Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Miami, FL

SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW OVER THE AREA SHOULD MEAN A HIGHER CHANCE OF
RAIN THAT WE HAVE BEEN HAVING PREVIOUSLY.  WE WILL STILL PROBABLY BE
UNDER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THIS FEATURE TONIGHT WITH A LITTLE LESS
CERTAINTY OF ITS POSITION AND STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY.  REGARDLESS
THIS SHOULD KEEP US IN AN UNSTABLE SITUATION WITH HIGHER
PROBABILITIES THROUGH TOMORROW.  AFTER THAT WE WILL SWITCH OVER TO
FRANCES CONSIDERATIONS. THE AREA OF DRIER AIR TO THE WEST OF THE
STORM SHOULD MOVE TO NEAR US BY THURSDAY.  SO WE WILL LOWER
PROBABILITIES UNTIL THE OUTER PORTION OF THE STORM GIVES US SOME
RAIN.  THIS SHOULD TEND TO KEEP ANY HIGHER PROBABILITIES OVER OUR
NORTHEASTERN FORECAST AREA. OVER THE WEEKEND WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
HAVE RAINBANDS TO CONTEND WITH THEN BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK
EVERYTHING SHOULD IMPROVE DRAMATICALLY.  SO BY THEN WE SHOULD BE
BACK TO A WEAK SURFACE HIGH AND AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION.
AN ESFMIA WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON TO DISCUSS THE RAINFALL
AMOUNT POSSIBLIITIES.

&&

.MARINE...LATE TOMORROW NIGHT THE ATLANTIC WINDS WILL BEGIN THERE
INCREASE.  AFTER THAT TIME UNTIL THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME UNSAFE FOR BOATING. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
BOATING SHOULD BE GOOD EXCEPT FOR SOME SWELL FROM FRANCES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 79 90 80 90 / 40 50 20 30
FORT LAUDERDALE 79 90 81 90 / 40 50 20 30
MIAMI           79 90 80 90 / 40 50 20 30
NAPLES          75 92 75 94 / 40 60 20 30
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1022 AM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

FLZ063-066>075-312200-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-
MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH EASTERN-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE-
1022 AM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...SCATTERED MAINLY INLAND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...

SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, MAINLY OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH, OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING,
SMALL HAIL, AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HURRICANE FRANCES IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST INTO THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY LATE FRIDAY. ALL PERSONS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FRANCES AS SHE APPROACHES THE
BAHAMAS LATER THIS WEEK. EARLY PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SUCH AS STOCKING
UP ON NON-PERISHABLES SUCH AS BATTERIES, WATER AND CANNED GOODS ARE
ENCOURAGED.

COMPREHENSIVE WEATHER FORECASTS, GRAPHICS, AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.