Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS New Orleans, LA

000 
WGUS74 KLIX 172318
FFSNEW
MSC005-180015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
616 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR AMITE COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM 
CDT...

AT 604 PM...SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED FLOODING OF COLEMAN ROAD IN 
NORTHERN AMITE COUNTY BETWEEN LIBERTY AND SMITHDALE.  

AT 615 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A NEARLY STATIONARY LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHERN AMITE COUNTY ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 
MILES NORTHEAST OF GILLSBERG TO 9 MILES WEST OF GILLSBERG.

FLOODING FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ACROSS 
NORTHERN AMITE COUNTY AND ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
ACROSS SOUTHERN AMITE COUNTY THROUGH 8 PM. 

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&

$$

22

000 
WGUS74 KLIX 180027
FFSNEW
MSC005-180100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
726 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR AMITE COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM 
CDT...

AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF AMITE COUNTY. ALTHOUGH 
RAINFALL INTENSITY HAD DECREASED...EARLIER RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF 3 
TO 6 INCHES FROM JUST EAST OF LIBERTY TO JUST SOUTHWEST OF SMITHDALE 
WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO PERSIST IN SOME LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH 8 PM.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

$$

22

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
300 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

.DISCUSSION...WET WEATHER CONTINUES TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES ITS WAY SLOWLY
EASTWARD AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNSTABLE AND VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE LATEST NWP GUIDANCE DOES NOT OFFER TOO MUCH HOPE
FOR CLEARING CONDITIONS STARTING TOMORROW WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
APPEARING TO REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE REGION PROVIDING ANOTHER GOOD
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR TUESDAY. THERE MAY BE A
GLIMMER OF HOPE FOR SOME RELIEF FOR THE WET WEATHER BY WEDNESDAY AS
WEAK RIDGING EXPANDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS HELPING TO USHER THE
UPPER TROUGH FURTHER TO THE EAST. AT THE SURFACE...NO CHANGE
EXPECTED AS A BROAD ATLANTIC HIGH CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE CENTRAL
GULF KEEPING SOUTHERLY FLOW IN PLAY ACROSS THE REGION. EVEN THOUGH
THE UPPER TROUGH MAY WORK ITS WAY EASTWARD...THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW
ALONG WITH MODEST ISENTROPIC SUPPORT SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDER MOST LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
&&

PRELIMINARY POINT NUMBERS...
MCB 67 82 65 85 / 30 60 20 40
BTR 67 83 65 85 / 30 60 20 40
MSY 71 84 70 84 / 30 60 20 40
GPT 70 81 70 83 / 30 60 20 40
&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
SE LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1115 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-181100-
AMITE-ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
WALTHALL-WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
1115 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL  AND COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

.LOCALIZED FLOODING...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE
STORMS...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. IN
ADDITION...BECAUSE OF THE EXCESSIVE RAIN FROM THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG
STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLOODING THREAT...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS. THE THUNDERSTORMS THOUGH ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE THRESHOLDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY...DIMINISHING TO ISOLATED THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF
THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...IS
NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND FIRST
RESPONSE AGENCIES ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION AND
FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF POSSIBLE FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.