Special Marine Warning 151, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 AM CST WED NOV 24 2004

QUICK UPDATE TO PUT ZONES UNDER A NEW TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1100 AM.
ALL COUNTIES IN WATCH EXCEPT WAYNE AND CHOCTAW.  A FLOOD WATCH IS
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE...GREENE AND PERRY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND FOR CHOCTAW...WASHINGTON...CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX COUNTIES
IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLOOD WATCH ALZ051>056. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL ZONES.
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL ZONES.
MS...FLOOD WATCH ON WED MSZ067-075-076.

&&

01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...COR HEADER TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1002 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241200-
BUTLER AL-CHOCTAW AL-CLARKE AL-COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-
COASTAL OKALOOSA FL-COASTAL SANTA ROSA FL-CONECUH AL-COVINGTON AL-
CRENSHAW AL-ESCAMBIA AL-GEORGE MS-GREENE MS-INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-
INLAND OKALOOSA FL-INLAND SANTA ROSA FL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-
LOWER MOBILE AL-MONROE AL-PERRY MS-STONE MS-UPPER BALDWIN AL-
UPPER MOBILE AL-WASHINGTON AL-WAYNE MS-WILCOX AL-
1002 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT...
CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE AND POSSIBLY TORNADIC WILL
MOVE EAST AND NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF ALABAMA OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY MOVE AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE NORTHERN EXTREMES OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...OR ACROSS
CHOCTAW AND WILCOX COUNTIES. IF THIS OCCURS IT SHOULD BE LATE
TONIGHT...BETWEEN 3 AND 6 AM. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...  THE MAIN
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON WEDNESDAY...BETWEEN 6 AM
AND 6 PM.  A WELL DEVELOPED LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI NOT LONG AFTER
SUNRISE AND MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON. THE
LINE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AFTER NOON.
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY TOTAL 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH A FEW 4 INCH AMOUNTS
BEFORE THE RAIN ENDS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10. THIS
COULD BRING A RESPONSE TO SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND BRIEF
FLOODING FROM INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS.

A FROST OR LIGHT FREEZE CAN BE EXPECTED OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA ON FRIDAY MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES DUE TO RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IS NOT
ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...THEY SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS BEGINNING EARLY WEDNESDAY
AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY LATE AFTERNOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
103 AM CST WED NOV 24 2004

ALZ051>055-061>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240900-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-GEORGE-GREENE-
MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-PERRY-STONE-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
WILCOX-
103 AM CST WED NOV 24 2004

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 893 IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...WASHINGTON...
MONROE...WILCOX...MOBILE AND BALDWIN.

STAY TUNED FOR THE LATER FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MOBILE.