Severe Thunderstorm Warning 198, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1055 AM CDT SUN JUN 13 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WEAKENING AS THEY PUSH INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS
OF ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH. DRIER AIR/LOWER DEWPOINTS BEHIND THE
CONVECTION...WITH WARM/HUMID AIR FARTHER SOUTH. LEFTOVER BOUNDARY
SEPARATING AIRMASSES MAY BECOME FOCUS FOR MORE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.

MORNING SOUNDING FROM LZK NOT SHOWING MUCH OF A CAP TODAY...WITH MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES NOT AS WARM AS IN RECENT DAYS. WITH BOUNDARY IN
PLACE...AND WITH SYSTEM ALOFT FROM OKLAHOMA EXPECTED TO INTERACT
WITH BOUNDARY...SCATTERED THUNDER MAY BE SKEWED MORE TOWARD
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH EMPHASIS LATELY FARTHER NORTH.

WENT AHEAD AND UPDATED FORECAST TO SKEW PRECIPITATION A LITTLE
FARTHER SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH KEPT A CHANCE OF THUNDER IN
THE NORTH. AS WAS THE CASE ON SATURDAY...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
HAVE SPOTTY SEVERE WEATHER...WITH LARGE HAIL/STRONG TO DAMAGING
WINDS.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 13 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-141000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A BOUNDARY FROM PRECIPITATION IN MISSOURI LAST NIGHT HAS PUSHED INTO
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...A SYSTEM ALOFT
WILL ARRIVE FROM OKLAHOMA...AND WILL INTERACT WITH THE BOUNDARY. AS
A RESULT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...MAINLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING...WITH ONLY ISOLATED PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SUMMERLIKE WEATHER IS IN THE FORECAST TO START THE WEEK...WITH WARM
AND HUMID CONDITIONS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. TOWARD MIDWEEK...A SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
NEAR...WITH CLOUDS INCREASING. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO PUSH INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NORTH...AND WILL STALL. FAIRLY GOOD CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED FROM MID TO LATE WEEK. ALSO...WITH MORE
CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SHOULD REMAIN SPOTTY.

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