Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2004, 8:19 PM CDT for Jefferson County, Illinois. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 27, 2004, 8:19 PM CDT (01:19 UTC)
- Expired
- May 27, 2004, 8:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 26 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Jefferson County, IL
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 27, 7:40 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 651 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1078 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -105 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 52 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.4
- Supercell composite
- -3.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
489
WUUS53 KPAH 280119
SVRPAH
ILC081-280145-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
819 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 819 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES WEST OF DIX...OR ABOUT 4 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CENTRALIA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BLUFORD
A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. TAKE COVER. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
CAN PRODUCE A TORNADO WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY STRUCTURE
OFFERS THE BEST PROTECTION.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE
COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER
AWAY FROM CREEK BEDS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. REMEMBER...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE WINDS...
DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.
LAT...LON 3827 8871 3829 8879 3835 8905 3838 8914
3847 8914 3847 8871
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 4:14 PM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 27, 4:14 PM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 414 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004 .DISCUSSION... RUNNING WAY BEHIND THIS AFTERNOON...SO WILL BE BRIEF. MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION...HEAVY RAIN...AND SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. NUMEROUS SEVERE THNUNDERSTORM WATCHES ARE POSTED TO OUR NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA...PUSHING THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL SOUTHEAST INTO THE QUAD STATE THIS EVENING. STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM...MOIST ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE...ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI...A VERY STRONG CAPPING INVERSION MAY HOLD OFF PRECIPITATION THERE. IT APPEARS THAT THE WHOLE GAMUT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...EVEN TORNADOS IF THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO OUR IMMEDIATE NORTH SAGS INTO THE REGION. THE ETA AND GFS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT IN HOW FAR SOUTH THE ACTIVITY WILL MAKE IT OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE DONE BY SUNRISE FRIDAY...MORE LIKE THE 18Z ETA. WILL END PRECIPITATION BY 18Z FRIDAY. THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH WHICH HAS THE SITUATION WELL IN HAND...HAS ALREADY BEEN FRESHENED UP...BUT NO CHANGES NECESSARY. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE DRY...WITH THE ACTIVE BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK NORTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN PERIODICALLY INDICATING CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH RETURNING MOISTURE. DECIDED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL SATURDAY BEFORE REINTRODUCING PRECIPITATION...AND THEN ONLY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. WILL THEN SPREAD THE CHANCE POPS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AS THE MOISTURE RECOVERS OVER THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE. A MAJOR COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN END TO THIS LONG RUN OF WET WEATHER SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. UNFORTUNATELY...THAT WILL MEAN A CHANCE OF SIGINIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER. WILL GO WITH GOOD CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL NOT GET TO CARRIED AWAY AT THIS TIME. WILL LEAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA ON MONDAY...BEFORE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH NEXT WEEK. GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE NCEP ENSEMBLE MEANS PER HPC GUIDANCE IN THE EXTENDED. AS FOR SHORT TERM TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE...GENERALLY FOLLOWED CONSENSUS FOR LOWS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...GENERALLY WENT WITH THE WARMER CHOICES FOR HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6AM FRIDAY. MO...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6AM FRIDAY. IL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6AM FRIDAY. IN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6AM FRIDAY. && DRS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 4:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 432 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114-281000- ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY- CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY- CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY- GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY- HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL- LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY- MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY MO-PERRY IL-PIKE IN- POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN- STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION KY-UNION IL-VANDERBURGH IN- WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE MO-WAYNE IL-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL- WILLIAMSON IL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIKESTON...POPLAR BLUFF...PERRYVILLE... CAPE GIRARDEAU...PADUCAH...OWENSBORO...MURRAY...MAYFIELD... MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...EVANSVILLE...HERRIN... HARRISBURG...CARMI...CARBONDALE AND CAIRO 450 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004 ...MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... ...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 600 AM FRIDAY FOR THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE AREA... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM VAN BUREN MISSOURI...TO CHARLESTON MISSOURI...TO MOUNT CARMEL ILLINOIS. ELSEWHERE...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...BUT AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND EVENT OR TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE MAXIMIZED DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AND WILL TAPER OFF AS THE STORMS MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SLIGHT RISK AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO REMAINS A CONCERN TONIGHT AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE EXISTS OVER THE REGION. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT...SOME OF THEM WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT EXISTS FOR LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUESTED TONIGHT...AND MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING OR HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD ALSO BE APPRECIATED. DRS
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 27, 5:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
546 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0533 PM TORNADO 10 ESE PETERSBURG 38.44N 87.11W
05/27/2004 PIKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
FUNNEL CLOUD BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN A FIELD AND WENT
BACK UP QUICKLY JUST SOUTH OF OTWELL...NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF S.R. 56 AND C.R. 725.
&&
WIELGOSSpecial weather statement, May 27, 8:15 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 815 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004 ILZ075>078-080>087-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-018-019-MOZ076-280230- DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-HAMILTON IL- HENDERSON KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-PERRY IL-PERRY MO-PIKE IN- POSEY IN-SALINE IL-SPENCER IN-UNION KY-VANDERBURGH IN-WABASH IL- WARRICK IN-WAYNE IL-WHITE IL-WILLIAMSON IL- 815 PM CDT (815 PM EST) THU MAY 27 2004 ...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL POSSIBLE AS LINE OF STORMS MOVES IN... AT 811 PM...RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THIS LINE OF STORMS MAY PACK HIGH WINDS AND DAMAGING HAIL AS STORMS BECOME SEVERE. THE LINE ITSELF WILL GENERALLY FEATURE 50 MPH WIND GUSTS... SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING AS IT APPROACHES THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR THROUGH 930 PM. COMMUNTIES FROM TAMAROA ILLINOIS...TO MOUNT VERNON...TO GRAYVILLE...TO OAKLAND CITY INDIANA WILL BE FIRST TO BE AFFECTED BY THIS DANGEROUS LINE OF STORMS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THIS MEANS STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR TORNADOES POSSIBLE. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A STORM THREATENS YOUR AREA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wayne | 63 min |
| May 27, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Jefferson, Perry | 46 min |
| May 27, 8:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Edwards, Jefferson, Wabash, Wayne | 3 hr |
| May 27, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Edwards, Wabash | 65 min |
| May 27, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Hamilton | 45 min |
| May 27, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Jackson, Saline, Williamson | 51 min |
| May 27, 9:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Union | 56 min |
| May 27, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Gallatin, White | 52 min |
| May 27, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Johnson, Pope | 44 min |
| May 27, 10:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Hardin | 55 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.