Flash Flood Warning 57, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WGUS74 KMEG 281443
FFSMEM
MSC115-281545-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
937 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PONTOTOC COUNTY UNTIL
1045 AM CDT. RAIN IS ENDING ACROSS PONTOTOC COUNTY FOR THE TIME 
BEING. HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE 
TO LEAD TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. 

RADAR INDICATES THE HEAVIEST RAIN OCCURRED IN AREA NORTH AND EAST OF 
PONTOTOC TO FURRS. AMOUNTS NEAR 4 INCHES OCCURRED IN SOME LOCATIONS.

CITIES AFFECTED THROUGH 1045 AM CDT INCLUDE...
  PONTOTOC
  FURRS
AND SURROUNDING LOCATIONS.

.DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. IT ONLY TAKES A FOOT OF WATER TO FLOAT A VEHICLE.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
301 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DIMINISHING OVER THE MIDWEST THIS
MORNING. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHWARD INTO THE RED
RIVER VALLEY AND THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS OF TEXAS. THESE STORMS
FORMED AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT.

CONVECTION WHICH FIRED OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI/ILLINOIS HAS SENT AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SURGING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE MID SOUTH. THIS
FEATURE IS EVIDENT ON IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ROUGHLY LOCATED JUST
NORTH OF THE MO BOOTHEEL BISECTING PADUCAH KY. MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE
BEEN ENHANCING SINCE MIDNIGHT OVER WEST TN AND CENTRAL AR. THE MID
LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE EXTENDED SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH MS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THIS REGION OF MID LEVEL ENHANCEMENT
AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY.

WITH THE ONGOING INSTABILITY AND APPROACHING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY RAIN
CHANCES TODAY WILL BE VERY HIGH. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE HIGHLY
DEPENDENT ON CLOUD COVER AND WET GROUND. SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP WILL
MOVE SLOWLY NORTH SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.

THE UPPER TROUGH WILL TAKE ITS TIME DRIFTING ACROSS THE MIDWEST.
UNTIL IT DOES SO BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NORTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA. WE WILL BRING THE FRONT INTO THE NORTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE FA MID DAY SUNDAY. UNTIL THEN A WET FORECAST IS IN
STORE FOR THE REGION. AS THE FRONT PUSHES INTO CENTRAL MS/AL SKIES
WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR...GIVING WAY TO DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR.

&&

.MEG...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

AC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
500 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-291000-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
500 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MID SOUTH REGION.
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL MOVE SLOWLY AND LIKELY REDEVELOP OVER THE
SAME AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT
CAUSING POTENTIAL FLOODING PROBLEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL OOZE INTO THE MID SOUTH SUNDAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES
SOUTHWARD. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING
PROBLEMS ON SUNDAY. RAINFALL WILL END BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.