Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 313, NWS Louisville, KY

July 13, 2004Fayette County, Jessamine County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 13, 2004, 9:38 PM EDT for Fayette County, Jessamine County, Kentucky. It was in force for 52 min. 25 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 13, 2004, 9:38 PM EDT (01:38 UTC)
Expired: Jul 13, 2004, 10:30 PM EDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Fayette County, KY, Jessamine County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	TOBACCO WAREHOUSE ROOF PEELED BACK.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	TOBACCO WAREHOUSE ROOF PEELED BACK.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	TOBACCO WAREHOUSE ROOF PEELED BACK.
Jul 13, 9:40 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Lexington, KY	TOBACCO WAREHOUSE ROOF PEELED BACK.
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Lexington, KY	REPORTED IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF LEXINGTON.
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Lexington, KY	REPORTED IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF LEXINGTON.
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Lexington, KY	REPORTED IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF LEXINGTON.
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Lexington, KY	REPORTED IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF LEXINGTON.
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Lexington, KY	REPORTED IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF LEXINGTON.
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Lexington, KY	REPORTED IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF LEXINGTON.
Jul 13, 10:20 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 65	5 E Nicholasville, KY
Jul 13, 10:20 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 65	5 E Nicholasville, KY
Jul 13, 10:20 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 65	5 E Nicholasville, KY
Jul 13, 10:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Nicholasville, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN. TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.
Jul 13, 10:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Nicholasville, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN. TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.
Jul 13, 10:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Nicholasville, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN. TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.
Jul 13, 10:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Nicholasville, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN. TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.
Jul 13, 10:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Nicholasville, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN. TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.
Jul 13, 10:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Nicholasville, KY	SEVERAL TREES DOWN. TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 13, 6:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1107 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -32 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1550 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLMK 140138
SVRLMK
KYC067-113-140230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
937 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FAYETTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LEXINGTON
  JESSAMINE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 1030 PM EDT

* AT 934 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
  IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEXINGTON TO 29 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF NICHOLASVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  NICHOLASVILLE AND LEXINGTON BY 950 PM EDT

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS

VERY INTENSE...CONSTANT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS

LAT...LON 3819 8446 3812 8463 3786 8472 3774 8459
      3788 8440 3805 8432

$$

JB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 13, 2:30 PM EDT, 7 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 2:30 PM EDT, 7 hours 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

.SHORT TERM...(TNGT THROUGH FRI).

FOCUS ON POTENTIAL SEVERE EVENT TONIGHT.

SPC HAS OUTLOOKED OUR NRN FA WITH A MODERATE RISK WITH A SLGT RISK
IN THE S. EXPECT STRONG TO SEVERE LINEAR MCS TO DEVELOP UPSTREAM
ACRS UPR OH/MSP VLYS AHEAD OF STRONG SHRT WV TROF MOVG TOWARD LOWER
GREAT LAKES. ONE LIKELY TORNADIC SUPERCELL HAS DEVELOPED IN NRN IL
ATTM FED BY EXTREME INSTAB/LOW LVL MSTR (CAPES IN EXCESS OF
5000/LIFTED INDICES OF -15 AND DEWPOINTS NEAR 80.) FORWARD
PROPAGATING MCS SHUD BE IN THE MATURE/POSSIBLY WEAKENING PHASE OF
ITS EVOLUTION LATE TNGT WITH A LEADING SQUALL LINE/TRAILING
STRATIFORM DYNAMIC SYS WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND AS NOTED
BY SPC (BOWHEAD TORNADOES...I.E., POSSIBLE TORNADOES JUST POLEWARD
OF THE BOW APEX).

TIMING OF MCS AND WESTWARD EXTENT IN QUESTION. STORMS SHOULD MOVE
RAPIDLY SEWD THIS EVENING WITH INCRSG/DEEPENING NWWD FLO...FASTER
THAN MODELS...THINKING IS ARND SUNSET ACROSS OUR SRN INDIANA
COUNTIES AND PERHAPS ARND MIDNIGHT IN OUR SERN COUNTIES. WILL LEAVE
HIEST POPS (50)IN THE BLUEGRASS REGION (LEX) AND 40 ELSEWHR.

EARLY WED MORNING STORMS MAY STILL BE ONGOING ACRS OUR SRN FA AHEAD
OF CDFNT PROGGED INTO CNTRL KY 12 UTC WED. MUCH DRIER AMS IN WAKE OF
FRONT OVERSPREADS OUR FA FROM LATE WED MRNG ON INTO FRI AS CURRENT
RIDGE OVER THE NRN PLAINS SLIDES SEWD.

