Severe Thunderstorm Warning 231, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
950 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHES FROM ABOUT PARIS TN TO JONESBORO AR
THIS MORNING. ONLY A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTHWARD PROGRESS IS EXPECTED
IF ANY AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. ATMOSPHERE IS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. 12Z LZK INDICATES AFTERNOON
CAPES CLIMBING CLOSE TO 5000 J/KG. WITH SOME DRY ALOFT...ISOLATED
STORMS COULD CONTAIN HIGH WINDS. WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS ARE
HIGH...AROUND 12800 FT...REDUCING THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. SATELLITE
INDICATES MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OVER OK/AR IS BEGINNING TO
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD. REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM OR
CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES FROM THIS SYSTEM COULD AFFECT PART OF NORTH MS
THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST IS OK. HOWEVER...FORECAST MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES MAY NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR THIS AFTERNOON. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR AN UPDATE.

&&

.MEG...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
305 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-081100-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
305 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ISOLATED
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1253 PM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

TNZ090-091-071815-
HARDEMAN TN-MCNAIRY TN-
1253 PM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...HARDEMAN AND MCNAIRY
COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF POCAHONTAS AT
1253 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40
MPH AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN HARDEMAN AND MCNAIRY COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
SELMER...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
102 PM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

ARZ058-MSZ010-071815-
COAHOMA MS-PHILLIPS AR-
102 PM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...COAHOMA AND PHILLIPS
COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF CRUMROD AT 102 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

PEOPLE IN COAHOMA AND PHILLIPS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
CLARKSDALE AND ELAINE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.