Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

April 2, 2004Mitchell County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 2, 2004, 12:35 PM CST for Mitchell County, Texas. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 2, 2004, 12:35 PM CST (18:35 UTC)
Expired: Apr 2, 2004, 1:30 PM CST
In force: 55 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Mitchell County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 73 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -137 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1213 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

513 
WUUS54 KMAF 021835
SVRMAF
TXC335-021930-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1235 PM CST FRI APR 2 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MITCHELL COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 130 PM CST

* AT 1232 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  WESTBROOK...OR ABOUT 10 MILES WEST OF COLORADO CITY...AND MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
  CUTHBERT AND COLORADO CITY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 5 9 7 3 2 2 0.

LAT...LON 3213 10116 3211 10072 3247 10070 3251 10115

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 2, 11:59 AM CST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 11:59 AM CST, 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX...UPDATED
1155 AM CST FRI APR  2 2004

WENT AHEAD AND LOWERED POPS THIS AFTERNOON PER CURRENT OBSERVATIONS...
TRENDS AND INCOMING DATA. NOT MUCH ACTIVITY OCCURRING ON RADAR AT
THE MOMENT...THE EXCEPTION ARE SOME DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND IMMEDIATE ADJACENT PLAINS AND A STRONG STORM IN
NORTHERN TERRELL COUNTY IN THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. EXPECTING AN INCREASE
IN DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF OLD MEXICO INTO
EXTREME SOUTHWEST TEXAS. THE STORMS SHOULD THEN TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING THROUGH THE PERMIAN BASIN AND
THE EXTREME WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION SEVERE
WORDING IN ZONES AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AS A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE
IN CLOUDS WILL INCREASE INSTABILITY ALONG WITH INCREASING WIND SHEAR ALONG
AND AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE. UPPED HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON A FEW
DEGREES WITH MORE HEATING.

UPDATED SFT/PFM HAS BEEN SENT

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

&&

12

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 11:50 AM CST, 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX...UPDATED
1150 AM CST FRI APR 2 2004

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-022100-
ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-CRANE-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-REAGAN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
TERRELL-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER-
1150 AM CST (1050 AM MST) FRI APR 2 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ROTATES
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE BIG BEND REGION INTO NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT. A FEW
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...
MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN SOUTHWARD TO
THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND BIG BEND REGION...GENERALLY EAST OF A JAL...
PECOS...TO PERSIMMON GAP LINE. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH...HAIL GREATER THAN THE SIZE OF PENNIES...AND DEADLY
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

RAINFALL RATES COULD APPROACH OR EXCEED ONE INCH PER HOUR AND PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ARROYOS...DRAWS...AND OTHER AREAS SUSCEPTIBLE
TO HIGH WATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ACROSS WEST TEXAS
OR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
LATER TONIGHT. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND
CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MAF.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 2, 1:23 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Mitchell	3 hr
Apr 2, 1:37 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Scurry	3 hr
Apr 2, 3:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	52 min
Apr 2, 3:33 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Dawson	42 min
Apr 2, 4:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	63 min
Apr 2, 5:06 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.