Flash Flood Warning 26, NWS Chicago, IL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
658 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

.DISCUSSION...
FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS...WILL LET THE FLOOD WARNING FOR BENTON
CNTY EXPIRE AT 3 PM CDT AS NO FURTHER FLOODING IS BEING
REPORTED.

A PLETHORA OF SFC AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES BEGINNING TO SPAWN
DEEP MOIST CONVECTION IN NRN IA, WILL EVOLVE INTO A MCS LATER
TONIGHT AND LIKELY MOVE INTO THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
CONCURRENTLY...THE QUASI-STATIONARY DRAPED GENERALLY NW TO SE
ACROSS THE CWA MAY SERVE AS A CONDUIT FOR SCATTERED TSRA
DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE MCS. DUE TO
THE ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAINFALL ON TOP OF THE ALREADY SATURATED
GROUND FROM LAST NIGHTS ACTIVITY...HAVE HOISTED A FLOOD WATCH
FOR THE SRN PORTION OF THE CWA VALID TONIGHT THRU NOON SAT. NEXT
ISSUE IS TEMPS FOR SAT. THE MODELS VARY IN FRONTAL PLACEMENT,
NORTH OF THE CWA AND HENCE MAINTAIN RATHER WARM SFC TEMPS.
FOLLOWED CLOSER TO THE MAV AS WE FEEL TONIGHTS MCS SHOULD KEEP
THE BNDRY IN THE AREA THEREBY MAINTAINING AN AMPLE BNDRY LAYER CU
FIELD HOLDING TEMPS DOWN A BIT. OTHERWISE THE INHERITED FCST
APPEARS INTACT. ONE ITEM TO NOTE IS THE OPERATIONAL GFS IS
SIGNALING THE RETURN OF A WET PATTERN WED THRU FRI OF NEXT WEEK.
DECIDED TO WAIT A DAY BEFORE JUMPING ON A WET EXTENDED FCST.

05

&&

.AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAFS...

AT 6 PM STRONG WARM FRONT SITTING TO S OF TAF SITES WITH SECONDARY
WARM FRONT/LAKE BREEZE FROM S OF GYY S DPA-RFD. A FEW TS FIRING ON
FRONT VCNTY RFD. TO NOT EXPECT MAIN FRONT TO PUSH N OF TAF SITES
THRU THIS PERIOD. EXPECT TS TO SLOWLY BUILD ESE THRU NIGHT ALONG
FRONT, ESPECIALLY AS IA TS COMPLEX MOVES ESE. AT THIS TIME EXPECT TS
TO CONTINUE VCNTY RFD BUT HOLD OFF IN CHI TAFS TIL ABOUT 05Z. WILL
BE CLOSE ON THIS. MAJOR OTHER PROBLEM IS THE 2ND FRONT. IFR CIGS
LAST FEW HOUR FROM PWK N. EXPECT THIS TO SLOWLY SINK S THRU EVE AND
GET INTO ORD AREA. EVENTUALLY WILL GO S OF THERE BUT NOT TIL TS COME
INTO PICTURE. MAIN TS EXPECTED E OF TAFS BY 12Z WITH GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT THEN FROM IFR LEVELS THRU MORNING.
AF
&&

.LOT...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...FLOOD WATCH THRU NOON SATURDAY FOR IROQUOIS...FORD...
LIVINGSTON AND KANKAKEE COUNTIES.
.IN...FLOOD WATCH THRU NOON SATURDAY FOR BENTON...NEWTON AND
JASPER COUNTIES.
. LK MI...NONE.

&&

IMPORTANT NOTICE...EFFECTIVE JUNE 15...THE AWIPS IDENTIFIER FOR
THIS PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM CHIAFDCHI TO CHIAFDLOT. THE WMO
HEADER FXUS63 KLOT WILL NOT CHANGE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
500 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>022-023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019
-121100-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DU PAGE-COOK-
LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD-
LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
500 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

THIS PORTION OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE... TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL FURTHER
AGGREVATE ANY FLOOD SITUATION.  NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND BANKFULL
STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA MAY QUICKLY FLOOD WITH RENEWED HEAVY
RAINFALL. STORMS DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN IOWA THIS EVENING
ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX LATE
TONIGHT AND PERSIST OVER THE REGION...ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT. THE STORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY COULD ALSO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE
NWS CHICAGO WEBPAGE: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LOT (LOWER CASE)

LMZ740>746-766-121100-
WINTHROP HARBOR IL TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
LAKE MICHIGAN-
500 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

THIS PORTION OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS
AND INDIANA WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE... TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN LATER
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY...SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT...AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE
NWS CHICAGO WEBPAGE: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LOT (LOWER CASE)

MERZLOCK

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1255 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JOLIET                  41.53N 88.12W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE FLOODED VEHICLES ON BRIGGS ST BETWEEN SPENCER
            AND LARAWAY RDS.

1206 AM     FLOOD            JOLIET                  41.53N 88.12W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            RESIDENTIAL BASEMENT FLOODING IN THE AREA OF MORAN AND
            CLEMENT RDS.

1208 AM     TSTM WND DMG     JOLIET                  41.53N 88.12W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF RAYNOR AVE. AND
            RICHMOND ST.

1215 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FRANKFORT               41.50N 87.84W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING AND PEA SIZED HAIL AT HARLEM RD. AND RT. 30.

1200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FOX RIVER GROVE         42.20N 88.22W
06/12/2004                   MCHENRY            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING ON RT. 14 FROM THE FOX RIVER TO RT. 22,
            CONTINUING 2 MILES EAST.

&&

ASK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1258 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTYVILLE            42.28N 87.97W
06/12/2004                   LAKE               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADS CLOSED AT RT 45 AND RT 137 IN LIBERTYVILLE AND
            WADSWORTH RD IN BEACH PARK.

&&

ASK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
103 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PLAINFIELD              41.62N 88.20W
06/11/2004                   WILL               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING AT CATON FARM AND DRAUDEN RDS.

1218 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PLAINFIELD              41.62N 88.20W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            8 TO 10 INCHES OF WATER ON THEODORE RD. EAST OF COUNTY
            LINE RD.

1225 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BOURBONNAIS             41.16N 87.88W
06/12/2004                   KANKAKEE           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING AT RT. 45 AND IL 102.

&&

ASK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
126 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 AM     FLOOD            JOLIET                  41.53N 88.12W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            DUPAGE RIVER OVER BANKS AT RT. 52 WEST OF ESSINGTON. GAGE
            READING 4.5 FEET.

0116 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JOLIET                  41.53N 88.12W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            DITCHES FULL AT RT. 30 AND CATON FARM RD. WATER OVER ROAD
            AT HENNEPIN RD. AND RT. 30.

0104 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JOLIET                  41.53N 88.12W
06/12/2004                   WILL               IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            18 INCHES OF WATER OVER ROADWAY AT RIVER RD. AND RT. 52
            AND BLAT RD. DEBRIS IN ROADWAY.

&&

ASK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
133 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NAPERVILLE              41.76N 88.15W
06/12/2004                   DUPAGE             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STREET FLOODING AT RIVER RD. AND WILSHIRE BLVD.

0130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      AURORA                  41.77N 88.29W
06/12/2004                   KANE               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1 LANE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT SULLIVAN RD. AND RT. 31.
            2.15 INCHES TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

ASK