Flash Flood Warning 88, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
806 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

.DISCUSSION...

WILL SEND AN UPDATE TO CLEAN UP ZONE WORDING. WILL TAKE OUT MENTION
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN FORECAST AREA AND
ADJUST RAIN CHANCES. THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY NOTED ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE WHERE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN
FAYETTE COUNTY EARLIER. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN MOVING INTO MORE
STABLE  AIR AND HAVING A TOUGH TIME STAYING TOGETHER. OVERALL HAVE
BEEN SEEING A DECREASE IN INTENSITY. LAST RADAR IMAGES SHOW MORE
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER WESTERN FAYETTE AND NORTHERN SHELBY COUNTY.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY HAVE THE SAME FATE AS THOSE DIMINISHING
OVER SOUTHERN FAYETTE AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES.

&&

.MEG...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

AC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
755 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-201000-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
755 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
816 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     HAIL             3 W JACKSON             35.63N 88.88W
10/19/2004  0.25 INCH        MADISON            TN   AIRPLANE PILOT

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL ALONG WESTPORT
            RD. TO THE WEST OF MCKELLAR SIPES REGIONAL AIRPORT.

0315 PM     TORNADO          3 W JACKSON             35.63N 88.88W
10/19/2004                   MADISON            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A SECOND REPORT BY ANOTHER TRAINED SPOTTER OF A TORNADO
            TOUCHDOWN NEAR MCKELLAR-SIPES REGIONAL AIRPORT.

0315 PM     TORNADO          3 W JACKSON             35.63N 88.88W
10/19/2004                   MADISON            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTER NEAR MCKELLAR SIPES
            REGIONAL AIRPORT.

0419 PM     HAIL             3 S HENDERSON           35.40N 88.65W
10/19/2004  1.75 INCH        CHESTER            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER 3 MILES SOUTH OF
            HENDERSON.

0509 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     ADAMSVILLE              35.23N 88.39W
10/19/2004                   MCNAIRY            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED BY TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER ALONG
            HIGHWAY 64 IN ADAMSVILLE.

0601 PM     HAIL             6 S SAVANNAH            35.14N 88.24W
10/19/2004  1.00 INCH        HARDIN             TN   AIRPLANE PILOT

            A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED 50-60 MPH WINDS AND
            QUARTER-SIZED HAIL.

0612 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PICKWICK DAM            35.05N 88.25W
10/19/2004                   HARDIN             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORT RELAYED FROM TRAINED STORM SPOTTER BY
            WKWX RADIO.

&&

JLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
819 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

...TORNADIC OUTBREAK OF OCTOBER 18TH 2004 ACROSS THE MID SOUTH...

...DYERSBURG TENNESSEE...

DYERSBURG TENNESSEE...DURING THE MID EVENING HOURS THE DAMAGE TRACK
BEGAN 2 MILES WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF STATE ROUTE 78 AND
BUSINESS ROUTE 51 DAMAGE ENCOUNTERED ALONG THE TRACK WAS PRIMARILY
LARGE TREE LIMBS. A SMALL HANDFUL OF POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED ON
STATE ROUTE 104 BETWEEN FINLEY AND DYERSBURG.

SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE WAS SUSTAINED TO THE ROOF AND FACADE OF HELCO
MANUFACTURING IN NORTHWEST DYERSBURG. DAMAGE CONSISTED OF SHEET
METAL REMOVED AND TWISTED FROM THE ROOF AND SIDES OF THE BUILDINGS,
AN AIR CONDITIONER LIFTED OFF THE ROOF...BRICK VENEER REMOVED FROM
THE FRONT OFFICES WITH WINDOWS BLOWN OUT IN THE FRONT OFFICES AND
GLASS/BODY DAMAGE DONE TO VEHICLES ON PARKING LOT. DAMAGE ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE BUILDING EXHIBITED A NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DAMAGE
PATTERN WITH THE NORTH AND EAST SIDE SHOWING DAMAGE CREATED BY WINDS
COMING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS CONVERGENT PATTERN
INDICATED DAMAGE WAS CAUSED BY A F1 TORNADO WITH WIND SPEEDS
ESTIMATED AROUND 100 MPH. THE WIDTH OF THE DAMAGE PATH WAS
APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WIDE WITH A TOTAL DAMAGE PATH LENGTH OF ONE
HALF MILE.

ANOTHER AREA OF DAMAGE WAS UNCOVERED ALONG STATE ROUTE 78 BETWEEN
US-155 AND STATE ROUTE 104. PARTIAL DAMAGE TO SIGNS AND
BUILDINGS/STRUCTURES ALONG WITH TREE DAMAGE RESULTED FROM STRAIGHT
LINE WIND DAMAGE.

...PARIS TENNESSEE...

