Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 259, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2004, 10:17 PM CDT for Arkansas County, Jefferson County, Arkansas. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2004, 10:17 PM CDT (03:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 16, 2004, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 43 min
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Arkansas County, AR, Jefferson County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 262 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 227 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -153 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1375 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 189 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 424 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 6:45 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 6:45 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 645 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 .DISCUSSION... WHOLESALE CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE ZONES/GRIDS WITH AN UPDATE COMING AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 648 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE AT 7 PM AS ALL CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF TO THE EAST. OF MORE SIGNIFICANCE WILL BE A COMPLETE REWORK OF POPS AND QPF FIELDS. CURRENT SATELLITE SHOWS REMNANT OF A STRONG MCV CURRENTLY IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. STILL NO ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AS AIR MASS APPEARS TO BE CAPPED IN THIS AREA. QUICK LOOK AT THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM KLZK SHOWS VIRTUALLY NO CAP. WHILE PRECIPITATION IS STILL POSSIBLE AS FEATURE MOVES INTO A MORE DESIRABLE ENVIRONMENT ...POPS WILL BE SLASHED ACROSS THE BOARD. WILL KEEP HIGHER POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH AS FEATURE EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. WILL REEVALUATE FORECAST WHEN NEW MODEL RUN COMES IN AND ANOTHER UPDATE MAY BE WARRANTED. && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && 56
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 9:50 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 950 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 950 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH ARKANSAS TONIGHT...WITH STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE AFFECTED AREAS WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HOT SPRINGS...TO LITTLE ROCK...TO BRINKLEY. AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THIS LINE WILL SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ARE THESE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTH ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE STATE AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. 58
The office that day
Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 11:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Jefferson | 2 hr |
| Jul 17, 12:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jefferson, Lincoln | 43 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.