Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 130, NWS North Platte, NE

June 15, 2004Frontier County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2004, 12:32 AM CDT for Frontier County, Nebraska. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2004, 12:32 AM CDT (05:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2004, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS North Platte, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Frontier County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 53 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-209 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2258 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
298 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLBF 150532
SVRLBF
NEC063-150600-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1233 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FRONTIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 100 AM CDT

* AT 1229 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FRONTIER COUNTY...OR ABOUT 23 MILES SOUTHWEST
  OF ELWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN FRONTIER COUNTY AROUND 1250 AM CDT

LAT...LON 4045 10027 4028 10030 4021 9992 4044 9988

$$

SPRINGER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 2:22 PM CDT, 10 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 2:22 PM CDT, 10 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
222 PM CDT ON JUN 14 2004

...FROPA ON TUESDAY AND ASSOCIATED TEMPS AND CONVECTION AND COOLING
TREND IN LATER PERIODS ARE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES...

.DISCUSSION...
THETA-E ADVECTION RETURNS IN EARNEST TONIGHT AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS INTO
IA/MO. 30KT LLVL JET KICKS IN AFTER 03Z TONIGHT. WEAK WAVES UPSTREAM
IN SRN WY/NRN CO MOVE IN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION
DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. MU CAPES 850-700 MB INCREASE TO AROUND
200 J/KG INDICATES AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND FEEL THAT ONLY A VERY
WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BE ENOUGH TO DEVELOP SMALL MCS IN CNTRL FA
OVERNIGHT WHICH IN MOVE ENE. ON TUESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
NWRN FA AS SFC LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS FROM CNTRL INTO SWRN NEBR. VERY
UNSTABLE EAST OF ANW TO LBF WHICH IS WHERE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
MOST LIKELY. AMPLE 0-6KM SHEAR 30-50 KTS. LOCALIZED HIGH SHEAR ALONG
FRONT WILL AID IN SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO
PRIMARILY NEAR AND SOUTHEAST OF A BRADY TO ONEIL LINE. HIGHS WILL
CONTRAST FROM 90 FAR SOUTHEAST TO THE UPPER 70S NW. FAIRLY STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT AT 310K TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL
KEEP AT LEAST CHC POPS ACROSS SERN FA BEHIND THE FRONT. MAINLY
CLOUDY WEDNESDAY AND MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS NEAR 70. DRY AND
PLEASANT THU WITH HIGHS MID 70S AS SFC HIGH IN CONTROL.

IN THE MEDIUM RANGE...PREFER THE LESS AMPLIFIED SOLUTIONS OF THE 06Z
GFS/00Z ECMWF/CANADIAN/UKMET KEEPING MORE TROUGHING INTO THE PAC NW
AND LESS TROUGHING IN THE CENTRAL CONUS. MOST LIKELY TIMEFRAME FOR
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO BE THU NIGHT/FRIDAY. HAVE
ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWN SOME FRI/SAT TO THE LOWER MID 70S WITH GFS
CONSISTENT WITH BRINGING DOWN COOL AIR ORIGINATING IN HUDSON BAY
AREA. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE AND NW FLOW DISPLACE BETTER MOISTURE TO
OUR SOUTHEAST SAT THROUGH MONDAY WITH NO POPS INTRODUCED.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE FROM 80 TO 85 EACH DAY.

&&

.LBF...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

KAR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 3:30 PM CDT, 9 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
330 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-151100-
ARTHUR-BLAINE-BOYD-BROWN-CHASE-CUSTER-DEUEL-EASTERN CHERRY-FRONTIER-
GARDEN-GARFIELD-GRANT-HAYES-HOLT-HOOKER-KEITH-KEYA PAHA-LINCOLN-
LOGAN-LOUP-MCPHERSON-PERKINS-ROCK-SHERIDAN-THOMAS-WESTERN CHERRY-
WHEELER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AINSWORTH...ARNOLD...ARTHUR...BASSETT...
BIG SPRINGS...BREWSTER...BROKEN BOW...BURWELL...CHAPPELL...CURTIS...
GORDON...GRANT...HAY SPRINGS...HAYES CENTER...IMPERIAL...MULLEN...
NORTH PLATTE...ONEILL...OGALLALA...OSHKOSH...RUSHVILLE...SPENCER...
SPRINGVIEW...STAPLETON...TAYLOR...THEDFORD...TRYON AND VALENTINE
330 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
TONIGHT...SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM HYANNIS IN GRANT COUNTY TO
BROKEN BOW IN CUSTER COUNTY. A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG THE KANSAS
NEBRASKA BORDER WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY FROM THE
NORTHWEST WITH A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTOMS  TO DEVELOP
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ONEILL
IN HOLT COUNTY TO ARNOLD IN CUSTER COUNTY TO EUSTIS IN FRONTIER
COUNTY WHERE THERE IS BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM OSHKOSH IN GARDEN
COUNTY TO VALENTINE IN CHERRY COUNTY.

THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE TUNDERSTORMS BOTH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT.

POWER

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.