PARIS TENNESSEE...DURING THE MID EVENING HOURS THE DAMAGE TRACK
BEGAN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES EAST FROM THE TOWN OF COMO...NEAR THE
WEAKLEY/HENRY COUNTY LINE ON ROUTE 54. MOST OF THE DAMAGE AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE TRACK WAS LARGE TREES SNAPPED IN HALF AND A FEW
LARGE TREES UPROOTED. SOME TREES FELL ONTO RESIDENTIAL
STRUCTURES...RESULTING IN MOSTLY PARTIAL DAMAGE TO THOSE STRUCTURES.
FURTHER INTO THE WESTERN SECTION OF DOWNTOWN PARIS...A SMALL HANDFUL
OF RESIDENTIAL HOMES SUSTAINED PARTIAL STRUCTURE DAMAGE ALONG WITH
MODERATE DAMAGE TO A 9TH GRADE OUTDOOR SPORTS FACILITY. SEVERAL
RADIO COMMUNICATION TOWERS WERE BENT IN HALF. A LARGE TREE FELL ON
THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE COURTHOUSE DAMAGING THE UPPER STORY AND
ADJACENT ROOF. THE DAMAGE PATH WIDTH RANGED FROM 200 YARDS WEST OF
PARIS TO ABOUT 300 YARDS WITHIN THE CITY LIMITS. THE TOTAL DAMAGE
PATH LENGTH OF THE TORNADO WAS 8 1/4 MILES.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE FORTHCOMING ON THE NWS MEMPHIS
WEB SITE...ALONG WITH A DAMAGE ASSESSMENT REPORT FROM ARKANSAS AND
MISSOURI IN A LATER STATEMENT.

...TORNADO DAMAGE F-SCALE RATINGS FOR REFERENCE...

F0...40 TO 72 MPH
F1...73 TO 112 MPH
F2...113 TO 157 MPH
F3...158 TO 206 MPH
F4...207 TO 260 MPH
F5...261 TO 318 MPH

CHASKELSON/CORDERO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1001 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

...TORNADIC OUTBREAK OF OCTOBER 18TH 2004 ACROSS THE MID SOUTH...

...DYERSBURG TENNESSEE...

DYERSBURG TENNESSEE...DURING THE MID EVENING HOURS THE DAMAGE TRACK
BEGAN 2 MILES WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF STATE ROUTE 78 AND
BUSINESS ROUTE 51 DAMAGE ENCOUNTERED ALONG THE TRACK WAS PRIMARILY
LARGE TREE LIMBS. A SMALL HANDFUL OF POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED ON
STATE ROUTE 104 BETWEEN FINLEY AND DYERSBURG.

SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE WAS SUSTAINED TO THE ROOF AND FACADE OF HELCO
MANUFACTURING IN NORTHWEST DYERSBURG. DAMAGE CONSISTED OF SHEET
METAL REMOVED AND TWISTED FROM THE ROOF AND SIDES OF THE BUILDINGS,
AN AIR CONDITIONER LIFTED OFF THE ROOF...BRICK VENEER REMOVED FROM
THE FRONT OFFICES WITH WINDOWS BLOWN OUT IN THE FRONT OFFICES AND
GLASS/BODY DAMAGE DONE TO VEHICLES ON PARKING LOT. DAMAGE ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE BUILDING EXHIBITED A NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DAMAGE
PATTERN WITH THE NORTH AND EAST SIDE SHOWING DAMAGE CREATED BY WINDS
COMING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS CONVERGENT PATTERN
INDICATED DAMAGE WAS CAUSED BY A F1 TORNADO WITH WIND SPEEDS
ESTIMATED AROUND 100 MPH. THE WIDTH OF THE DAMAGE PATH WAS
APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WIDE WITH A TOTAL DAMAGE PATH LENGTH OF ONE
HALF MILE.

ANOTHER AREA OF DAMAGE WAS UNCOVERED ALONG STATE ROUTE 78 BETWEEN
US-155 AND STATE ROUTE 104. PARTIAL DAMAGE TO SIGNS AND
BUILDINGS/STRUCTURES ALONG WITH TREE DAMAGE RESULTED FROM STRAIGHT
LINE WIND DAMAGE.

...PARIS TENNESSEE...

PARIS TENNESSEE...DURING THE MID EVENING HOURS THE DAMAGE TRACK
BEGAN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES EAST FROM THE TOWN OF COMO...NEAR THE
WEAKLEY/HENRY COUNTY LINE ON ROUTE 54. MOST OF THE DAMAGE AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE TRACK WAS LARGE TREES SNAPPED IN HALF AND A FEW
LARGE TREES UPROOTED. SOME TREES FELL ONTO RESIDENTIAL
STRUCTURES...RESULTING IN MOSTLY PARTIAL DAMAGE TO THOSE STRUCTURES.
FURTHER INTO THE WESTERN SECTION OF DOWNTOWN PARIS...A SMALL HANDFUL
OF RESIDENTIAL HOMES SUSTAINED PARTIAL STRUCTURE DAMAGE ALONG WITH
MODERATE DAMAGE TO A 9TH GRADE OUTDOOR SPORTS FACILITY. SEVERAL
RADIO COMMUNICATION TOWERS WERE BENT IN HALF. A LARGE TREE FELL ON
THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE COURTHOUSE DAMAGING THE UPPER STORY AND
ADJACENT ROOF. THE DAMAGE ALONG THIS PATH ALSO INDICATED TORNADIC F1
DAMAGE. THE DAMAGE PATH WIDTH RANGED FROM 200 YARDS WEST OF PARIS TO
ABOUT 300 YARDS WITHIN THE CITY LIMITS. THE TOTAL DAMAGE PATH LENGTH
OF THE TORNADO WAS 8 1/4 MILES.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE FORTHCOMING ON THE NWS MEMPHIS WEB
SITE...ALONG WITH A DAMAGE ASSESSMENT REPORT FROM ARKANSAS AND
MISSOURI IN A LATER STATEMENT.

...TORNADO DAMAGE F-SCALE RATINGS FOR REFERENCE...

F0...40 TO 72 MPH
F1...73 TO 112 MPH
F2...113 TO 157 MPH
F3...158 TO 206 MPH
F4...207 TO 260 MPH
F5...261 TO 318 MPH

CHASKELSON/CORDERO