Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
258 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

.DISCUSSION...

MDLS CONT TO SAG CDFNT SEWD INTO NWRN PA BY LATE TNGT AND STRETCH IT
E/W ACRS OUR CWA DURG FRI. THIS BNDRY AS WELL AS ANY OLD OUTFLOW
BNDRYS FM PREV CONVECTION SHUD HELP KEEP SCT TSTMS GOING PAST SUNSET
TNGT. WL GO WITH CHC POPS ALL ZNS TNGT...WITH HIEST VALUES ARND 50
PCT NORTHWEST PTN CWA LTR TNGT.

ON FRI WL KEEP HI CHC POPS ALL ZNS. NOT PLANNING TO PLAY UP WORDING
FOR HVY RNFL OR SVR POTENTIAL AT THIS PT FOR LATE FRI...BUT PW
VALUES WL RMN HI THRU THE DAY WITH CAPES ARND 2000 BY FRI EVE.

BEST CHC OF ANY RELATIVELY DRY WX WL BE SAT INTO SAT NGT AFT FNTL
BNDRY PULLS WELL TO N OF CWA ONCE AGN. PLAN TO GO WITH DRY (20 PCT)
POPS SAT AND SAT NGT MOST AREAS...THEN JUST SML CHC POPS ON SUN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PITTSBURGH, PA        64  82  65  84 /  40  50  40  20
WHEELING,   WV        64  82  65  85 /  40  50  40  20
MORGANTOWN, WV        63  82  64  84 /  40  50  30  20
ZANESVILLE, OH        67  85  65  87 /  50  40  30  20
NEW PHILADELPHIA, OH  64  82  65  85 /  40  40  40  20
FRANKLIN, PA          62  78  64  82 /  50  50  40  30
DUBOIS, PA            61  77  64  82 /  50  50  40  20
LATROBE, PA           62  80  65  83 /  40  50  30  20
BUTLER, PA            63  80  65  84 /  50  50  40  20
INDIANA, PA           62  79  65  83 /  40  50  30  20
OAKLAND, MD           61  80  63  82 /  40  50  30  30
&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
OH...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MD...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
502 AM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-200901-
ALLEGHENY PA-ARMSTRONG PA-BEAVER PA-BELMONT OH-BROOKE WV-BUTLER PA-
CARROLL OH-CLARION PA-COLUMBIANA OH-COSHOCTON OH-FAYETTE PA-
FOREST PA-GARRETT MD-GREENE PA-GUERNSEY OH-HANCOCK WV-HARRISON OH-
INDIANA PA-JEFFERSON PA-JEFFERSON OH-LAWRENCE PA-MARION WV-
MARSHALL WV-MERCER PA-MONONGALIA WV-MONROE OH-MUSKINGUM OH-NOBLE OH-
OHIO WV-PRESTON WV-TUCKER WV-TUSCARAWAS OH-VENANGO PA-WASHINGTON PA-
WESTMORELAND PA-WETZEL WV-
502 AM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE AREA...BUT MAINLY OVER EAST CENTRAL
OHIO...THE WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FROM HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
ON FRIDAY.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL AGAIN BE FROM HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

15

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
727 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

PAZ008-210051-
VENANGO PA-
727 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

...RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORMS APPROACHING...

RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
COUNTY THROUGH 9 PM. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND GUSTY WINDS
BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH.

THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL MOVE NORTH OF COOPERSTOWN...AND NEAR
TITUSVILLE AND PLEASANTVILLE.

RESIDENTS SHOULD PAY ATTENTION FOR RAPIDLY DETERIORATING WEATHER.
UPDATES AND A WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY IF THE STORMS INTENSIFY
FURTHER.