Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Miami, FL

June 15, 2004Collier County, Florida

NWS Miami, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2004, 2:57 PM EDT for Collier County, Florida. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2004, 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2004, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Miami, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Collier County, FL

The radar

The Miami radar (KAMX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2341 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 5 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2341 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

228 
WUUS52 KMFL 151857
SVRMIA
FLC021-152000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
256 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

* AT 256 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS 20 MILES EAST OF MARCO
  ISLAND...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  COPELAND BY 255 PM EDT.
  ROYAL PALM HAMMOCK BY 330 PM EDT.
  GOODLAND BY 340 PM EDT.
  BELLE MEADE BY 350 PM EDT.
  MARCO ISLAND BY 355 PM EDT.
  SOUTH NAPLES BY 400 PM EDT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...DAMAGING HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR 
HOME OR BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 2585 8133 2603 8131 2615 8186 2588 8190

$$

HANDEL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 2:10 PM EDT, 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 2:10 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
210 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2004

.DISCUSSION...VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH SOUTHEAST FLOW IN PLACE RAINFALL
WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR INTERIOR/WEST ZONES EACH AFTERNOON. A FEW
SHOWERS OR STORMS WILL OCCASIONALLY MOVE ONSHORE EAST COAST OR
DEVELOP OVER WESTERN METRO AREAS BEFORE MOVING INTO THE EVERGLADES.
SLIGHT DIFFERENCES IN WIND FLOW CHARACTERISTICS CAN PRODUCE
NOTICEABLE CHANGES IN THE PATTERN OF RAINFALL OVER THE EASTERN METRO
AREAS THIS TIME OF YEAR. DONT SEE ANYTHING IN CURRENT NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE THAT WOULD NECESSITATE RAISING POPS IN THESE ZONES AT THIS
TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOUT NORMAL.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL CONTINUE LIGHT SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
NO HEADLINES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 78 89 78 88/ 20 20 20 20
FORT LAUDERDALE 80 88 79 87/ 20 20 20 20
MIAMI           78 89 78 88/ 20 20 20 20
NAPLES          75 92 74 92/ 30 50 30 40
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 11:44 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1144 AM EDT TUE JUN 15 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA

FLZ068-072-074-152200-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
842 AM EDT TUE JUN 15 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...HIGH RISK OF WATERSPOUTS...

SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS IN LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF WATERSPOUTS DEVELOPING OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THOUGH MARINE REPORTS OF ANY
WATERSPOUTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

FLZ063-066-067-069>071-073-075-152200-
EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE-
842 AM EDT TUE JUN 15 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...HIGH RISK OF LIGHTNING IN POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...
...HEAT INDICES 105 TO 109...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS MOSTLY OVER INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45
MPH.

MAXIMUM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID 90S
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE HIGH
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES
RANGING FROM 105 TO 109. IF GOING OUTDOORS...DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS
AND AVOID STRENUOUS ACTIVITY DURING THE HOTTEST PART OF THE DAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DURING THE SUMMER IN SOUTH FLORIDA...THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NEARLY A DAILY OCCURRENCE. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
BE SOMETHING TO BE AWARE OF EACH DAY.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON.

HANDEL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Miami, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 2:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMFL55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.