Flash Flood Warning 58, NWS Nashville, TN

000 
WGUS74 KOHX 281601
FFSBNA
TNC081-085-101-135-181-281715-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1100 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN HUMPHREYS...WESTERN HICKMAN...PERRY...WAYNE AND LEWIS
COUNTIES IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

AT 1100 AM...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUED TO AFFECT
MUCH OF WESTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OVER 2 INCHES IN MANY AREAS DURING THE PAST 2 TO 3 HOURS. HIGHER
AMOUNTS...OVER 3 INCHES...WERE INDICATED ALONG THE WAYNE AND LEWIS
COUNTY BORDER AND OVER SOUTHERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY. THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL AS OF 1100 AM WAS LOCATED NEAR COLLINWOOD...WAYNESBORO AND
HOHENWALD.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE REST OF THIS MORNING. RAINFALL RATES WELL OVER ONE INCH
PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE FROM THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

PEOPLE NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR WATER LEVELS CLOSELY AS
LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS
WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

$$

13

000 
WGUS74 KOHX 281703
FFSBNA
TNC081-085-101-135-181-281730-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1202 PM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SOUTHERN HUMPHREYS...WESTERN HICKMAN...
PERRY...WAYNE AND LEWIS COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 1215
PM...

AT 1202 PM...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE...BUT THE RAINFALL INTENSITY HAD DIMINISHED OVER
THE PAST HOUR. NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO WAYNE COUNTY...WHERE
SEVERAL ROADS HAVE BEEN COVERED BY WATER AND SMALL STREAMS HAD
REACHED THEIR BANKS. RECENT SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE CONDITIONS
WERE IMPROVING OVER WAYNE COUNTY.

THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN.
$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1019 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

.DISCUSSION...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO POUND SOUTHWEST MIDDLE
TENNESSEE, PROMPTING FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND SOME REPORTS OF
FLOODING DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE ACTIVITY GOING ON THERE.

AT 14Z, THE SURFACE MAP SHOWED A LOW CENTERED NEAR ST. LOUIS, WITH
COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE ARKLATEX.

MORNING SOUNDING FROM OHX SHOWS A WETTER ENVIRONMENT TODAY, WITH A
NEARLY SATURATED SURFACE TO 600 MB LAYER, AND PRECIPITABLE WATER OF
1.83 INCHES. ENVIRONMENT ISNT QUITE AS UNSTABLE AS YESTERDAY, BUT
WITH THE FRONT APPROACHING, WE ARE STARTING TO SEE MORE FORCING,
HENCE THE ACTIVITY WE ARE EXPERIENCING THIS MORNING.

HAVE ALREADY UPDATED THE PUBLIC FORECAST TO INCREASE MORNING POPS
MOST AREAS AND MAKE A FEW OTHER WORDING ADJUSTMENTS.
&&

.BNA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

ROSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-291030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
530 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE SUNDAY.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS ARE QUITE POSSIBLE...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IS NOT EXPECTED.

MAG