Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 2, 2004, 3:04 PM EDT for Edgecombe County, North Carolina. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 2, 2004, 3:04 PM EDT (19:04 UTC)
- Expired
- May 2, 2004, 3:20 PM EDT
- In force
- 16 min
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Edgecombe County, NC
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 380 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 567 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 87 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
772
WUUS52 KRAH 021904
SVRRAH
NCC065-021920-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
304 PM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
* UNTIL 320 PM EDT
* AT 304 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER PRINCEVILLE...OR ABOUT OVER TARBORO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEED...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.
GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3594 7764 3579 7751 3583 7736 3595 7737
3607 7756
$$
28What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 2, 1:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 2, 1:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 125 PM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 .DISCUSSION... TONIGHT...ETA IS A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THE FRONT THAN THE GFS...AND THE ETA HAD A BETTER POSITION OF THE FRONT SLIGHTLY FARTHER WEST. WILL LEAN TOWARD THE ETA AND SHOW A BAND OF CONVECTION ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT CROSSING THE AREA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE. RUC INDICATES CAPE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AHEAD OF THE FRONT...0-1 KM HELICITY NEAR 200 M2/S2...AND EHI VALUES NEAR 2...INDICATING A SUPERCELL/POTENTIAL TORNADO THREAT THROUGH THE EVENING. FLASH FLOODING MAY ALSO BE A THREAT AS A DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW MAY LEAD TO TRAINING OF CELLS. TOMORROW/TUESDAY...WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS IN THE EAST IN THE MORNING AS THE FRONT BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST. THE 850 MB TROUGH LAGS THE SURFACE FRONT...CROSSING THE AREA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. LAPSE RATES STEEPEN WITH COOLING 500 MB TEMPS ALONG WITH PVA AHEAD OF THE STRONG VORT MAX...THOUGH THE COOLEST MIDLEVEL TEMPS AND MOX VORTICITY PASS JUST TO OUR NORTH. WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING IN THE MORNING TO AID IN DESTABILIZATION...EXPECT SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON...SO WILL HAVE HIGH CHANCE POPS AT THAT TIME. CLEARING SKIES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES. TEMPS COOL BEHIND THE FRONT TO HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S TOMORROW AND TUESDAY...LOWS IN THE MID/UPPER 40S TOMORROW NIGHT. WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY WITH LIMITED MOISTURE IN A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. PREFER THE HPC AND 06Z GFS SOLUTIONS WHICH KEEP THE FRONT TO OUR NORTH. THUS WILL HAVE TEMPS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ABOVE 00Z GFS MOS GUIDANCE...MID/UPPER 70S WED TO NEAR 80/LOWER 80S THU. DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND 1000-850 THICKNESS VALUES BETWEEN 1385M AND 1400M GIVES HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. RIDGE ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH TO OUR SOUTH WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE...SO IT LOOKS LIKE AN EXTENDED WARM AND DRY PERIOD IS ON THE WAY. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. && DGS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 5:55 AM EDT, 9 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 555 AM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-021200-ALAMANCE NC-ANSON NC-CHATHAM NC-CUMBERLAND NC-DAVIDSON NC-DURHAM NC-EDGECOMBE NC-FORSYTH NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-GUILFORD NC-HALIFAX NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC-MOORE NC-NASH NC-ORANGE NC-PERSON NC-RANDOLPH NC-RICHMOND NC-SAMPSON NC-SCOTLAND NC-STANLY NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-WAYNE NC-WILSON NC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...ASHEBORO...BURLINGTON... CARTHAGE...CARY...CHAPEL HILL...CLINTON...CREEDMOOR... DOWNTOWN RALEIGH...DURHAM...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...GOLDSBORO... GRAHAM...GREENSBORO...HALIFAX...HENDERSON...HIGH POINT... HILLSBOROUGH...LAURINBURG...LEXINGTON...LILLINGTON...LOUISBURG... MOUNT OLIVE...NASHVILLE...OXFORD...PITTSBORO...RAEFORD...RANDLEMAN... ROANOKE RAPIDS...ROCKINGHAM...ROCKY MOUNT...ROXBORO...SANFORD... SILER CITY...SMITHFIELD...SOUTHERN PINES...TARBORO...TROY... WADESBORO...WARRENTON...WEST RALEIGH AND WINSTON-SALEM 555 AM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TO 55 MPH. IN ADDITION THERE IS A SMALL RISK THAT SHOWERS COULD TRAIN OVER THE SAME LOCATION...PRODUCING ISOLATED BRIEF FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR GENERATING ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. RLH
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 2, 11:52 AM EDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1152 AM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 NCZ027-028-042-043-078-021750- EDGECOMBE NC-JOHNSTON NC-NASH NC-WAYNE NC-WILSON NC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...NASHVILLE... ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD AND TARBORO 1152 AM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS JOHNSTON...WILSON...WAYNE...NASH AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES AND WILL AFFECT THE TOWNS OF SMITHFIELD...MICRO...KENLY...LUCAMA...FREMONT AND WILSON WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. SOME OF THE STRONGER SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. SOME LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE... SEEK REFUGE FROM THE STORM IN A STRONG BUILDING. BOATERS ON AREA LAKES SHOULD TAKE SHELTER. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES OR OTHER ISOLATED TALL OBJECTS. THESE ATTRACT LIGHTNING. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. RA
Local storm report, May 2, 12:38 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1238 PM EDT SUN MAY 02 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1115 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 E SMITHFIELD 35.51N 78.31W
05/02/2004 JOHNSTON NC EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROOFS BLOWN OFF HOMES. POSSIBLE
TORNADO.
