Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 166, NWS North Platte, NE

July 3, 2004Chase County, Hayes County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2004, 5:45 PM MDT for Chase County, Hayes County, Nebraska. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2004, 5:45 PM MDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2004, 6:45 PM MDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS North Platte, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Chase County, NE, Hayes County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 3, 3:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 75 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -414 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1760 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLBF 032345
SVRLBF
NEC029-085-040045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
545 PM MDT SAT JUL 3 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  HAYES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
  CHASE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 645 PM MDT(745 PM CDT)

* AT 639 PM CDT(539 PM MDT)...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
  INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING   
  QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE   
  EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF HAYES CENTER TO 24 MILES WEST 
  OF IMPERIAL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  IMPERIAL AROUND 605 PM MDT
  CHAMPION AROUND 610 PM MDT
  ENDERS AROUND 625 PM MDT
  HAYES CENTER AROUND 735 PM CDT
  WAUNETA AROUND 640 PM MDT
  HAMLET AROUND 745 PM CDT

LAT...LON 4059 10203 4070 10153 4069 10099 4061 10080
      4059 10078 4042 10079 4035 10115 4035 10183
      4044 10204

$$

MASEK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 1:23 PM MDT, 4 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 1:23 PM MDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
223 PM CDT SAT JUL 3 2004

...FORECAST CHALLENGES ARE PRECIP CHANCES AND ASSOC COVERAGE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
12Z U/A ANALYSIS INDICATES H5 SHORTWAVE EXTENDING FROM ALONG THE
ND/MT BORDER SWWRD INTO WRN WY. THIS IS REFLECTED ON WV IMAGERY AS A
CIRCULATION CNTR NR SHR WY. TIMING OF THIS SHORTWAVE INDICATES SOME
RAPID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH PEAK HEATING. ACCUS
IN THE NEBR PANHANDLE INDICATIVE OF MID LEVEL INSTABILITY. QUESTION
IS NOT IF CONVECTION WILL MOVE THROUGH FA THIS AFTN EVENING BUT
RATHER DEGREE OF COVERAGE. FEELING IS THAT ACCUS THIS MORNING AND
RAPID CONGESTION OF CU INDICATES PSBL BOUNDARY ALIGNED FROM NEAR
OSHKOSH TO HAYES CENTER WHICH WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND BE A
FOCUS FOR DEEP CONVECTION THIS EVENING. WILL MENTION LG HAIL DMG
WINDS THIS EVENING AS 0-6KM SHEAR ADEQUATE AT 30-40KTS. A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT OUT ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AFTN AND SUNDAY
NIGHT. WELL DEVELOPED LEESIDE TROUGH WILL BRING SERLY WINDS AND SB
CAPES 1500-2500 J/KG IN THE AFTERNOON. BEST FOCUS SHOULD BE FROM THE
PNHDL INTO NC KS BEGINNING SUN AFTN INTO SUNDAY NIGHT INTO AREA OF
HIGHEST THETA-E. SEVERE WX AGAIN PSBLE. AS UPPER TROUGH ADVANCES
ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS MONDAY THUNDERSTORM CHC WILL
CONTINUE.CHCS DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT AND END TUESDAY AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THIS WILL BRING A COOLING TREND WITH LOWER 70S
NORTH AND UPPER 70S SOUTH ON MONDAY THEN MID 70S EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY.

.WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT
AT 00Z FRI WRT H5 HEIGHT FIELDS AS H5 LOW CENTER NEAR ALBERTA
SASKATCHEWAN BORDER. DIFFLUENT REGION ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS AS WELL
AS RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET. CHCS TAIL OFF TO SLIGHT CHC
FRI INTO EARLY SAT. TEMPS TO BE SEASONABLE IN THE MID 80S AS HOTTEST
AIR BOTTLED UP IN THE SWRN U.S.

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

ROBERG

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 2:15 PM MDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 3 2004

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-040214-
ARTHUR-BLAINE-BOYD-BROWN-CHASE-CUSTER-DEUEL-EASTERN CHERRY-FRONTIER-
GARDEN-GARFIELD-GRANT-HAYES-HOLT-HOOKER-KEITH-KEYA PAHA-LINCOLN-
LOGAN-LOUP-MCPHERSON-PERKINS-ROCK-SHERIDAN-THOMAS-WESTERN CHERRY-
WHEELER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AINSWORTH...ARNOLD...ARTHUR...BASSETT...
BIG SPRINGS...BREWSTER...BROKEN BOW...BURWELL...CHAPPELL...CURTIS...
GORDON...GRANT...HAY SPRINGS...HAYES CENTER...IMPERIAL...MULLEN...
NORTH PLATTE...ONEILL...OGALLALA...OSHKOSH...RUSHVILLE...SPENCER...
SPRINGVIEW...STAPLETON...TAYLOR...THEDFORD...TRYON AND VALENTINE
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 3 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED EARLY TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT...ALTHOUGH STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA WILL SEE THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER HOWEVER
THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN IS NEAR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 83. STORMS
THAT DEVELOP OVER THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA WILL MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD ACCOMPANY THE
STRONGEST STORMS AND PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY...SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. THE AREA
OF GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA IN THE AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS AND PRODUCE MINOR
FLOODING.

MONDAY...SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING. SUNDAY AND MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY ALSO BE NEEDED SPOTTER ACTIVATION.

MASEK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
518 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             4 WNW KEYSTONE          41.24N 101.66W
07/03/2004  1.75 INCH        KEITH              NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF DEPUTY REPORTED GOLF BALL HAIL AT MARTIN BAY JUST
            NORTH OF KINGSLEY DAM.

&&

MASEK

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
530 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TORNADO          5 N OGALLALA            41.20N 101.72W
07/03/2004                   KEITH              NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CONSERVATION OFFICER REPORTED BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
            OVER OPEN WATER OF THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE MCCONAUGHY.

&&

MASEK

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:34 PM MDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
534 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     HAIL             3 WNW KEYSTONE          41.24N 101.64W
07/03/2004  4.25 INCH        KEITH              NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            KEYSTONE FIRE CHIEF REPORTED BASEBALL TO SOFTBALL SIZE
            HAIL ON THE NORTH SIDE OF KINGSLEY DAM

&&

MASEK

Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:12 PM MDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
612 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0609 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 N PAXTON              41.20N 101.36W
07/03/2004                   KEITH              NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PAXTON FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD 4 1/2 MILE
            NORTH OF PAXTON.

&&

MASEK

Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:18 PM MDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
618 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     HAIL             ELSIE                   40.85N 101.39W
07/03/2004  0.75 INCH        PERKINS            NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF REPORTED 3/4 INCH HAIL IN THE CITY OF ELSIE

&&

MASEK

Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:25 PM MDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
625 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     17 S MULLEN             41.80N 101.04W
07/03/2004                   HOOKER             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BUTTLER

The office that day

Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 2, 6:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Chase	67 min
Jul 2, 6:52 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Keith	53 min
Jul 2, 6:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Perkins	66 min
Jul 2, 7:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Keith, Lincoln	59 min
Jul 2, 8:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Lincoln	60 min
Jul 3, 3:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Garden	64 min
Jul 3, 3:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Keith	66 min
Jul 3, 4:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Cherry, Grant, Hooker	24 min
Jul 3, 4:42 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	LBF	Keith	33 min
Jul 3, 5:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Lincoln, Perkins	60 min
Jul 3, 5:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Cherry, Grant, Hooker	55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.