Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 195, NWS St. Louis, MO

July 5, 2004Monroe County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 5, 2004, 9:02 AM CDT for Monroe County, Illinois. It was in force for 28 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2004, 9:02 AM CDT (14:02 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2004, 9:30 AM CDT
In force: 28 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Monroe County, IL

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 5, 9:23 AM CDT	HAIL 0.88	Waterloo, IL
Jul 5, 9:23 AM CDT	HAIL 0.88	Waterloo, IL

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 5, 6:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 238 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 652 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -118 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1184 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 051402
SVRLSX
ILC133-051430-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
901 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 930 AM CDT

* AT 901 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER WATERLOO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEW DESIGN

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3852 9027 3833 9028 3820 9005 3823 8990
      3830 8992 3838 9010

$$

CARNEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 5, 2:15 AM CDT, 6 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 2:15 AM CDT, 6 hours 47 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
215 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONT EXTENDED FROM SOUTHERN WI ACROSS IA INTO WESTERN NEB EARLY
THIS MORNING WITH LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN CANADA
AND THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT IN POSITION OF COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST MO TUESDAY
MORNING.  THE GFS, ETA AND UKMET ARE ALL SIMILAR IN FORECASTING THE
FRONT TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN IN ACROSS THE BOOTHEEL INTO SOUTHERN
OK BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. WILL BUMP POPS INTO LIKELY CATEGORY FOR TUESDAY
WITH EXPECTED COLD FRONT PASSAGE.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.  AS A RESULT, SHOULD GET A BREAK IN THE RAIN
FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

850 MOISTURE WAS POOLED LAST EVENING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HOT 850 AIR WILL ADVECT ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION TODAY WITH 20-22C TEMPS.  THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE MORE
AGRESSIVE THAN THE ETA OR UKMET WITH THE COOLEST TEMPS AT 850 ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MO FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. COOL
DOWN DOESNT LAST LONG THOU, WITH MUCH WARMER AIR SPREADING BACK
INTO CENTRAL MO BY THURSDAY MORNING.

MCS CONTINUES TO ROLL ACROSS KS TOWARD WEST CENTRAL/NORTHWEST MO.
NEW WW JUST ISSUED.  850 MB PROFILER WINDS ACROSS KS SHOW A 40 KT
JET HAS DEVELOPED WITH SIGNIFICANT CONVERGENCE INTO SYSTEM.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.IL...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 5:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
500 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-061200-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
500 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
MISSOURI AND PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS
MORNING AND THEY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST MISSOURI DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.  ALSO FEW STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LEVEL WITH STRONG
AND GUSTY WIND UP TO 55 MPH AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ON TUESDAY.  SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  AFTER A BREAK WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY...THE
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN AGAIN OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AS
WARM AND HUMID AIR BEGINS FLOWING BACK INTO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 8:47 AM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
847 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     BLIZZARD         WEBSTER GROVES          38.59N 90.35W
07/05/2004                   ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 8:54 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
854 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     TSTM WND DMG     TROY                    38.73N 89.89W
07/05/2004                   MADISON            IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS AND TREES DOWN IN THE TOWN

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 8:54 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
854 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     TSTM WND DMG     TROY                    38.73N 89.89W
07/05/2004                   MADISON            IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS AND TREES DOWN IN THE TOWN

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 8:54 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
854 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

ILC149-MOC007-019-027-051-127-135-137-163-173-205-051500-
AUDRAIN-BOONE-CALLAWAY-COLE-MARION-MONITEAU-MONROE-PIKE-PIKE IL-
RALLS-SHELBY-
854 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR A PORTION
OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR MONITEAU...COLE...BOONE...
CALLAWAY...AUDRAIN...MONROE...RALLS AND PIKE COUNTIES IN MISSOURI
AND PIKE COUNTY ILLINOIS.

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:02 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
902 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HERMANN                 38.70N 91.43W
07/05/2004                   GASCONADE          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FEW LARGE TREES DOWN IN TOWN

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:02 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
902 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HERMANN                 38.70N 91.43W
07/05/2004                   GASCONADE          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FEW LARGE TREES DOWN IN TOWN

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 8:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Clair	38 min
Jul 5, 8:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Calhoun	31 min
Jul 5, 9:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Clinton, Saint Clair	45 min
Jul 5, 9:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Clair, Washington	49 min
Jul 5, 9:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison, Saint Clair	38 min
Jul 5, 10:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Macoupin, Montgomery	48 min
Jul 5, 10:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Bond, Clinton, Madison	38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.