Severe Thunderstorm Warning 117, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1100 AM EDT SAT JUN 12 2004

.DISCUSSION...BACK DOOR FRONT ADVANCING SOUTHWARD INTO NC AS STRONG
OR STRONGER THAN ADVERTISED. GOOD UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD COMMENCE ON
BOTH SIDES OF MNTS THIS AFTN. TN SIDE OF MNTS REMAINS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE. DESPITE EASTWARD STEERING FLOW...FEEL STORMS WILL STACK UP
OR FIRE OFF BOUNDARIES THIS AFTN THIS FAR WEST. UPPED NE AREAS TO
TSTMS LIKELY FOR THIS AFTN.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

SON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
440 AM EDT SAT JUN 12 2004

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-130900-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
440 AM EDT (340 AM CDT) SAT JUN 12 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
TODAY AND AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE MOST
LIKELY TO BE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE.
MOST SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH...AND
A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.  GUSTY WINDS UP TO
45 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINS UP TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS.  FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN
AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

HOWEVER...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE...AND POSSIBLY
IN INTENSITY BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
EASES INTO THE REGION AND THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

THE PERIOD FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE MAINLY DRY
AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

TG