Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Miami, FL
NWS Miami, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2004, 8:22 PM EDT for Collier County, Florida. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 2, 2004, 8:22 PM EDT (00:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 2, 2004, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 38 min
- Issued by
- NWS Miami, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Collier County, FL
The radar
The Miami radar (KAMX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2059 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 969 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 1 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 13 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS52 KMFL 030022 SVRMIA FLC021-030100- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 821 PM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA. * UNTIL 900 PM EDT * AT 821 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER IMMOKALEE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. * THE STORM WILL AFFECT... IMMOKALEE BY 825 PM EDT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...DAMAGING HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. OR YOU CAN ALSO CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI DIRECTLY AT 305.229.4522 TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER. LAT...LON 2641 8132 2651 8138 2644 8155 2631 8152 $$ GARCIA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 2, 2:05 PM EDT, 6 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 2:05 PM EDT, 6 hours 17 minutes before
SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 205 PM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 .DISCUSSION...ATMOSPHERE REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MODELS CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN SURFACE RIDGE IN ITS CURRENT POSITION NORTH OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. BEST CHANCE FOR ANY RAIN THIS RUN LOOKS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING WEST TOWARD EASTERN CUBA. MODELS ALL INDICATING THIS WAVE SHOULD BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE AND FORCING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND TO RAISE THREAT OF RAIN A BIT HIGHER THAN IN RECENT DAYS. MOS GUIDANCE CONVERGING ON ABOUT 50 PERCENT POPS MOST ZONES. WILL KEEP THE CURRENT 40 PERCENT FORECAST EAST COAST... GIVEN BUST OF LAST WAVE. CURRENT/RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY OF WAVE DOES NOT REALLY SUPPORT MUCH OF AN ARGUMENT FOR RAISING POPS ANY HIGHER. MOS TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD. REST OF FORECAST PERIODS LOOK LIKE CARBON COPY OF PAST FEW DAYS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS EAST COAST EACH NIGHT AND MORNING...SCATTERED STORMS INTERIOR/WEST EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. && .MARINE...WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY EAST LESS THAN 15 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST. NO HIGHLIGHTS. && .FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS...HOWEVER HWO WILL CONTINUE WITH CAUTIONARY STATEMENT THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND MENTIONING DRY FUELS EAST ZONES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 77 89 77 89 / 20 40 40 40 FORT LAUDERDALE 79 89 78 89 / 20 40 40 40 MIAMI 79 89 78 90 / 20 40 40 40 NAPLES 75 90 76 91 / 10 50 50 40 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 2, 4:30 AM EDT, 15 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 430 AM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FLZ068-072-074-022100- BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-PALM BEACH EASTERN- 430 AM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 .DAY ONE...TODAY ...MODERATE RISK OF WATERSPOUTS ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY... ...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EAST COAST TODAY... THE WINDS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS TODAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER NORTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A MODERATE RISK OF WATERSPOUTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR OVER THE EAST METRO REGIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND BRIEF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MPH. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ...EXERCISE CAUTION WITH FIREWORKS THIS WEEKEND EAST METRO AREAS... DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS. VEGETATION IS DRY AND FIRE IGNITIONS IN VEGETATION CAN BE SET OFF BY FIREWORKS THIS WEEKEND. THEREFORE...PEOPLE NEED TO USE CAUTION WITH FIREWORKS THIS WEEKEND. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. FLZ063-066-067-069>071-073-075-022100- EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH WESTERN- WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE- 430 AM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 .DAY ONE...TODAY ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INTERIOR AND WEST COAST... THE WEST COAST AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZES SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND PUSH INLAND. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD BE THE DOMINATE SEA BREEZE TODAY MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...WHILE THE THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL REMAIN NEAR THE COAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG BOTH SEA BREEZES THIS AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MPH. IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER MOVE INTO A STURDY BUILDING. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. BAXTER
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 2, 7:55 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 755 PM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 FLZ066-070-030045- EASTERN COLLIER-HENDRY- 755 PM EDT FRI JUL 2 2004 AT 754 PM EDT DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE GOLDEN GATE NORTH THROUGH IMMOKALEE AND TO JUST SOUTH LA BELLE. THESE STORMS WERE BARELY MOVING. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. OR YOU CAN ALSO CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI DIRECTLY AT 305.229.4522 TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Miami, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MFL | Glades, Hendry | 31 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.