Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1000 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

.UPDATE...12Z JAX SOUNDING AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE DEEP
COLUMN OF MOIST TROPICAL AIR ACROSS THE REGION. 500 MB TEMPS HAVE COOLED
TWO DEGREES LAST 24 HOURS TO -10C. THE MODIFIED CAPE WAS 3100J.
WSR 88D INDICATING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...FORMING ALONG AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...EXTENDING FROM THE NE GULF COAST TO JUST WEST OF
MARION COUNTY. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING EAST AND WILL BE IMPACTING
MARION COUNTY THIS MORNING. A FAST MOVING MCS WAS PRODUCING
STORMS OFF THE LA AND AL COASTS. COULD SEE OUTFLOWS FROM THE MCS
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD HELP
PRODUCE STORMS. ALSO...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WAS INDICATING DRIER AIR
ALOFT ACROSS SW GA AND FL PANHANDLE MOVING EAST. AS THIS DRIER AIR
ALOFT MOVES IN THIS AFTERNOON...THIS WOULD DECREASE STORM COVERAGE
BUT INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AGAIN ESPECIALLY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. ALL IN ALL...PREVIOUS FCST PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD WITH
MENTION OF SCATTERED STORMS (40%). MAY NEED TO UPDATE LATER TO
ADDRESS POSSIBLE SEVERE WX.
&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

PP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1142 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-031000-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
1142 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ESPECIALLY ALONG AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. VERY WARM AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL INTERACT WITH THE SEA BREEZE AS WELL AS AN
APPROACHING COMPLEX OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR
YOUR AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

TRABERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1054 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

FLZ040-021545-
MARION FL-
1054 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MARION COUNTY FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 1145 AM EDT...

AT 1054 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
5 MILES NORTHWEST OF RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES TO 13 MILES SOUTH OF
RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF BEVERLY
HILLS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES...ROMEO...OCALA
AIRPORT...LOWELL...SANTOS...OCALA...SUMMERFIELD AND SPARR THROUGH
1145 AM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

PETERSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1153 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

FLZ040-021645-
MARION FL-
1153 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MARION COUNTY FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 1245 PM EDT...

AT 1153 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER LAKE WEIR...OR ABOUT 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF THE VILLAGES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND LAKE
WEIR...BELLEVIEW...MOSS BLUFF AND LYNNE THROUGH 1245 PM EDT. HAIL UP
TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

DEESE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1156 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

FLZ037-021645-
PUTNAM FL-
1156 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUTNAM COUNTY FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 1245 PM EDT...

AT 1156 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
WELAKA...OR ABOUT 8 MILES WEST OF POMONA PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND WELAKA...SATSUMA...SAN MATEO AND PALATKA THROUGH 1245 PM EDT.
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

DEESE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1220 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

FLZ038-021700-
FLAGLER FL-
1220 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLAGLER COUNTY FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 100 PM EDT...

AT 1220 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ANDALUSIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND ANDALUSIA...ESPANOLA AND
PALM COAST THROUGH 100 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

DEESE