Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
928 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

.PUBLIC...CONVECTION OFF TO ANY EARLY START TODAY AS SCATTERED TSRA
MOVE INLAND FROM THE GOMEX ACROSS OUR FL ZONES. THIS ACTIVITY IS
BEING GENERATED BY MID LVL SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE FL PANHANDLE
AND SWLY FLOW CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR ALOFT OVER MUCH OF JAX COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA) AND AN UPR
LVL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT
APPROACHES OUR WESTERN ZONES. THE MEAN LAYER BERMUDA RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDS ACROSS THE FL STRAITS. THE KJAX SOUNDING CAME IN UNSTABLE
WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL (SW) FLOW THROUGH 450 MB. TEMPS ARE ALREADY
RISING INTO THE UPR 70S WITH DEW PTS IN THE LOWER 70S. PATCHY
MORNING FOG IS GRADUALLY BURNING OFF AS INSOLATION INCREASES.

FOR THE UPDATE...WILL REMOVE AFTN WORDING IN THE ZONES FOR
CONVECTION AND UP TEMPS A TAD BASED ON MOS BEING JUST A DEG OR TWO
LWR THAN OBS THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL LIMIT
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE TO 30-40% WITH THE GREATEST CHC OVER OUR FL
ZONES FROM JAX-LIVE OAK WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE RESIDES. EXPECT
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE WEST COAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH EARLY
AFTN AS THE BERMUDA RIDGE SLOWLY SHIFTS NWD. THIS WILL VEER LOW LVL
FLOW MORE WESTERLY AND SHIFT THE STRONGEST MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE
INTO OUR FL ZONES...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. WILL ALSO HAVE
A HIGHER CHC ALONG OUR FL EAST COAST ZONES LATE THIS AFTN DUE THE
SEABREEZE INTERACTING WITH CONVECTION FROM THE WEST.

&&

.MARINE...NO CHANGES PLANNED TO THE FORECAST. THE KING NEPTUNE
(LOCAL CRAFT) REPORTED SSW WINDS 15 KTS ABOUT 12NM OFFSHORE OF
MAYPORT AROUND 9 AM AND SEAS 2-3 FT. THIS IS RIGHT ON TRACK WITH THE
CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

ENYEDI/SHASHY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1120 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-071003-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
1120 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COUNTIES WHERE THE SEABREEZE FRONTS
AND DEEPER MOISTURE WILL EXIST. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...STRONG WIND
GUSTS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.
STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AROUND 15 MPH.

IF OUTDOORS THIS AFTERNOON...PLEASE SEEK SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER IF
STORMS MOVE INTO YOUR AREA. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE SEVERAL
MILES AWAY FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM AND GUSTY WINDS CAN PRECEDE
ANY THUNDERSTORM AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA. MARINERS...
THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF THREATS TO BOATER SAFETY FROM
BOTH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING.  YOUR BEST COURSE OF ACTION
DURING THUNDERSTORMS IS TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR...BUT IF YOU ARE
CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER...STAY BELOW DECK...IF POSSIBLE...AND
AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR
YOUR AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

MZ/ARS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1225 PM EDT SUN JUN 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     HAIL             GAINESVILLE             29.67N 82.34W
06/06/2004  < 0.75 INCH      ALACHUA            FL   PUBLIC

&&

ARS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1230 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

FLZ025-032-037-061715-
CLAY FL-DUVAL FL-PUTNAM FL-
1230 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CLAY...DUVAL AND
PUTNAM COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL
115 PM EDT...

AT 1230 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
KINGSLEY...OR ABOUT 12 MILES EAST OF RAIFORD...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH. THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS FROM
BALDWIN TO MIDDLEBURG TO DOCTORS INLET...AND INTERLACHEN THROUGH 115
PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

ENYEDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
109 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

FLZ040-061800-
MARION FL-
109 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MARION COUNTY FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 109 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES EAST OF CITRA...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
SPARR...FORT MCCOY...CITRA...BURBANK...ANTHONY...ORANGE SPRINGS AND
HOG VALLEY THROUGH 200 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FORM NEAR OCALA THROUGH 2 PM.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
128 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

FLZ024-GAZ164-061830-
CHARLTON GA-NASSAU FL-
128 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NASSAU AND
CHARLTON COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL
230 PM EDT...

AT 128 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HILLIARD...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
AFFECT AREAS AROUND CALLAHAN...HILLIARD AND ST GEORGE THROUGH 230 PM
EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
155 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

GAZ165-166-061845-
COASTAL CAMDEN GA-INLAND CAMDEN GA-
155 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CAMDEN COUNTY FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORM HAIL VALID UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 155 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES SOUTH OF COLESBURG...OR ABOUT 6
MILES SOUTH OF WOODBINE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
WOODBINE...KINGSLAND...COLESBURG...HARRIETTS BLUFF AND DOVER BLUFF
THROUGH 245 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

ENYEDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
202 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

FLZ037-040-061845-
MARION FL-PUTNAM FL-
202 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MARION AND PUTNAM
COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 245 PM
EDT...

AT 202 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES NORTH OF LYNNE...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
LYNNE...SALT SPRINGS AND JUNIPER SPRINGS THROUGH 245 PM EDT. HAIL UP
TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

SHASHY