Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 292, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 13, 2004, 6:57 PM CDT for Breckinridge County, Hancock County, Meade County, Kentucky. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2004, 6:57 PM CDT (23:57 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2004, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 48 min
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Breckinridge County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Meade County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1575 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -36 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 937 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 100 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 13, 1:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 1:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 230 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004 .SHORT TERM...(TNGT THROUGH FRI). FOCUS ON POTENTIAL SEVERE EVENT TONIGHT. SPC HAS OUTLOOKED OUR NRN FA WITH A MODERATE RISK WITH A SLGT RISK IN THE S. EXPECT STRONG TO SEVERE LINEAR MCS TO DEVELOP UPSTREAM ACRS UPR OH/MSP VLYS AHEAD OF STRONG SHRT WV TROF MOVG TOWARD LOWER GREAT LAKES. ONE LIKELY TORNADIC SUPERCELL HAS DEVELOPED IN NRN IL ATTM FED BY EXTREME INSTAB/LOW LVL MSTR (CAPES IN EXCESS OF 5000/LIFTED INDICES OF -15 AND DEWPOINTS NEAR 80.) FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS SHUD BE IN THE MATURE/POSSIBLY WEAKENING PHASE OF ITS EVOLUTION LATE TNGT WITH A LEADING SQUALL LINE/TRAILING STRATIFORM DYNAMIC SYS WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND AS NOTED BY SPC (BOWHEAD TORNADOES...I.E., POSSIBLE TORNADOES JUST POLEWARD OF THE BOW APEX). TIMING OF MCS AND WESTWARD EXTENT IN QUESTION. STORMS SHOULD MOVE RAPIDLY SEWD THIS EVENING WITH INCRSG/DEEPENING NWWD FLO...FASTER THAN MODELS...THINKING IS ARND SUNSET ACROSS OUR SRN INDIANA COUNTIES AND PERHAPS ARND MIDNIGHT IN OUR SERN COUNTIES. WILL LEAVE HIEST POPS (50)IN THE BLUEGRASS REGION (LEX) AND 40 ELSEWHR. EARLY WED MORNING STORMS MAY STILL BE ONGOING ACRS OUR SRN FA AHEAD OF CDFNT PROGGED INTO CNTRL KY 12 UTC WED. MUCH DRIER AMS IN WAKE OF FRONT OVERSPREADS OUR FA FROM LATE WED MRNG ON INTO FRI AS CURRENT RIDGE OVER THE NRN PLAINS SLIDES SEWD. .EXTENDED DISCUSSION (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN IN THE EXTENDED. UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A DEEP PERSISTENT TROF IN THE EAST THAT WILL BE CONTINUOUSLY REINFORCED BY SMALLER H5 WAVES ROTATING THROUGH. WITH RESPECT TO THE POSITION OF THE H5 TROF...WELL BE IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAIN FORECAST FEATURES WILL BE THESE INDIVIDUAL SMALLER H5 WAVES THAT TRAVEL WITHIN THE MEAN FLOW. THE FIRST OF THESE IS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE AREA ON SATURDAY. THUS...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND RAISED POPS SLIGHTLY FOR SATURDAY AND WILL CONTINUE LOW CHC POPS FOR SUNDAY. AFTER THAT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS EASTWARD AND SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN. THIS WILL RESULT IN PARTLY SUNNY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR MON/TUE. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...00Z OPERATIONAL NUMBERS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS...SO WILL ONLY MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && KIRKPATRICK/JARVIS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 5:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 620 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-140900- ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK IN-CLARK KY- CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY- FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY- HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-HARRISON KY-HART KY-HENRY KY- JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY- MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALFE KY-MONROE KY- NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN- RUSSELL KY-SCOTT IN-SCOTT KY-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY- TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-WASHINGTON KY- WOODFORD KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN... CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA...DANVILLE... ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG... HARRODSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE... NEW ALBANY...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...STANFORD... VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER 620 PM EDT (520 PM CDT) TUE JUL 13 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. A COMPLEX OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL DROP INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA AFTER 7 PM EDT (6 PM EST/CDT)...AND MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER AND INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY AFTER 8 PM EDT. DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT...WITH A POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ALSO. SINCE THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE AT NIGHT, HAVE YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO READY TO WAKE YOU UP IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. IN ADDITION...LAW ENFORCEMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ARE REQUESTED TO RELAY REPORTS TO NWS LOUISVILLE. JB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 13, 6:32 PM CDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
732 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 PM TSTM WND GST JASPER 38.39N 86.94W
07/13/2004 70MPH DUBOIS IN AMATEUR RADIO
WIND GUST TO 70 MPH.
&&
SZAPPANOSLocal storm report, Jul 13, 6:37 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
737 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM TSTM WND DMG ORLEANS 38.66N 86.45W
07/13/2004 ORANGE IN AMATEUR RADIO
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.
0735 PM TSTM WND DMG ORLEANS 38.66N 86.45W
07/13/2004 ORANGE IN AMATEUR RADIO
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.
&&
SZAPPANOSLocal storm report, Jul 13, 6:52 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
752 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM TSTM WND DMG MILLTOWN 38.34N 86.27W
07/13/2004 CRAWFORD IN EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.
&&
SZAPPANOSLocal storm report, Jul 13, 6:54 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
754 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0751 PM TSTM WND DMG SIBERIA 38.23N 86.73W
07/13/2004 PERRY IN AMATEUR RADIO
NUMEROUS TREES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN. WIND GUST TO 65 MPH.
&&
SZAPPANOSLocal storm report, Jul 13, 6:55 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
755 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0740 PM TSTM WND DMG SALEM 38.60N 86.10W
07/13/2004 WASHINGTON IN LAW ENFORCEMENT
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
&&
SZAPPANOSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson | 61 min |
| Jul 13, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Orange, Washington | 54 min |
| Jul 13, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Dubois | 44 min |
| Jul 13, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Harrison | 42 min |
| Jul 13, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Scott | 51 min |
| Jul 13, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Perry | 34 min |
| Jul 13, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Floyd | 46 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.