Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Milwaukee, WI

March 1, 2004Dane County, Dodge County, Jefferson County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 1, 2004, 3:51 PM CST for Dane County, Dodge County, Jefferson County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 1, 2004, 3:51 PM CST (21:51 UTC)
Expired: Mar 1, 2004, 4:30 PM CST
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Jefferson County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 1, 11:30 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMKX 012151
SVRMKX
WIC025-027-055-012230-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
351 PM CST MON MAR 1 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DANE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN
  DODGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN

* UNTIL 430 PM CST

* AT 351 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DELAVAN 3 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF MARSHALL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  JUNEAU BY 430 PM CST.

HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS. SEEK 
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4322 8929 4304 8908 4340 8848 4349 8882
          4330 8902

HENTZ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 1, 3:00 PM CST, 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 3:00 PM CST, 51 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CST MON MAR 1 2004

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON PASSING SYSTEM EARLY TONIGHT AND
OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY.

IN THE SHORT TERM...3 HOURLY SURFACE RISE/FALL PRESSURE COUPLET
CONFIRMS LIKELY TRACK OF LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TO EAST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS EVENING.  MAIN SHOW OF CONVECTION PASSING
THROUGH CWA AT THE MOMENT AND ETA/RUC/NGM/GFS PROGS HANG ONTO
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AT LEAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING TO
SHOWERS. WILL KEEP DRIZZLE AROUND FOR TUESDAY MORNING BUT PROGS THEN
BUILD WEAK SURFACE RIDGE INTO AREA.

IN THE FAR TERM...ETA/GFS PROGS PUSH WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM ACROSS CWA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN.
THEN DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON PRECIPITATION WITH NEXT SIGNIFICANT
SYSTEM UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL BOOST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH
THIS SYSTEM INTO FRIDAY AS PROGS HAVE LOCKED INTO THIS SYSTEM FOR 2
DAYS IN A ROW. LOOKS LIKE MAINLY RAIN WITH THIS EVENT...THOUGH PROGS
A LITTLE IFFY WITH THICKNESS VALUES OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF CWA...SO
WILL KEEP A RAIN SNOW MIXTURE IN THOSE AREAS FOR NOW.

&&

.MKX...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

ZAJDEL

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 12:05 PM CST, 3 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1205 PM CST MON MAR 1 2004

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-021100-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
1205 PM CST MON MAR 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WISCONSIN DELLS TO MILWAUKEE.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW ABOUT THURSDAY...THEN AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 1, 3:26 PM CST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
326 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     HAIL             10 W BARABOO            43.47N 89.94W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HAHN

Local storm report, Mar 1, 3:26 PM CST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
326 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     HAIL             10 W BARABOO            43.47N 89.94W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HAHN

Local storm report, Mar 1, 3:48 PM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
348 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     HAIL             2 W OCONOMOWOC          43.11N 88.54W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0333 PM     HAIL             2 W OCONOMOWOC          43.11N 88.54W
03/01/2004  0.50 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0325 PM     HAIL             BARABOO                 43.47N 89.74W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0322 PM     HAIL             10 W BARABOO            43.47N 89.94W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0322 PM     HAIL             1 S HEBRON              42.91N 88.69W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   AMATEUR RADIO

0322 PM     HAIL             2 SW OCONOMOWOC         43.09N 88.53W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        WAUKESHA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0317 PM     HAIL             PADDOCK LAKE            42.57N 88.10W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        KENOSHA            WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0312 PM     HAIL             MILTON                  40.67N 92.16W
03/01/2004  0.50 INCH        VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0305 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 43.08N 89.39W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WEST SIDE OF MADISON

0303 PM     HAIL             3 SE SULLIVAN           42.98N 88.55W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0302 PM     HAIL             7 E MILTON              42.78N 88.81W
03/01/2004  0.50 INCH        ROCK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E EDGERTON            42.84N 88.97W
03/01/2004                   ROCK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

GD

Local storm report, Mar 1, 3:48 PM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
348 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     HAIL             2 W OCONOMOWOC          43.11N 88.54W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0333 PM     HAIL             2 W OCONOMOWOC          43.11N 88.54W
03/01/2004  0.50 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0325 PM     HAIL             BARABOO                 43.47N 89.74W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0322 PM     HAIL             10 W BARABOO            43.47N 89.94W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0322 PM     HAIL             1 S HEBRON              42.91N 88.69W
03/01/2004  0.75 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   AMATEUR RADIO

0322 PM     HAIL             2 SW OCONOMOWOC         43.09N 88.53W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        WAUKESHA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0317 PM     HAIL             PADDOCK LAKE            42.57N 88.10W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        KENOSHA            WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0312 PM     HAIL             MILTON                  40.67N 92.16W
03/01/2004  0.50 INCH        VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0305 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 43.08N 89.39W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WEST SIDE OF MADISON

0303 PM     HAIL             3 SE SULLIVAN           42.98N 88.55W
03/01/2004  0.25 INCH        JEFFERSON          WI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0302 PM     HAIL             7 E MILTON              42.78N 88.81W
03/01/2004  0.50 INCH        ROCK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E EDGERTON            42.84N 88.97W
03/01/2004                   ROCK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

GD

Local storm report, Mar 1, 3:50 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
350 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     TORNADO          5 E REEDSBURG           43.53N 89.90W
03/01/2004                   SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ON OR NEAR HIGHWAY 33 THERE MAY HAVE BEEN A BRIEF TORNADO
            SIGHTED. LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE STILL
            INVESTIGATING.

&&

HAHN

Local storm report, Mar 1, 3:50 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
350 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     TORNADO          5 E REEDSBURG           43.53N 89.90W
03/01/2004                   SAUK               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ON OR NEAR HIGHWAY 33 THERE MAY HAVE BEEN A BRIEF TORNADO
            SIGHTED. LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE STILL
            INVESTIGATING.

&&

HAHN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 1, 2:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Green	25 min
Mar 1, 2:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Rock	32 min
Mar 1, 3:21 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Jefferson, Waukesha	24 min
Mar 1, 3:23 PM CST	Special Marine Warning	MKX		97 min
Mar 1, 3:23 PM CST	Special Marine Warning	MKX		97 min
Mar 1, 3:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Jefferson, Waukesha	48 min
Mar 1, 4:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dodge, Washington	50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.