Severe Thunderstorm Warning 78, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
400 AM CDT WED JUN 02 2004

SYNOPTIC PATTERN REMAINS BASICALLY UNCHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS AND
NOT MUCH CHANGE IS INDICATED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MINOR
POCKETS OF ENERYGY WILL OCNTINUE TO MOVE EWD THRU THE SRN ROCKIES AND
THEN TURN SEWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. PRECIP WATER VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 1.5 INCHES AND A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS SO THAT SCATTERED
SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT. SMALL AREA OF TSTMS IN
THE LFT AREA THIS AFTN WILL MOVE EWD THIS EVEN FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER AREA
OF SHOWERS/TSTMS NOW OVER OK/WRN AR WHICH SHOULD MOVE SEWD TONIGHT POSSIBLY
MOVING SEWD OVER THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THU. OVER THE NEXT
7 DAYS POPS SHOULD RANGE IN THE 40 TO 50 PCT (SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMAT) MAINLY
DAYTIME BUT AS USUAL IN THE NWLY FLOW TIMING WILL BE THE MAIN
PROBLEM.

&&

PRELIMINARY POINT NUMBERS...
MCB 68 85 67 86 / 40 50 30 40
BTR 72 88 71 86 / 40 50 30 40
MSY 75 88 74 88 / 30 50 30 40
GPT 75 87 71 86 / 30 50 30 20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...NONE.

&&

05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
430 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2004

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-021700-
AMITE-ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
WALTHALL-WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
430 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL AND COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES AND FOR THE AREA EAST OF ST LANDRY
AND NORTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TO INCLUDE PEARL RIVER AND HANCOCK
COUNTIES UNTIL 800 AM THIS MORNING. A STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED DAMAGING WINDS OF 60
TO 80 MPH OVER WEST AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA EARLIER THIS MORNING.
EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESS ACTIVE OF FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...IS
REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.