Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 337, NWS Louisville, KY

July 22, 2004Butler County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 22, 2004, 5:59 PM CDT for Butler County, Kentucky. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 22, 2004, 5:59 PM CDT (22:59 UTC)
Expired: Jul 22, 2004, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Butler County, KY

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 22, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 459 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -207 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 923 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLMK 222259
SVRLMK
KYC031-222345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
559 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 553 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 15 MILES NORTH OF MORGANTOWN TO 13 MILES WEST OF MORGANTOWN...
  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MORGANTOWN BY 610 PM CDT

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NEAREST LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
AND HAVE THEM RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN LOUISVILLE.

LAT...LON 3707 8692 3711 8689 3714 8693 3720 8691
      3729 8681 3733 8681 3731 8676 3739 8662
      3735 8652 3715 8643 3719 8649 3719 8662
      3701 8668

$$

JARVIS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 22, 2:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 2:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 44 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
315 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)

IMMEDIATE THREAT IS STORM DEVELOPMENT TO OUR NORTHWEST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. RADAR/SATELLITE SHOWING MAIN CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. THIS SHOULD TRACK EAST FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE POSSIBLY
TURNING SOUTHEAST AND CLIPPING THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE CWFA. OF
ADDITIONAL CONCERN HOWEVER IS NEW DEVELOPMENT AROUND 19Z IN
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS WHICH WILL LIKELY AFFECT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWFA THIS EVENING. END RESULT IS TO HAVE STORMS IN THE FORECAST
TONIGHT. WITH PWAT APPROACHING TWO INCHES WILL MENTION HEAVY RAIN.

COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH FRIDAY BRINGING
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ALONG WITH IT. SHOWERS AND STORMS
SHOULD THEN MOVE JUST SOUTH OF KENTUCKY FRIDAY EVENING WITH DRY
WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTH...THOUGH WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON A SHALLOW TROF STRETCHING
FROM THE GULF TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...

UPPER AIR PATTERN AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL
FEATURE A TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL PORTION OF THE UNITED
STATES AND HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. ALTHOUGH THIS HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO THE EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL BRING PERIODS OF MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVERRUNS COOLER AIR AT THE SURFACE. SEVERAL
DIFFICULT TO TIME UPPER AIR FEATURES WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HAVE PLACED A CHANCE OF CONVECTION FOR
THIS PERIOD THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
WILL BEGIN TO CLOSE OFF ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
BRING SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

13/JSD

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 11:43 AM CDT, 6 hours 16 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1243 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-230900-
ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK KY-CLARK IN-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON KY-HARRISON IN-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON KY-JEFFERSON IN-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALF KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT KY-SCOTT IN-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON KY-WASHINGTON IN-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISVILLE...LEXINGTON...BOWLING GREEN...
WINCHESTER...VERSAILLES...STANFORD...SHELBYVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...
RICHMOND...HARRODSBURG...HARDINSBURG...GLASGOW...FRANKLIN...
FRANKFORT...ELIZABETHTOWN...DANVILLE...CYNTHIANA...COLUMBIA...
BARDSTOWN...NEW ALBANY...JASPER AND CORYDON
419 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF A LINE FROM MADISON INDIANA...TO
LOUISVILLE...TO JASPER INDIANA. A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

HEAT INDEX READINGS OF UP TO 100 TO 105 ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON,
ESPECIALLY IN THE URBAN AREAS. CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED BY
THOSE OUTSIDE FOR PROLONGED PERIODS OF TIME. REMEMBER TO DRINK
PLENTY OF WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE AREA AGAIN ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
DROPS SOUTH ACROSS OUR REGION. ALTHOUGH THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE, GUSTY WINDS, LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN COULD
ACCOMPANY THE STORMS. SCATTERED THUNDEERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 22, 4:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
540 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELIZABETHTOWN           37.70N 85.87W
07/22/2004                   HARDIN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ACROSS BLUEGRASS PARKWAY AND CARS
            BLOWN OFF ROAD.

&&

WAIDLEY

Local storm report, Jul 22, 5:01 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
601 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     TSTM WND GST     CAREFREE                38.24N 86.36W
07/22/2004  0 MPH            CRAWFORD           IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            50 TO 60 MPH REPORTED.

&&

WAIDLEY

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 5:05 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
605 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

KYZ023-024-026-027-230000-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-GRAYSON KY-HANCOCK KY-OHIO KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARDINSBURG
605 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

AT 505 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS DAVIESS AND MCLEAN COUNTIES IN
KENTUCKY.  THESE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.  THE STORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS HANCOCK...OHIO...WESTERN GRAYSON AND BRECKINRIDGE
COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT.  THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS...INTENSE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND POSSIBLY SOME HAIL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

JARVIS

Local storm report, Jul 22, 5:23 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
623 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FREDERICKSBURG          38.43N 86.19W
07/22/2004                   WASHINGTON         IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 150.

&&

WAIDLEY

Local storm report, Jul 22, 5:46 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
646 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     BATTLETOWN              38.07N 86.30W
07/22/2004  60 MPH           MEADE              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WIND GUST OR HIGHER.

&&

WAIDLEY

Local storm report, Jul 22, 5:56 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
656 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUNDEE                  37.55N 86.78W
07/22/2004                   OHIO               KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN DUNDEE.

&&

WAIDLEY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 22, 2:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	18 min
Jul 22, 3:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	23 min
Jul 22, 3:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin, Larue, Nelson	38 min
Jul 22, 5:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	52 min
Jul 22, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Jefferson	35 min
Jul 22, 5:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Ohio	60 min
Jul 22, 5:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	29 min
Jul 22, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Nelson	47 min
Jul 22, 6:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue	38 min
Jul 22, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Marion	41 min
Jul 22, 6:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Taylor	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.