Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Little Rock, AR

June 12, 2004Van Buren County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 12, 2004, 1:17 PM CDT for Van Buren County, Arkansas. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 12, 2004, 1:17 PM CDT (18:17 UTC)
Expired
Jun 12, 2004, 1:45 PM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Van Buren County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2004-06-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2508 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2004-06-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
749 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 12, 9:15 AM CDT, 4 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 9:15 AM CDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
915 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS POPPING UP THIS MORNING FROM SOUTHWEST INTO
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. WOULD FULLY EXPECT OUTFLOW FROM STORMS IN MISSOURI
TO TRIGGER HIT AND MISS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS.
GIVEN THIS...WENT WITH 30/40 PERCENT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN
ABOUT NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF STATE...WITH HIGHEST CHANCES TOWARD
NORTHWEST COUNTIES. ONLY 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN THE
SOUTHEAST. IN MOST CASES...MENTIONED THAT THUNDER WOULD BE ISOLATED
GIVEN SOME CAPPING...AND THE FACT THAT THUNDER HAS HAD DIFFICULTY
DEVELOPING LATELY. (46)
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

46
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 12, 12:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1203 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-131000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1203 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE IN NORTHERN
ARKANSAS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...
BUT ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS COULD OCCUR AS WELL. IN ADDITION...
THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HIGH HUMIDITY AND
UNSTABLE AIR WILL KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND
THE AREA DUE TO AFTERNOON HEATING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

28

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 12, 11:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Pope30 min
Jun 12, 11:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone36 min
Jun 12, 12:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKVan Buren41 min
Jun 12, 12:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard43 min
Jun 12, 1:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSharp42 min
Jun 12, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence27 min
Jun 12, 2:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPope28 min
Jun 12, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKVan Buren42 min
Jun 12, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKVan Buren31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.