Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Baltimore/Washington

000 
WGUS71 KLWX 292133
FFSLWX
MDC001-WVC057-292330-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
524 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALLEGANY AND MINERAL COUNTIES
   UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES THAT HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS 
HAVE DEPOSITED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE WESTERN PARTS OF 
MINERAL AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES. FLOODED BASEMENTS WERE REPORTED IN 
AND AROUND WESTERNPORT. THESE HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
MOVE INTO THE AREA BY 630 PM AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO 
ANOTHER INCH OF RAINFALL THROUGH 730 PM EDT.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.
VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

$$

PELOQUIN

000 
WGUS71 KLWX 292332
FFSLWX
MDC001-WVC057-300130-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
727 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ALLEGANY AND MINERAL COUNTIES HAS 
EXPIRED...

THUNDERSTORMS THAT BROUGHT HEAVY RAINFALL TO ALLEGANY AND MINERAL 
COUNTIES HAVE WEAKENED AND MOVED AWAY FROM THE WARNED AREA. 
THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE UP TO A QUARTER OF 
AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THROUGH 10 PM...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE 
WESTERN PORTIONS OF ALLEGANY AND MINERAL COUNTIES...HOWEVER THIS 
WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FURTHER FLOODING. 

$$

PELOQUIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
230 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

SHORT TERM (TNGT/MON)...

SOME CHG TO THE TMRW PD. GASTON HAS SPED UP...AND BLV MAIN IMPACT WL
BE LATE AFTN MON GOING INTO MON NGT. LATEST TPC GUIDNC HAS THE
REMNANTS TRACKING OVER ST. MARYS CNTY ARND 11 PM MON NGT.

AS SAID ERLR...AM NOT OVERLY WOWED BY CPVCTN CHCS THIS EVE...
CERTAINLY NOT IN ASSO W/ THE VAUNTED BNDRY ALONG THE ERN GRT LKS.
BLV THERE WL BE SCT STORMS DVLPG OVR THE MTNS THRU MID EVE B4 THINGS
SETTLE DOWN...BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE FLOW PATTERN IN THE RDR
COMPOSITE...AS WELL AS THE VWP...THAT MEANS THESE WOULD DRIFT N
INSTED OF E INTO THE METRO AREAS. ANOTHER WARM NGT IS ON TAP FOR THE
RGN...U60S/L70S.

CLDS WL BE ON THE INCRS MON...ESPECIALLY IN THE ERN HALF OF THE CWA.
GIVEN CURRENT TRACK OF GASTON REMNANTS WL UP POPS TO LKLY IN THE ERN
THIRD OF THE AREA MON AFTN. CLD CVR WL ENSURE LOWER TEMPS THAN PAST
FEW DAYS..BUT PRBLY M80S MOST LOCALES. NOT THINKING OF ANY
WATCHES...AS THE HVST RAFL WL BE OVER THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST FFG
VALUES...AND GIVEN RAPID MVMT OF REMNANTS NOT XPCTG LARGE AMTS
ANYWAY. OTHER CONCERN WL BE INCRSD WINDS ALONG THE BAY...BUT THAT IS
MORE AN XTND ISSUE. THX PHL FOR COORD CALL.

LONG-TERM (MON NIGHT-SUN)

LATEST TPC FCST HAS REMNANT CIRCULATION OF GASTON OVER ST MARYS
COUNTY MD AT 11 PM MON. KEEPING LIKELY POPS FOR MON EVENING IN THE
EAST CHANCE ELSEWHERE. FOLLOWING THE FASTER GFS SOLUTION WITH
RESPECT TO GASTON AS SUGGESTED BY HPC. EXPECT CLEARING TO TAKE PLACE
QUICKLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NW AS GASTON
ACCELERATES TO THE NE.

REST OF THE WEEK...HIGH PRES AT THE SFC IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE
REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WHILE H5 RIDGE BEGINS TO TAKE
CONTROL OF THE REGION TOWARD THE WEEKEND. BEAUTIFUL LATE SUMMER WX
IS EXPECTED TUE-SUN WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND COMFORTABLE TEMPS.
AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS SLOWLY EAST AND SFC WINDS BECOMING LIGHT EASTERLY
WOULD EXPECTED MORNING FOG/STRATUS EACH DAY WITH LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW
OFF THE ATLC AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND CLEAR NIGHTS PROVIDED BY HIGH
PRES. HOWEVER...WILL KEEP MENTION OF FOG OUT OF THE GRIDS FOR NOW.
AS FOR HURR FRANCES HPC DAY 6/7 POSITION HAS FRANCES OVER THE FL
PENINSULA AND ATTM IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE ANY EFFECT IN THIS REGION.

ROSA

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SML CRFT PSBL MON NGT-TUE CHES BAY-LWR PTMC.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-301000-
ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV-
CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA-
FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD-
HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA-
MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV-
PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA-
RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-
SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WASHINGTON DC.

.DAY ONE...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
TROPICAL STORM GASTON CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
MONDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE ACCELERATING NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. WITH THIS TRACK...LITTLE IF ANY AFFECTS WILL
BE REALIZED THIS FAR NORTH...HOWEVER A SHIFT IN THE TRACK TO THE
NORTHWEST MAY BRING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AND HIGHER WINDS. PLEASE
REFERENCE THE LATEST TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER ADVISORY FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ND/ROGOWSKI