Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Miami, FL

July 16, 2004Broward County, Florida

NWS Miami, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2004, 2:18 PM EDT for Broward County, Florida. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2004, 2:18 PM EDT (18:18 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2004, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS Miami, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Broward County, FL

The radar

The Miami radar (KAMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 26 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1186 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1186 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1111 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KMFL 161818
SVRMIA
FLC011-161915-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
217 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 217 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL OVER PEMBROKE PINES...MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  PEMBROKE PINES.
  NORTH PERRY AIRPORT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO 
WARNING. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST 
FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO 
CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 2610 8030 2597 8040 2597 8023 2612 8014

$$

JBL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 1:45 PM EDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 1:45 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
145 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2004

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGE STILL SOUTH OF THE CWA AND SHOULD REMAIN
SOUTH THROUGH MID WEEK. AFTER THAT...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL MOVE
NORTH AGAIN AND BE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY...AM BUYING THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT POPS THE
GFS IS ADVERTISING OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA EACH
AFTERNOON. A LONG WAVE TROUGH IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS HAS BEEN
TAKING UP RESIDENCE OVER THE EAST SIDE OF THE COUNTRY WITH A RIDGE
OVER THE WEST. CONVECTION WILL BE ENHANCED LATER TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT DUE TO A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE JUST ABOUT TO MOVE SOUTHEAST
INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. SEVERAL SHORT WAVES WILL BE ROTATING AROUND THE
LONG WAVE AT LEAST THROUGH TUESDAY TO ENCHANCE ACTIVITY EACH
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE GFS SHOWS THE LAST SHORT WAVE
PASSING SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BY NEXT
WEEKEND...MID/UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD IN TO OUR NORTH...SO FOR THE
LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK WE WILL SEE THE HIGHER POPS SHIFT WESTWARD
AGAIN.
&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL REMAIN MAINLY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10
KNOTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN SHIFT SE. NO HIGHLIGHTS
EXPECTED.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHT ANTICIPATED.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 76 93 76 93 / 40 60 40 50
FORT LAUDERDALE 78 91 77 92 / 30 50 30 50
MIAMI           78 92 77 93 / 30 50 30 50
NAPLES          78 90 78 89 / 20 30 20 30
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 4:05 AM EDT, 10 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
405 AM EDT FRI JUL 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA

FLZ063-066>075-162100-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-
MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH EASTERN-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE-
405 AM EDT FRI JUL 16 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...HIGH RISK OF LIGHTNING PALM BEACH COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON...
...MODERATE RISK OF LIGHTNING REST OF EAST AND INTERIOR...
...STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE INTERIOR AND EAST COAST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAT INDICES 105 TO 110 MOST AREAS...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR AND EAST
COAST METRO AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND COULD ALSO BE STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH AND HAIL POSSIBLE. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL
OCCURRED YESTERDAY, AND THIS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM OCCURRING AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S ACROSS
INTERIOR AND EASTERN LOCATIONS, COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY, WILL
MAKE IT FEEL AS IF TEMPERATURES WILL BE 105 TO 110.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON INTERIOR AND EAST.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Miami, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 1:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFLMiami-Dade65 min
Jul 16, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFLMiami-Dade62 min
Jul 16, 2:40 PM EDTTornado WarningMFLMiami-Dade65 min
Jul 16, 2:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL64 min
Jul 16, 4:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.