCDONALD-NEWTON-POLK-
STONE-TANEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...MONETT...
MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...OZARK AND SPRINGFIELD.
708 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 537...IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN MISSOURI:
BARRY...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS...GREENE...LAWRENCE...MCDONALD...
NEWTON...POLK...STONE AND TANEY.  SOME CITIES IN THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE BOLIVAR... BRANSON...MONETT...MOUNT
VERNON...NEOSHO...OZARK AND SPRINGFIELD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT...PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL MEDIA OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST SEVEREWEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

DSA

Local storm report, Jul 2, 7:31 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
731 PM CDT FRI JUL 02 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
07/02/2004                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ACROSS HWY 86 AND BB. REPORTED BY LAW
            ENFORCEMENT.

0715 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
07/02/2004                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS CITY STREETS ARE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.
            REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0715 PM     HAIL             NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
07/02/2004  0.75 INCH        NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0715 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
07/02/2004                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ACROSS HWY CC NEAR HWY B. REPORTED BY LAW
            ENFORCEMENT.

FEH

Local storm report, Jul 2, 7:58 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
758 PM CDT FRI JUL 02 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONETT                  36.92N 93.92W
07/02/2004                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO THE HIGH SCHOOL. REPORTED BY
            EMERGENCY MNGR.

FEH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 2, 7:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Lawrence	4 hr
Jul 2, 7:13 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Newton	4 hr
Jul 2, 7:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry	60 min
Jul 2, 7:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Lawrence	42 min
Jul 2, 7:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald	6 hr
Jul 2, 8:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Stone	40 min
Jul 2, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry	47 min
Jul 2, 8:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Webster	42 min
Jul 2, 11:12 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Lawrence, Newton	6 hr
Jul 2, 11:31 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Jasper	6 hr
Jul 3, 1:13 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Christian	6 hr
Jul 3, 1:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	McDonald	6 hr
Jul 3, 3:25 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Oregon	6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.