Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Paducah, KY

March 20, 2004Butler County, Missouri

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 20, 2004, 3:09 PM CST for Butler County, Missouri. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 20, 2004, 3:09 PM CST (21:09 UTC)
Expired: Mar 20, 2004, 3:45 PM CST
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Butler County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 320 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -329 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 818 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 20, 8:57 AM CST, 6 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 20, 8:57 AM CST, 6 hours 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED TRANSMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
857 AM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT RADAR SHOWING WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIAL
FOR UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER SRN ILLINOIS.

CURRENT CONVECTION FIRING IN VICINITY OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE
BOUNDARY..POOLING UPPER 50/LOWER 60 DEWPOINTS ACROSS SWRN IL/SERN MO
THIS AM. GOES SOUNDER IMAGES ALSO HINTING THAT THIS AREA HAS LIFTED
INDEXES OF -2 TO -3...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1 TO 1.2
INCHES. THUS...SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN A POSSIBILITY.

00Z UPPER AIR CHARTS SHOWED MINOR SW-NE ORIENTED MOISTURE AXIS AT
925 MB. A WEAK VORT CENTER DEPICTED ON 50H CHART OF CENTRAL MO
HELPED TO ISENTROPICALLY LIFT HIGH STRATUS DECK OVER SERN MO/WRN
IL/WRN KY THIS MORNING AND AIDED IN DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER AND ELEVATED WARM FRONT ALONG THE EASTERN END OF
OUR CWA. CONVECTION FIRED TO THE EAST AROUND 8Z AND WEAKENED AS IT
MOVED EAST.

THE EASTERN LIMB OF DEEPER/LONGER AXIS OF MOISTURE WAS NOTED FROM
WRN MO TO MI OVERNIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE EWD TODAY.
RUC/AVN GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE DOING FAIRLY WELL WITH TIMING OF
PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION...AND HIGHER MOISTURE INFLUX INTO SERN
MO/SERN IL. KEPT GENERAL TRANSITION OF CONVECTION FROM NW TO SE
TODAY PER YESTERDAYS GRIDDED FORECAST...CLEARING OUT ANY PCPN OVER
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THIS EVENING.

MINOR TIMING CHANGES WERE MADE TO HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO
ACCOMODATE FOR EARLIER ONSET OF SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TODAY.

OTHERWISE...LITTLE CHANGE TO TEMPERATURE FORECAST TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY...EXCEPT FOR TIMING OF MAX TEMPS TODAY.

ENSEMBLE MEAN HEIGHTS/QPF/RH STILL SUGGEST A SMALL CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON THU AS SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. ALTHOUGH LOWERED DURING FRIDAYS
FORECAST...KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE FOR WESTERN TWO-THIRDS
OF THE REGION.

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

SMITH

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 20, 1:30 PM CST, 1 hour 39 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
130 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-211100-
ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY-
CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY-
CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY-
GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY-
HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL-
LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY-
MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY MO-PERRY IL-PIKE IN-
POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN-
STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION KY-UNION IL-VANDERBURGH IN-
WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE MO-WAYNE IL-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL-
WILLIAMSON IL-
130 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
A LINE FROM PERRYVILLE MISSOURI TO PRINCETON INDIANA.

ANOTHER LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS PROGRESSING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ELEMENTS WITHIN
THIS LINE MAY STILL BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND. THE GREATEST RISK AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND EXTREME WESTERN
KENTUCKY.

NEARLY ALL OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD EXIT THE QUAD STATE
REGION BETWEEN 5 PM AND 9 PM...ENDING ANY FURTHER THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

RJP

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 20, 12:37 PM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1237 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1228 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MURRAY                  36.61N 88.32W
03/20/2004                   CALLOWAY           KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVERFLOWING SEVERAL ROADS IN MURRAY...INCLUDING 4TH
            STREET...HWY 121 AND SYCAMORE STREET.

1230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MURRAY                  36.61N 88.32W
03/20/2004                   CALLOWAY           KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES OF WATER OVER THE ROAD AT 6TH
            STREET AND POPLAR IN MURRAY.

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Mar 20, 1:05 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
105 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     HAIL             4 N CADIZ               36.93N 87.82W
03/20/2004  0.75 INCH        TRIGG              KY   PUBLIC

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Mar 20, 1:27 PM CST, 1 hour 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
127 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HAIL             5 SW NEELYVILLE         36.51N 90.57W
03/20/2004  0.88 INCH        BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Mar 20, 2:25 PM CST, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
225 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     HAIL             ALTO PASS               37.57N 89.32W
03/20/2004  0.88 INCH        UNION              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL WITH SOME PIECES DIME TO NICKEL
            SIZE.

0211 PM     HAIL             CARRIERS MILLS          37.69N 88.63W
03/20/2004  0.88 INCH        SALINE             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0214 PM     HAIL             5 SE MARBLE HILL        37.25N 89.92W
03/20/2004  0.75 INCH        BOLLINGER          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

WIELGOS

Local storm report, Mar 20, 3:03 PM CST, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
303 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0259 PM     HAIL             HAZEL                   36.51N 88.33W
03/20/2004  0.88 INCH        CALLOWAY           KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WIELGOS

Special weather statement, Mar 20, 3:07 PM CST, 2 minutes before

KYZ009-012-202120-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
307 PM CST SAT MAR 20 2004

...HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE POSSIBLE OVER THE KENTUCKY LAKES AREA...

AROUND 300 PM...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE NEAR
THE TOWN OF HAZEL IN CALLOWAY COUNTY KENTUCKY. THE STORM THAT
PRODUCED THIS HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST AT 40 TO 45 MPH
ACROSS EASTERN CALLOWAY AND SOUTHERN TRIGG COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL
REPORTS OF HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE AS THIS LINE OF STORMS
MOVES ACROSS THE TOWNS OF NEW CONCORD...HAMLIN...AND LINTON.

RJP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 20, 8:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	34 min
Mar 20, 9:12 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin	33 min
Mar 20, 9:21 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Williamson	24 min
Mar 20, 9:24 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson, Union	51 min
Mar 20, 1:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	39 min
Mar 20, 2:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Saline	30 min
Mar 20, 2:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson	26 min
Mar 20, 10:09 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	36 min
Mar 20, 10:55 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	35 min
Mar 20, 11:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Lyon	36 min
Mar 20, 11:49 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Trigg	41 min
Mar 20, 12:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway	50 min
Mar 20, 12:35 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Calloway	115 min
Mar 20, 10:00 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ripley	45 min
Mar 20, 10:41 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler	34 min
Mar 20, 1:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	52 min
Mar 20, 2:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Stoddard	44 min
Mar 20, 2:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carter	25 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.