Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 10, 2004, 7:58 PM EDT for Chatham County, North Carolina. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 10, 2004, 7:58 PM EDT (23:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 10, 2004, 8:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 32 min
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Chatham County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 306 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -71 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1001 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 79 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
035
WUUS52 KRAH 102358
SVRRAH
NCC037-110030-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
757 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
* UNTIL 830 PM EDT
* AT 757 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER PITTSBORO... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BYNUM...
PITTSBORO...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.
GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3585 7914 3577 7897 3555 7903 3559 7906
3563 7911 3563 7914 3557 7921 3577 7942
3584 7938 3584 7924 3586 7924 3586 7920
$$
BADGETTWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 10, 2:30 PM EDT, 5 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 2:30 PM EDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 230 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 .DISCUSSION... .TONIGHT... SO FAR SCOPE VERY QUITE...WITH A FEW CELLS POPPING JUST EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...RIGHT ALONG ALONG LEE TROUGH. AS MENTIONED IN EARLIER DISCUSSION DRIER NW FLOW APPEARS TO BE KEEPING COVERAGE AT A MINIMAL. WILL CUT POPS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE NW PIEDMONT (CLOSEST TO SURFACE TROUGH) AND ISOLATED EVERYWHERE ELSE. .FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... A HOT AND HUMID DAY IN STORE TOMORROW. ADIABATIC COMPRESSION FROM WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COUPLED WITH PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE SHOULD WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S EVERYWHERE. WILL GO SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN GUIDANCE WITH HIGHS 91 TO 94. WITH DEWPOINTS 70-73...CRITICAL HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-105 WILL BE REACHED. WILL ISSUE AN SPS ADDRESSING THE SEASONSS FIRST HIGH HEAT INDICES. SHORT-TERM MODELS DEPICT WEAK SHEAR AXIS THIS IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN MISSOURI AND WESTERN ARKANSAS TO MOVE ACROSS THE CWA LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THE SUPPORT ALOFT COUPLED WITH CONTINUATION OF LEE TROUGH TOMORROW WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY SHOULD SUPPORT CHANCE POPS WITH BEST CHANCE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF CWA. WILL INCREASE POPS TO 40% WITH 30% TO THE SOUTH. .SATURDAY...MODELS IN GOOD CONSENSUS WITH TIMING OF BACKDOOR COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY. NORTHWEST ALOFT AND LACK OF UPPER SUPPORT WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES SLIM. BY 18Z DRY AIR RIDGE WITH STABLE NE FLOW HAS MOVED INTO PLACE. WILL CONTINUE SMALL CHANCE POPS WITH BEST CHANCE IN THE SOUTH WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY EXISTS. WILL TRANSITION CONVECTIVE SHOWERS TO RAIN SHOWERS AS STABLE AIR BUILDS FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER SATURDAY WITH HIGHS 84 TO 88. SUNDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY SHIFTS OFFSHORE LATE IN THE DAY WHILE UPPER RIDGE ALOFT CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY. HAVE REMOVED POPS SUNDAY WITH LACK OF TRIGGER AND INSTABILITY REMAINING SOUTH OF CWA. NE TO E FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL WITH 80-85. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... EXPECT A RETURN TO TYPICAL SUMMER CONVECTION MONDAY AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK NORTH OR WASHES OUT. THUS EXPECT SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION. THEN COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES AS TO HOW FAST FRONT MOVES THROUGH. BOTH GFS/ECMWF HAVE FRONT EAST OF AREA LATE WEDNESDAY. CONTINUE CHANCE FOR CONVECTION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY RESULTING DRY WEATHER. ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE WINDS BASED ON FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING...SO BOROUGH WINDS AROUND TO NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MORE NORTHERLY ON THURSDAY. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. && BL/AS/RA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 5:54 AM EDT, 14 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 554 AM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-100954- ALAMANCE NC-ANSON NC-CHATHAM NC-CUMBERLAND NC-DAVIDSON NC-DURHAM NC- EDGECOMBE NC-FORSYTH NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-GUILFORD NC- HALIFAX NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC- MOORE NC-NASH NC-ORANGE NC-PERSON NC-RANDOLPH NC-RICHMOND NC- SAMPSON NC-SCOTLAND NC-STANLY NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-WAYNE NC- WILSON NC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...ASHEBORO...BURLINGTON... CARTHAGE...CARY...CHAPEL HILL...CLINTON...CREEDMOOR... DOWNTOWN RALEIGH...DURHAM...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...GOLDSBORO... GRAHAM...GREENSBORO...HALIFAX...HENDERSON...HIGH POINT... HILLSBOROUGH...LAURINBURG...LEXINGTON...LILLINGTON...LOUISBURG... MOUNT OLIVE...NASHVILLE...OXFORD...PITTSBORO...RAEFORD...RALEIGH... RANDLEMAN...ROANOKE RAPIDS...ROCKINGHAM...ROCKY MOUNT...ROXBORO... SANFORD...SILER CITY...SMITHFIELD...SOUTHERN PINES...TARBORO... TROY...WADESBORO...WARRENTON...WEST RALEIGH AND WINSTON-SALEM 554 AM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 2:55 PM EDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 255 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-110900- ALAMANCE NC-ANSON NC-CHATHAM NC-CUMBERLAND NC-DAVIDSON NC-DURHAM NC- EDGECOMBE NC-FORSYTH NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-GUILFORD NC- HALIFAX NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC- MOORE NC-NASH NC-ORANGE NC-PERSON NC-RANDOLPH NC-RICHMOND NC- SAMPSON NC-SCOTLAND NC-STANLY NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-WAYNE NC- WILSON NC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...ASHEBORO...BURLINGTON... CARTHAGE...CARY...CHAPEL HILL...CLINTON...CREEDMOOR... DOWNTOWN RALEIGH...DURHAM...