Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 13, 2004, 6:05 PM CDT for Conway County, Arkansas. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 13, 2004, 6:05 PM CDT (23:05 UTC)
- Expired
- May 13, 2004, 6:40 PM CDT
- In force
- 35 min
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Conway County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1450 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -73 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 473 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 50 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 13, 3:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 13, 3:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 315 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004 .DISCUSSION... MOST OF THE WEATHER WILL BE ON THE FRONT END OF THIS FORECAST. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL PUSH SHORT WAVE TO THE NORTHEAST...TRIGGERING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS THERE...BUT SOMEWHAT TEMPERED ON ACCOUNT OF CLOUD DEBRIS MOVING OVER ARKANSAS FROM THE NE TEXAS COMPLEX. GFS NUMBERS PREFERRED ON THEIR PATTERN OF ENDING PRECIPITATION EARLY ON SATURDAY RATHER THAN DRAGGING POPS THROUGH ALL FOUR PERIODS BY THE FWC NUMBERS. SURFACE FRONT WILL CLEAR MOST OF THE STATE SATURDAY MORNING EXCEPT THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST CORNER. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN BORDER BY TUESDAY...SO INCLUDED CHANCES OF SHOWERS FOR THE NORTHERN SECTIONS ONLY ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. FOLLOWED TEMPERATURES FROM THE GFS CLOSELY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... LITTLE ROCK AR 65 73 53 75 / 80 60 10 10 HARRISON AR 56 62 45 72 / 80 40 10 10 HOT SPRINGS AR 65 73 53 76 / 80 60 10 10 PINE BLUFF AR 66 74 55 77 / 80 70 20 10 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 57 63 45 72 / 80 40 10 10 MONTICELLO AR 66 76 56 78 / 80 70 20 10 SEARCY AR 65 70 51 75 / 80 60 10 10 MOUNT IDA AR 65 72 52 75 / 80 50 10 10 RUSSELLVILLE AR 64 67 49 74 / 80 50 10 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && 32
Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 8:30 AM CDT, 9 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 830 AM CDT THU MAY 13 2004 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-141000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 830 AM CDT THU MAY 13 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING OVER ALL OF THE NATURAL STATE...AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES ACROSS ARKANSAS. LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND AREAS WEST OF A HARRISON...TO DANVILLE...TO EL DORADO LINE WILL BE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STORMS WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. AS THE FRONT MOVES TO THE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS...THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH...BUT SOME HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO EXIT ARKANSAS EARLY ON SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH RAIN CHANCES DECREASING FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 58
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.