Severe Thunderstorm Warning 108, NWS Little Rock, AR

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT FRI APR 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING. THIS WILL
ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS
MAINLY NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT IN THE GREAT
PLAINS STATES WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. THE NORTHWEST
HALF OF ARKANSAS IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND TONIGHT...MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM HOT SPRINGS...TO
CONWAY...TO SALEM. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
WITH THIS COLD FRONT. THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE WILL SEE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIMITED. DUE TO THE SATURATED GROUND IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS...ANY
RAINFALL RECEIVED COULD AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE STATE SATURDAY...THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST. MUCH OF THE STATE IS
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY...AS THE FRONT
WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE STATE. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT SATURDAY...AND INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. WITH SOME
RIVERS IN EASTERN ARKANSAS STILL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FROM THE HEAVY
RAINS LAST WEEK...ANY RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE OR PROLONG FLOODING.
AREAS EAST OF LITTLE ROCK WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF SEEING ONE TO
TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH SATURDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE SUNDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER
AND COOL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE
STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE ON
SATURDAY.

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