&&
AWIPSUSRSpecial weather statement, May 2, 12:54 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1254 PM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 NCZ010-011-026>028-041>043-075>078-083>086-088-089-021800- ANSON NC-CUMBERLAND NC-EDGECOMBE NC-FRANKLIN NC-HALIFAX NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-LEE NC-MOORE NC-NASH NC-RICHMOND NC-SAMPSON NC-SCOTLAND NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-WAYNE NC-WILSON NC- 1254 PM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 ...SHOWERS AND SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SANDHILLS...COASTAL PLAIN...AND FAR EASTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH 200 PM EDT... AT 1254 PM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN...ALONG AND JUST EAST OF I-95. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS JOHNSTON...WAYNE...WILSON...EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NASH...EDGECOMBE...AND HALIFAX COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS THAT INCLUDE ELM CITY AND PINE TOPS. SOME ROOF DAMAGE WAS REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS LATE THIS MORNING. FARTHER SOUTH...ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STRONG STORMS EXTENDING FROM LILLINGTON TO DUNN TO FAYETTEVILLE AND POINTS SOUTH WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS TO HARNETT AND SAMPSON COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SGY
Special weather statement, May 2, 2:22 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 222 PM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 NCZ010-011-026>028-041>043-075>078-085-086-088-089-022020- CUMBERLAND NC-EDGECOMBE NC-FRANKLIN NC-HALIFAX NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC- JOHNSTON NC-LEE NC-MOORE NC-NASH NC-SAMPSON NC-SCOTLAND NC-WAKE NC- WARREN NC-WAYNE NC-WILSON NC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARTHAGE...CARY...CLINTON... DOWNTOWN RALEIGH...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...GOLDSBORO...HALIFAX... LAURINBURG...LILLINGTON...LOUISBURG...MOUNT OLIVE...NASHVILLE... RAEFORD...ROANOKE RAPIDS...ROCKY MOUNT...SANFORD...SMITHFIELD... SOUTHERN PINES...TARBORO...WARRENTON AND WEST RALEIGH 222 PM EDT SUN MAY 2 2004 ...SHOWERS AND WITH EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 5PM EDT... THE STRONGEST STORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN ON ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM MOUNT OLIVE TO GOLDSBORO TO WILSON TO THE ROCKY MOUNT WILSON AREA. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING MAY ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE... SEEK REFUGE FROM THE STORM IN A STRONG BUILDING. BOATERS ON AREA LAKES SHOULD TAKE SHELTER. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES OR OTHER ISOLATED TALL OBJECTS. THESE ATTRACT LIGHTNING. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. RA
Local storm report, May 2, 2:40 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
240 PM EDT SUN MAY 02 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM TSTM WND DMG GOLDSBORO 35.37N 77.98W
05/02/2004 WAYNE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN NEAR AN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL IN NORTHEAST
GOLDSBORO
&&
SGYLocal storm report, May 2, 3:02 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
302 PM EDT SUN MAY 02 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0250 PM TSTM WND DMG MACCLESFIELD 35.75N 77.67W
05/02/2004 EDGECOMBE NC TRAINED SPOTTER
ABOUT 20 TREES DOWN
&&
SGYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Johnston, Wayne | 23 min |
| May 2, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Warren | 30 min |
| May 2, 4:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Montgomery | 28 min |
| May 2, 4:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Harnett | 39 min |
| May 2, 5:03 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Harnett | 27 min |
| May 2, 5:14 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Wake | 31 min |
| May 2, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Person | 32 min |
| May 2, 6:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Richmond | 39 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.