Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Miami, FL

SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

.DISCUSSION...STILL WAITING FOR CHARLEY TO MAKE ITS IMPACT FELT
WHICH WILL GOVERN THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY.  THE WAY IT LOOKS NOW
THE RAIN WILL START OVER THE WESTERN ZONES LATE TONIGHT AND OVER THE
EASTERN ZONES TOMORROW AFTERNOON.  SINCE THERE IS A LARGE AREA OF
DRIER AIR NORTH AND EAST OF THE STORM THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION OF
THE ZONES WILL BE A PLACE WHERE THE RAIN CHANCE CAN BE LOWER THAN
WHAT WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE TEXT.  WE WILL STILL FEEL THE EFFECTS
OF CHARLEY ON SATURDAY IN THE FORM OF SOME FEEDER BAND THROUGH OUR
ZONES. SO WE ARE STILL LIKELY TO HAVE A HIGH PROBABILITY OF RAIN
ALTHOUGH NOT COMPLETELY CONFIDENT OF THE LOCATION.  AT PRESENT HAVE
PUT IT OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES.  BEGINNING NEXT WEEK WE SHOULD HAVE
THE SURFACE RIDGE BACK OVER THE AREA.  MORE IMPORTANT THE UPPER
RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN FORCING CHARLEY WEST SHOULD BE WELL IN PLACE
OVER OUR AREA AND WE SHOULD BE JUST A LITTLE BELOW CLIMATE ON THE
PROBABILITIES. AM DISREGARDING ANY POTENTIAL TROPICAL FEATURES
DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&

.MARINE...BETWEEN BONNIE AND CHARLEY WE ARE UP TO SMALL CRAFT ON THE
ATLANTIC SIDE. WILL STAY IN THIS SITUATION UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
AND THEN SEE A DECREASE TO EXERCISE CAUTION SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY
NIGHT AND THEN THROUGH THE THE REST OF THE FORECAST WE SHOULD BE 15
KNOTS OR LESS.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EVEN THOUGH WINDS AND DSI WILL REMAIN HIGH HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE THE 35 PERCENT THRESHOLD SO NO NEED FOR ANY
ADVISORIES.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 81 90 80 90 / 50 70 50 30
FORT LAUDERDALE 82 90 79 90 / 50 70 50 30
MIAMI           80 90 79 90 / 50 70 50 30
NAPLES          76 90 76 88 / 70 100 70 30
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HURRICANE WARNING FOR W COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.
     FLOOD WATCH ALL ZONES THROUGH FRIDAY.
     INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH GLADES AND HENDRY.
     TROPICAL STORM WATCH LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ATLC WATERS.
GM...HURRICANE WARNING FOR GULF WATERS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
109 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA

FLZ063-066>075-131500-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-
MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH EASTERN-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE-
109 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...HURRICANE CHARLEY AFFECTING SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...

HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
TODAY, MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST FLORIDA COAST. REFER TO THE
LATEST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR DETAILS ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT
ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS OF ANY DAMAGING WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES WILL BE NEEDED
TODAY.

HANDEL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1255 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CUTLER RIDGE            25.60N 80.36W
08/13/2004                   MIAMI-DADE         FL   AMATEUR RADIO

            CARPORT BLEW AWAY AT SW 120TH AVE AND 210TH TERRACE. WIND
            GUST ESTIMATED BY TRAINED SPOTTER AT 50 MPH OR MORE.

&&

TW