Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Miami, FL

July 19, 2004Broward County, Florida

NWS Miami, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2004, 2:45 PM EDT for Broward County, Florida. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2004, 2:45 PM EDT (18:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2004, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Miami, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Broward County, FL

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 965 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 66 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
965 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
879 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KMFL 191845 CCA
SVRMIA
FLC011-191915-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
242 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 242 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER PEMBROKE PINES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25   
  MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  PEMBROKE PINES.
  COOPER CITY.
  PLANTATION.
  HOLLYWOOD.
  FORT LAUDERDALE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...DAMAGING HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR 
HOME OR BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 2604 8043 2589 8031 2622 7973 2643 7991

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 2:00 PM EDT, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 2:00 PM EDT, 45 minutes before
SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC AND 12Z UPR AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS UPR TROUGH
DIGGING ALL THE WAY INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEX WITH SFC RIDGE TO
OUR SOUTH. ASSOCIATED UPR LVL DIVERGENCE ALONG WITH DEEP SWLY
FLOW...PWAT ACROSS THE AREA ABOVE 2 INCHES PER 12Z SNDG AND LATEST
GPSMET WATER VAPOR RETRIEVALS...DAY TIME HEATING...C-BRZS...AND
OUTFLOWS ARE TAKING CARE OF THE REST. SO WILL KEEP CATEGORICAL POPS
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY NORTHERN HALF...
TAPERING THEN GRADUALLY FOR THE EVENING ALL THE WAY INTO THE SLIGHT
CHC CATEGORY BY THE MORNING HOURS.

LATEST MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW TROUGH BEGINNING TO LIFT TOMORROW
AS MID LVL RIDGE BUILD OVER THE AREA BY TOMORROW NIGHT. DESPITE
THIS...AREA SHOULD CONTINUE OVER ITS INFLUENCE AND THAT COMBINED
WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO KEEP POPS IN THE
SCATTERED TO LIKELY RANGE...LOCALLY NUMEROUS TOMORROW. ON WEDNESDAY
TROUGH MOVE OFFSHORE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WITH MID LVL RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. THAT PATTERN CHANGES LITTLE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH SFC RIDGE WOBBLING ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL TREND DOWN TO MORE CLIMO POPS BY THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIRMASS SETTLES IN.

TEMPWISE...WILL STAY GENERALLY CLOSE OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE GUIDANCE
GIVEN PERSISTENT COLD BIAS OF 1 T 2 DEGREES FROM 12Z GUIDANCE PER
RECENT VERIFICATION NUMBERS.

&&

.MARINE...
THROUGH TOMORROW...WE WILL REMAIN IN SWLY REGIME WITH SCEC FOR NORTH
ATLANTIC WATERS DUE TO WIND SPDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS...ELSEWHERE WINDS
SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN AT LESS THAN 15 KNOTS. FROM THE MIDDLE PART
OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE EXTENDED...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE
LIGHT CATEGORY AS WE REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW LVL RIDGE
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WITH EXPECTED WET WEATHER...NO CONCERNS AT PRESENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 75 90 73 90 / 60 60 40 40
FORT LAUDERDALE 76 90 75 90 / 50 50 40 50
MIAMI           75 90 76 91 / 50 50 40 50
NAPLES          78 87 77 90 / 60 60 40 50
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

PS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 4:52 AM EDT, 9 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
452 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA

FLZ063-066>075-192200-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-
MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH EASTERN-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE-
452 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO BE SITUATED ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA TODAY. A MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL
SEND BANDS OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY. ALTHOUGH THE MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
BE RATHER QUICK...A FEW AREAS COULD SEE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS...DUE TO ACTIVITY MOVING OVER THE SAME AREAS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 11:25 AM EDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1125 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

FLZ072-191545-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-
1125 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

AT 1124 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER PEMBROKE PINES MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND BRIEF WIND GUSTS AROUND
40 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE DAVIE...COOPER
CITY...PLANTATION...OAKLAND PARK AND POMPANO.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM HAS PASSED.
Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:12 PM EDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1212 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

&&

TW
Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1213 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND POMPANO BEACH           26.23N 80.12W
07/19/2004  45 MPH           BROWARD            FL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

TW
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 12:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1221 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

FLZ066-067-191700-
HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
1221 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER HENDRY AND WESTERN PALM BEACH
COUNTIES...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST OVER LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AND COMMUNITIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORES THROUGH 1 PM.
THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
THROUGH CLEWISTON...SOUTH BAY AND BELLE GLADE.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORMS HAVE PASSED.
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 2:15 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
215 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

FLZ073-074-191900-
DADE METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-
215 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN MIAMI-DADE
COUNTY THROUGH 3 PM. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH FROM MIAMI LAKES TO CORAL GABLES AND AREAS TO THE EAST. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS
AS THEY MOVE EAST AT 20 MPH.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORMS HAVE PASSED.
Local storm report, Jul 19, 2:24 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
224 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 N CUTLER RIDGE        25.64N 80.36W
07/19/2004  65 MPH           MIAMI-DADE         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Miami, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 11:36 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL54 min
Jul 19, 11:44 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL61 min
Jul 19, 1:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL55 min
Jul 19, 1:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFLMiami-Dade26 min
Jul 19, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFLBroward, Miami-Dade33 min
Jul 19, 3:03 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL57 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.