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...GOLDSBORO... GRAHAM...GREENSBORO...HALIFAX...HENDERSON...HIGH POINT... HILLSBOROUGH...LAURINBURG...LEXINGTON...LILLINGTON...LOUISBURG... MOUNT OLIVE...NASHVILLE...OXFORD...PITTSBORO...RAEFORD...RALEIGH... RANDLEMAN...ROANOKE RAPIDS...ROCKINGHAM...ROCKY MOUNT...ROXBORO... SANFORD...SILER CITY...SMITHFIELD...SOUTHERN PINES...TARBORO... TROY...WADESBORO...WARRENTON...WEST RALEIGH AND WINSTON-SALEM 255 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...HOT TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN HIGH HEAT INDEX ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY... HOT TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH HIGH HUMIDITIES ON FRIDAY..WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SANDHILLS...COASTAL PLAIN AND EASTERN PIEDMONT. THE HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 100 DEGREES OVER THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT WHICH INCLUDES THE TRIAD AREA. HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN WHICH INCLUDES THE TRIANGLE AREA...FAYETTEVILLE AND ROCKY MOUNT WILSON AREAS. HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES CAN POSE A HEALTH RISK TO THE ELDERLY... CHILDREN... AND ANYONE WORKING OR EXERCISING OUTDOORS. HEAT CRAMPS... HEAT EXHAUSTION... AND DEHYDRATION ARE ALL POSSIBLE AT THESE HEAT INDEX VALUES... IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. BE SURE TO LIMIT YOUR TIME OUTDOORS FRIDAY... AND STAY OUT OF THE SUN AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST WORK OUTSIDE... TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN AIR CONDITIONING. DRINK PLENTY OF WATER TO STAY HYDRATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. AS/RA/BL
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:37 PM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 537 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 NCZ021-038-102230- DAVIDSON NC-FORSYTH NC- 537 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA... AT 537 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF PFAFFTOWN IN NORTHWEST FORSYTH COUNTY... OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF WINSTON-SALEM. THIS STORM WAS MOVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH AND WILL AFFECT LEWISVILLE... PFAFFTOWN... WEST SIDE OF WINSTON-SALEM... AND CLEMMONS THROUGH 615 PM. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING... GUSTY WIND TO 40 MPH FROM THE NORTH... AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR. ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WESTERN SURRY COUNTY... 5 MILES WEST OF DOBSON... WILL AFFECT ELKIN AND MOUNTAIN PARK THROUGH 630 PM... WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT MOVES SOUTH AT 30 MPH. SEEK A SHELTER INDOORS WHEN THUNDER IS FIRST HEARD. MOVE AWAY FROM SWIMMING POOLS... OPEN FIELDS... AND INTO A STURDY SHELTER. BADGETT
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 7:06 PM EDT, 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 706 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 NCZ023>025-039>041-074>077-110001- ALAMANCE NC-CHATHAM NC-DURHAM NC-HARNETT NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC-MOORE NC-ORANGE NC-RANDOLPH NC-WAKE NC- 706 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL PIEDMONT... AT 706 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF RANDOLPH... ALAMANCE... ORANGE... AND WAKE COUNTIES. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER THE RALEIGH-DURHAM AIRPORT LOCATION... NEAR HIGH POINT... AND 15 MILES WEST OF ASHEBORO. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH AND WILL AFFECT RALEIGH... PITTSBORO... JORDAN LAKE... AND ASHEBORO THROUGH 745 PM. GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH... FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS. TAKE SHELTER INDOORS WHEN THUNDER IS FIRST HEARD. MOVE AWAY FROM SWIMMING POOLS AND AWAY FROM OPEN FIELDS. PWB/MWS
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 7:44 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 744 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 NCZ039-040-074>077-086-088-110045- CHATHAM NC-CUMBERLAND NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC-MOORE NC-RANDOLPH NC- 744 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL PIEDMONT... AT 750 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF RANDOLPH AND CHATHAM COUNTIES. THE STRONGEST STORMS WERE OVER GUM SPRINGS AND PITTSBORO. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH AND WILL AFFECT MERY OAKS... NEW HILL... HOLLY SPRINGS... AND BLACKNET THROUGH 830 PM. GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS. TAKE SHELTER INDOORS WHEN THUNDER IS FIRST HEARD. MOVE AWAY FROM SWIMMING POOLS AND AWAY FROM OPEN FIELDS. MWS
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 7:50 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 750 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 NCZ010-011-026>028-043-110045- EDGECOMBE NC-FRANKLIN NC-HALIFAX NC-NASH NC-WARREN NC-WILSON NC- 750 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN... AT 750 PM... RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN WARREN... HALIFAX... NORTHEAST NASH... AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES. THE STRONGEST STORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR MEDIC MOUNTAIN STATE PARK... ENFIELD... SCOTLAND NECK... GOLD ROCK AND DORTCHES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH AND WILL AFFECT THE ROCKY MOUNT... TARBORO AND SCOTLAND NECK AREAS THROUGH 830 PM. FREQUENT LIGHTNING... GUSTY WIND TO 40 MPH... AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS WHEN THUNDER IS FIRST HEARD. MOVE AWAY FROM OPEN FIELDS AND SWIMMING POOLS. BADGETT
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.