Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 230, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 17, 2004Reeves County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 17, 2004, 11:38 PM CDT for Reeves County, Texas. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 17, 2004, 11:38 PM CDT (04:38 UTC)
Expired: Jun 18, 2004, 12:45 AM CDT
In force: 67 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Reeves County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 812 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2494 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

203 
WUUS54 KMAF 180438
SVRMAF
TXC389-180545-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1138 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1245 AM CDT

* AT 1136 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES
  SOUTH OF TOYAH...OR 24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PECOS...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TOYAH...
  PECOS
  
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH... PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... AND DEADLY
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER... HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIDLAND.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3119 10394 3103 10366 3140 10328 3143 10340
      3142 10347 3155 10354 3157 10361

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 17, 2:38 PM CDT, 9 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 2:38 PM CDT, 9 hours before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
238 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

.SHORT TERM...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA IS NOT QUITE AS RICH AS YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S F ACROSS THE BIG BEND
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THIS WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. MOST ACTIVITY WILL INITIATE
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND BIG BEND
REGION...THEN MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...WESTERN
PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. 0-6KM WINDS WILL BE WEAK
OVER THE BIG BEND AND DUE TO YESTERDAY/S RAINFALL AND PWAT/S PROGGED
TO BE AROUND 1.25 INCHES THROUGH THIS EVENING...WE HAVE OPTED TO
MENTION HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND BIG BEND REGION.

.LONG TERM...
BROAD UPPER LVL RIDGE TO MAINTAIN A RATHER STATIC WX PATTERN THRU
SAT...W/TEMPS CONTINUING TO CLIMB TO AROUND THE CENTURY MARK EACH
DAY...AND DIURNAL/OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION EACH DAY.  WV IMAGERY SHOWS
AN UPPER LVL TROF OVER SASKATCHEWAN...AND THIS IS PROGGED TO SEND A
WEAK FRONT TOWARD THE FA FRI NIGHT/SAT MORNING.  HOWEVER...MODELS
STALL IT JUST NORTH OF THE AREA.  ON SUN...THE FIRST OF A COUPLE OF
PAC TROFS BREAKS DOWN THE RIDGE AND MOVES THRU W TX.  WHILE THE
ECMWF PORTRAYS THIS A LITTLE DEEPER AND SLOWER...BOTH IT AND THE GFS
ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT FAR OUT OTHERWISE.
THUS...WILL EXPAND ISOLD CHANCES CONVECTION OUT OF THE MTNS SUN AND
ONTO THE PLAINS.  OTHERWISE...PRECIP GRIDS LOOK GOOD...W/BEST
CHANCES MON AS A DEEPER SECONDARY TROF FOLLOWS THE FIRST.  AFTER
MONDAY...MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE...BUT BOTH MAINTAIN A STATIONARY
TROF OVR SOCAL...SW FLOW ALOFT...AND PLENTY OF SHRTWVS MOVG THRU THE
FLOW.  STARTING SUN W/THE ARRIVAL OF THE FIRST TROF...AND A GOOD
FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL MSTR...TEMPS SHOULD MODERATE SOMEWHAT CLOSER TO
CLIMATOLOGY...I.E...A COOL MID 90S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX             70 100  75  97 /  20   0  10  10
CARLSBAD NM               68 100  71  99 /  30  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                 72  95  71  93 /  20  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX          71  98  73  98 /  30  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX         67  96  70  95 /  10  10  10  10
HOBBS NM                  69  99  71  98 /  30  10  10  10
MARFA TX                  62  92  62  90 /  40  20  20  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX   71 100  74  98 /  20  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                 71 101  75  99 /  20  10  10  10
WINK TX                   73 104  76 102 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

&&

06/44

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 3:00 PM CDT, 8 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
300 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-180900-
ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-CRANE-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-REAGAN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
TERRELL-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER-
300 PM CDT (200 PM MDT) THU JUN 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ARROYOS...CREEKS AND OTHER LOW-LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 17, 9:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
918 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     HAIL             10 E PLATEAU            31.06N 104.39W
06/17/2004  1.75 INCH        CULBERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            GOLFBALL HAIL COVERING INTERSTATE 10.

&&

70

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 17, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	43 min
Jun 18, 3:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reeves	55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.