Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 266, NWS Louisville, KY

July 6, 2004Marion County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 6, 2004, 6:13 PM EDT for Marion County, Kentucky. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 6, 2004, 6:13 PM EDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired: Jul 6, 2004, 7:00 PM EDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Marion County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 6, 2:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1048 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -150 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 936 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLMK 062213
SVRLMK
KYC155-062300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
613 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 700 PM EDT

* AT 611 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14
  MILES WEST OF LEBANON...OR ABOUT 49 MILES SOUTH OF LOUISVILLE...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LEBANON BY 630 PM EDT

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3747 8535 3748 8548 3756 8552 3771 8542
      3764 8535 3762 8527 3762 8505 3742 8506
      3742 8510 3745 8514 3745 8521 3742 8528

$$
XXV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 6, 1:25 PM EDT, 4 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 1:25 PM EDT, 4 hours 48 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
125 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

.SHORT RANGE (DAYS 0-3)...
SCT TSRA DEVELOPING QUICKLY IN VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER MID MS
RIVER VLY ATTM MVG NEWD TOWARD LMK FA. ADDITIONAL SCT ACTIVITY
POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF FA IN ASSOC WITH OUTFLOW BDY THAT SETTLED
INTO CEN KY, BUT 700MB RIDGE AXIS IN VICINITY SEEMS TO BE
SUPPRESSING CELLS FOR TIME BEING. OVERALL CONVECTION HAS POTL TO
ORGANIZE INTO LINEAR SYSTEM, WITH MODEST VERTICAL SPEED SHEAR
OBSERVED ON KLVX VWP. SVR POTL SHOULD INCR INTO AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS, PER SPC DAY ONE MDT RISK OVER NEARLY 1/2 OF THE FA,
WITH WIND DMG AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS. CLUSTERS OF TSRA LOOK TO
CONTINUE INTO OVERNIGHT HOURS, MORE IN ASSOC WITH APPROACHING SFC
COLD FRONT. THIS FEATURE DROPS INTO SRN/ERN KY WED AFTERNOON,
FOCUSING BEST PCPN CHCS THERE, WITH DRYING TREND IN STORE FOR
THU/FRI AS UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING BUILDS IN. XXV

.LONG RANGE (DAYS 4-7)...
EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY WITH
TRANSLATING THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN FROM AN AMPLIFIED SOLUTION
TO A ZONAL SOLUTION OVER MUCH OF NORTH AMERICA.  AT THE
SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD SWAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST U.S. INCLUDING THE OHIO VALLEY.  WITH
RIDGING ALOFT AND AT THE SFC...MOSTLY SUNNY DAYS AND MOSTLY CLEAR
NIGHTS ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM
WILL BE TIMING OF WEAK PERTURBATIONS IN THE FAST H5 FLOW.  THE 00Z
GFS BRINGS THE FIRST OF TWO WEAK WAVES INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ON TUESDAY.  WITH SUCH GOOD CONSISTENCY IN THE
RUNS...WE PLAN ON MAKING LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED FCST FOR
NOW.  WILL KEEP A CHC OF AFTERNOON/EVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.  TEMPERATURES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE MUCH OF A
PROBLEM AS THE OPERATIONAL NUMBERS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS.  -JARVIS

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 12:45 PM EDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1245 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-070800-
ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK IN-CLARK KY-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-HARRISON KY-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALFE KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT IN-SCOTT KY-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-WASHINGTON KY-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA...DANVILLE...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG...
HARRODSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE...
NEW ALBANY...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...STANFORD...
VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER
1245 PM EDT (1145 AM CDT) TUE JUL 6 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS,
ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT, IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SOMETIME TONIGHT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED A
MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, MAINLY
FOR NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA. A SLIGHT RISK
EXISTS ELSEWHERE. THE PRIMARY THREATS WOULD BE FROM VERY HIGH WIND
GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL, ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE
AGAIN DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSES
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

XXV

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 6, 5:37 PM EDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
537 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             LOUISVILLE               38.25N 85.56
07/06/2004                   JEFFERSON           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.00 HAIL

&&

LD

Local storm report, Jul 6, 5:50 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
550 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAGRANGE                 38.42N 85.40W
07/06/2004                   OLDHAM              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINE AND TREES DOWNED COUTNY WIDE

&&

LD

Local storm report, Jul 6, 5:58 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
558 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     HAIL             SPRINGFIELD              37.69N 85.22W
07/06/2004                   WASHINGTON          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.00 HAIL

&&

LD

Local storm report, Jul 6, 6:03 PM EDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
603 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BEDFORD                  38.59N 85.31W
07/06/2004                   TRIMBLE             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS LARGE LIMBS DOWN

&&

LD

Local storm report, Jul 6, 6:04 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
604 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND         FRANKLIN                 36.73N 86.53W
07/06/2004  60 MPH           SIMPSON             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LD

Local storm report, Jul 6, 6:12 PM EDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
612 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WNDDMG      CAMPBELLSBURG          38.52N 85.20W
07/06/2004                   HENRY              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

             POWER LINES DOWN

&&

LD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 6, 3:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock	35 min
Jul 6, 3:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Ohio	62 min
Jul 6, 4:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler	20 min
Jul 6, 4:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Grayson	38 min
Jul 6, 4:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Jefferson	39 min
Jul 6, 5:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Logan	25 min
Jul 6, 5:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham	34 min
Jul 6, 5:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Taylor	17 min
Jul 6, 5:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Trimble	36 min
Jul 6, 5:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	40 min
Jul 6, 5:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Shelby	39 min
Jul 6, 5:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Washington	47 min
Jul 6, 5:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Simpson	28 min
Jul 6, 5:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue	26 min
Jul 6, 5:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hart	31 min
Jul 6, 6:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen	40 min
Jul 6, 6:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Cumberland	39 min
Jul 6, 6:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin, Shelby	29 min
Jul 6, 6:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle	37 min
Jul 6, 6:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green	36 min
Jul 6, 6:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Taylor	43 min
Jul 6, 6:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clinton, Woodford	30 min
Jul 6, 6:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Scott	36 min
Jul 6, 6:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Lincoln	32 min
Jul 6, 6:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard	31 min
Jul 6, 7:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair	34 min
Jul 6, 7:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Harrison	47 min
Jul 6, 7:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey	43 min
Jul 6, 7:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Madison	39 min
Jul 6, 7:24 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Lincoln	36 min
Jul 6, 7:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon	27 min
Jul 6, 7:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard	41 min
Jul 6, 7:38 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Bourbon	22 min
Jul 6, 7:38 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Bourbon	37 min
Jul 6, 7:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Nicholas	43 min
Jul 6, 7:43 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Casey	32 min
Jul 6, 7:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Fayette	29 min
Jul 6, 7:50 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas	2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.