Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Jacksonville, FL

June 26, 2004Flagler County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 26, 2004, 6:47 PM EDT for Flagler County, Florida. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 26, 2004, 6:47 PM EDT (22:47 UTC)
Expired: Jun 26, 2004, 7:30 PM EDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Flagler County, FL

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1754 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

614 
WUUS52 KJAX 262247
SVRJAX
FLC035-262330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
647 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN FLAGLER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 730 PM EDT

* AT 647 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARINELAND TO 16 MILES SOUTH OF
  BUNNELL...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES WEST OF CRESCENT
  BEACH TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF BARBERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM THROUGH 730 PM EDT...
  ESPANOLA...
  BUNNELL...
  PALM COAST AND MARINELAND...
  FLAGLER BEACH...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 800-499-1594 TO REPORT
SEVERE WEATHER.


LAT...LON 2941 8115 2928 8115 2927 8135 2962 8135
      2965 8132 2963 8130 2966 8125 2966 8120
      2944 8110
$$

ZAPPE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 26, 2:40 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 2:40 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
240 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 8 PM...

.SHORT TERM...WILL BE BRIEF AS SQUALL LINE JUST W OF THE CWA WILL BE
PUSHING INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT HOUR. 850H LLVL JET AND
MID LEVEL DYNAIMCS DRIVING THE MCS TODAY WILL PUSH NE OF THE
FORECAST AREA FOR SUNDAY...ALLOWING FOR MORE CLIMO TYPE POPS...
WHILE MONDAY WILL FEATURE ANOTHER LOW PRES SYSTEM TRACK JUST N OF
THE REGION WITH TRAILING SQUALL LINE FEATURES IMPACTING THE CWA AND
INTERACTING WITH SEA BREEZES ACRS NE FL...AND THUS THE PUSH TO A
MORE LIKELY POP COVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS WILL ATTEMPT TO MAKE A
PUSH NORTHWARD OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY MID WEEK...THEN RE-FORM
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND. SWLY FLOW
SHOULD BE REPLACED BY A MORE SELY FLOW BY THE THU/FRI/SAT TIME
FRAME. 00Z GFS ENSEMBLES STILL SHOW CLIMO TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE POPS
WITH MOISTURE ASSOCD WITH EASTERLY WAVES POSSIBLY MOVING IN FROM
THE ATLANTIC. STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINITY WITH THIS PATTERN SHIFTM
AND HAVE LEFT POPS NEAR CLIMO (40-50%) ACRS MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA.
&&

.MARINE...NO HEADLINES. MARINERS WILL NEED TO MONITOR EVOLUTION OF
SQUALL LINE CLOSELY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 70 92 72 91 / 20 30 30 60
SSI 76 90 76 88 / 20 20 30 50
JAX 72 92 73 91 / 20 40 30 60
SGJ 74 89 75 88 / 20 30 20 50
GNV 71 92 72 91 / 10 40 30 60
OCF 72 93 72 91 / 10 30 30 60
&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

HESS/TRABERT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 26, 1:48 PM EDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
148 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-271000-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-COLUMBIA-
DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-
JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-
WAYNE-
148 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM ...

ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA INCLUDING
BAKER...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...HAMILTON...NASSAU...ST JOHNS AND SUWANNEE
COUNTIES ARE IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT. CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THE WATCH AREA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND
HAIL...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS WILL BE GENERALLY TO THE EAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH...
BUT MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOWER AND MORE ERRATIC ALONG THE EAST COAST
SEABREEZE AND IN THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COUNTIES NOT INCLUDED IN THE
WATCH AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

TRABERT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 26, 6:12 PM EDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
612 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E ROCHELLE            29.60N 82.13W
06/26/2004                   ALACHUA            FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON CR 2082 AND TREES DOWN ON HOLDEN
            ROAD...POSSIBLY DUE TO A TORNADO. ALL REPORTED IN THE
            HAWTHORNE AREA.

&&

HESS

Local storm report, Jun 26, 6:16 PM EDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
616 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ORANGE PARK             30.17N 81.70W
06/26/2004                   CLAY               FL   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ALL OVER ORANGE PARK.
            KINGSLEY AVENUE CLOSED FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. REPORTS OF
            POSSIBLE TORNADOES PRODUCING THE DAMAGE.

&&

HESS

Local storm report, Jun 26, 6:23 PM EDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
623 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             ORANGE PARK             30.17N 81.70W
06/26/2004  0.88 INCH        CLAY               FL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF NICKEL SIZE HAIL. COUPLE OF TREES DOWN
            IN THE AREA AROUND MOODY ROAD AND SUZANNE AVENUE

&&

HESS

Local storm report, Jun 26, 6:32 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
632 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLEN ST. MARY           30.27N 82.16W
06/26/2004                   BAKER              FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            911 DISPATCH REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE
            COUNTY. CONCENTRATION IS ALONG HIGWAY 90 FROM SAMDERSON
            TO GLEN ST MARY TO MACCLENNY.

&&

HESS

Local storm report, Jun 26, 6:41 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
641 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JENNINGS                30.60N 83.11W
06/26/2004                   HAMILTON           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            911 DISPATCH REPORTS POWERLINES DOWN IN JENNINGS.

&&

HESS

Local storm report, Jun 26, 6:45 PM EDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
645 PM EDT SAT JUN 26 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S HOMERVILLE          31.02N 82.75W
06/26/2004                   CLINCH             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            911 DISPATCH REPORTS TREES DOWN ALONG CR 187 ABOUT 1 MILE
            SOUTH OF HOMERVILLE.

&&

HESS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 25, 8:12 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	JAX		63 min
Jun 26, 4:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Marion	48 min
Jun 26, 4:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Hamilton	27 min
Jun 26, 4:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Clay, Duval	49 min
Jun 26, 5:02 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	JAX		58 min
Jun 26, 5:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Putnam	41 min
Jun 26, 5:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Baker, Union	47 min
Jun 26, 5:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Alachua	41 min
Jun 26, 5:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Saint Johns	39 min
Jun 26, 5:23 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	JAX		67 min
Jun 26, 5:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Nassau	47 min
Jun 26, 5:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Duval, Saint Johns	48 min
Jun 26, 5:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Duval, Nassau	45 min
Jun 26, 5:59 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	JAX		2 hr
Jun 26, 6:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Alachua, Putnam	44 min
Jun 26, 6:18 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	JAX		117 min
Jun 26, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Duval, Nassau	46 min
Jun 26, 6:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Saint Johns	43 min
Jun 26, 6:51 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	JAX		114 min
Jun 26, 7:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Putnam, Saint Johns	47 min
Jun 26, 7:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Flagler	45 min
Jun 26, 7:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Marion	42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.