Severe Thunderstorm Warning 230, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
204 PM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

.DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS FIRED UP ONCE AGAIN IN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE, ALTHOUGH THIS AFTERNOONS ACTIVITY THUS FAR DOES NOT SEEM
AS WIDESPREAD NOR AS STRONG AS THE LAST FEW DAYS. THE SPC STILL HAS
NOT PLACED MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNDER A SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR DAYS 1,
2, OR 3.

IT APPEARS THE CURRENT STORMS ARE ALIGNED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ITSELF, WHICH AT 19Z EXTENDED FROM NEAR BOWLING GREEN, TO JUST EAST
OF CLARKSVILLE, TO NEAR JACKSON, TENNESSEE. DESPITE THE WEAKER
INSTABILITY TODAY, THE FRONT APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING ENOUGH LIFT TO
PRODUCE THE CONVECTION. THUS LOOK FOR STORMS TO TRAVEL ACROSS THE
MID STATE THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AS THE
BOUNDARY PROGRESSES EASTWARD.

LOOKING AHEAD, THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SLIGHT AIR MASS CHANGE THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES, ALTHOUGH THE
BERMUDA HIGH CENTER HARDLY LOSES ITS INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER
PATTERN DURING THE COURSE OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES
TO RETURN TO NORMAL BY FRIDAY, WITH ISOLATED, HEAT-DRIVEN
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EVERY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.BNA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

ROSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-081030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FIRE UP ONCE AGAIN IN ADVANCE OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN WARM...MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE FROM LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST FOR THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE PROBABILITY OF
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BE NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

END/ORCHANIAN