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN IN THE EXTENDED.
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A DEEP PERSISTENT TROF
IN THE EAST THAT WILL BE CONTINUOUSLY REINFORCED BY SMALLER H5 WAVES
ROTATING THROUGH.  WITH RESPECT TO THE POSITION OF THE H5
TROF...WELL BE IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.  MAIN
FORECAST FEATURES WILL BE THESE INDIVIDUAL SMALLER H5 WAVES THAT
TRAVEL WITHIN THE MEAN FLOW. THE FIRST OF THESE IS FORECAST TO
IMPACT THE AREA ON SATURDAY.  THUS...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND RAISED POPS
SLIGHTLY FOR SATURDAY AND WILL CONTINUE LOW CHC POPS FOR SUNDAY.
AFTER THAT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS EASTWARD AND SFC HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES IN.  THIS WILL RESULT IN PARTLY SUNNY AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER CONDITIONS FOR MON/TUE.  AS FOR TEMPERATURES...00Z
OPERATIONAL NUMBERS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE
MEANS...SO WILL ONLY MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS.

&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

KIRKPATRICK/JARVIS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 6:20 PM EDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
620 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-140900-
ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK IN-CLARK KY-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-HARRISON KY-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALFE KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT IN-SCOTT KY-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-WASHINGTON KY-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA...DANVILLE...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG...
HARRODSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE...
NEW ALBANY...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...STANFORD...
VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER
620 PM EDT (520 PM CDT) TUE JUL 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. A COMPLEX OF POTENTIALLY
SEVERE STORMS WILL DROP INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA AFTER 7 PM EDT (6 PM
EST/CDT)...AND MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER AND INTO CENTRAL
KENTUCKY AFTER 8 PM EDT. DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...WITH A POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ALSO.

SINCE THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE AT NIGHT, HAVE YOUR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO READY TO WAKE YOU UP IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA. IN ADDITION...LAW ENFORCEMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ARE
REQUESTED TO RELAY REPORTS TO NWS LOUISVILLE.

JB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:19 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
919 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEITCHFIELD             37.48N 86.29W
07/13/2004                   GRAYSON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:23 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
923 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEW CASTLE              38.43N 85.17W
07/13/2004                   HENRY              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:24 PM EDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
924 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHEPHERDSVILLE          37.99N 85.71W
07/13/2004                   BULLITT            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRESS AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:31 PM EDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
931 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     TSTM WND GST     MORGANTOWN              37.22N 86.70W
07/13/2004  0 MPH            BUTLER             KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. FUNNEL CLOUDS REPORTED BY
            PUBLIC.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:35 PM EDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
935 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROWNSVILLE             37.19N 86.26W
07/13/2004                   EDMONSON           KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES AND TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY. ONE FUNNEL
            CLOUD REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:37 PM EDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
937 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TSTM WND GST     FRANKLIN                36.73N 86.57W
07/13/2004  80 MPH           SIMPSON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SZAPPANOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 13, 8:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham, Trimble	61 min
Jul 13, 8:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Grayson, Ohio	54 min
Jul 13, 8:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry	46 min
Jul 13, 8:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin	60 min
Jul 13, 8:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Shelby	57 min
Jul 13, 8:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Nelson, Spencer	50 min
Jul 13, 8:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Edmonson, Hart	63 min
Jul 13, 8:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue	46 min
Jul 13, 8:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin	66 min
Jul 13, 8:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Barren, Warren	63 min
Jul 13, 9:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Marion, Taylor	60 min
Jul 13, 9:02 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson, Washington	58 min
Jul 13, 9:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Logan, Simpson	71 min
Jul 13, 9:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Metcalfe	64 min
Jul 13, 9:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Mercer	53 min
Jul 13, 9:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair, Cumberland, Monroe, Woodford	63 min
Jul 13, 9:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle	44 min
Jul 13, 9:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey	53 min
Jul 13, 9:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clinton, Russell	60 min
Jul 13, 9:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard, Lincoln	57 min
Jul 13, 9:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Madison	74 min
Jul 13, 11:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	42 min
Jul 14, 12:22 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	38 min
Jul 14, 1:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue	37 min
Jul 14, 1:33 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham	27 min
Jul 14, 1:57 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen	33 min
Jul 14, 3:00 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Washington	30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.