Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Wilmington, NC

May 8, 2004Robeson County, North Carolina

NWS Wilmington, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 8, 2004, 6:46 PM EDT for Robeson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2004, 6:46 PM EDT (22:46 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2004, 7:15 PM EDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, NC
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Robeson County, NC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2004-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2004-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -66 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-462 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1254 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

297 
WUUS52 KILM 082246
SVRILM
NCC155-082315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
646 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ROBESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT

* AT 639 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST. PAULS...OR 10 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF LUMBERTON...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   ST. PAULS AROUND 715 PM

MORE DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AND AFFECT OTHER COMMUNITIES
IN THE WARNED AREA.

IF YOU OBSERVE SEVERE WEATHER OR WEATHER RELATED DAMAGE...REPORT IT
TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY THE
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN WILMINGTON
NC.

LAT...LON 3471 7891 3473 7887 3490 7895 3483 7906

$$

TRA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 8, 3:57 PM EDT, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 8, 3:57 PM EDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
357 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

NCZ097-100-101-SCZ034-046-091100-
BRUNSWICK-GEORGETOWN-HORRY-NEW HANOVER-PENDER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...GEORGETOWN...MYRTLE BEACH...
SOUTHPORT...WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH
357 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

CORRECTED FOR EARLY EVENING PRECIPITATION

.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
LOWS 60 TO 65. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S...EXCEPT AROUND 80 AT
THE BEACHES. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60 TO 65. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S...EXCEPT AROUND 80 AT
THE BEACHES. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60 TO 65. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10
MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S...EXCEPT AROUND 80 AT
THE BEACHES.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 60 TO 65.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 80 TO 85...EXCEPT UPPER 70S AT THE
BEACHES.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 60 TO 65.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S...EXCEPT UPPER 70S AT THE BEACHES.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S...EXCEPT UPPER 70S AT THE
BEACHES.

NCZ087-096-099-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-091100-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-MARLBORO-ROBESON-
WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FLORENCE...KINGSTREE...LUMBERTON...MARION...
WHITEVILLE
357 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 20
PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5
TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 80 TO 85.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 80 TO 85. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

JAQ
Hazardous weather outlook, May 8, 2:43 PM EDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

NCZ087-096-097-099>101-SCZ017-023-024-032>034-039-046-082045-
BLADEN-BRUNSWICK-COLUMBUS-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-GEORGETOWN-
HORRY-MARION-MARLBORO-NEW HANOVER-PENDER-ROBESON-WILLIAMSBURG-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE. SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE EVENING
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

JAQ

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 8, 2:49 PM EDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

NCZ087-096-097-099>101-SCZ017-023-024-032>034-039-046-090200-
BLADEN-BRUNSWICK-COLUMBUS-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-GEORGETOWN-
HORRY-MARION-MARLBORO-NEW HANOVER-PENDER-ROBESON-WILLIAMSBURG-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.

PEOPLE ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT:
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ILM

JAQ
Special weather statement, May 8, 6:06 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

SCZ023-032-082300-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST ALONG A SEA
BREEZE FRONT IN DARLINGTON AND FLORENCE COUNTIES. THESE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT DEADLY
LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. IF THREATENING WEATHER
APPROACHES GO TO A SAFE INDOOR SHELTER.

GF
Local storm report, May 8, 6:13 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
613 PM EDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 PM     HAIL             FLORENCE                34.20N 79.76W
05/08/2004  0.88 INCH        FLORENCE           SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT HOFFMIRE ROAD AND
            I-95

&&

GF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMColumbus42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.