Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Wichita, KS

May 29, 2004Cowley County, Sumner County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 29, 2004, 10:23 PM CDT for Cowley County, Sumner County, Kansas. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 29, 2004, 10:23 PM CDT (03:23 UTC)
Expired: May 29, 2004, 11:15 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Cowley County, KS, Sumner County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 29, 9:45 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3494 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 992 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 195 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 402 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 7.0
Supercell composite: 22.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KICT 300323
SVRICT
KSC035-191-300415-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1022 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT.

* AT 1022 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF MILE POST 25 ON THE KANSAS
  TURNPIKE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES EAST OF WELLINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE
  NEAR OXFORD AROUND 1030 PM CDT...
  NEAR BELLE PLAINE AROUND 1035 PM CDT...
  NEAR UDALL AROUND 1050 PM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...
  WINDS UP TO 60 MILES AN HOUR...

HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY...SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

REPEATING...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUMNER
AND COWLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3747 9742 3719 9714 3747 9664

$$

/HOWERTON

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 29, 4:55 PM CDT, 5 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 4:55 PM CDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
455 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

.DISCUSSION...

LATEST SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING THE DRY LINE LIGHTING UP ACROSS
SOUTHWEST KANSAS ALONG AND WEST OF A ST. JOHN TO JUST WEST OF
MEDICINE LODGE LINE. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST INTO A
MUCH MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHICH WILL CAUSE THEM TO STRENGTHEN
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL
MOST LIKELY AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF HUTCHINSON TO HARPER LINE
BETWEEN 6 AND 7 PM AND NEWTON TO A WELLINGTON LINE BY 9 PM. THESE
STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY BECOME TORNADIC AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AT
SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH.

COX
---------------------------------------------------------------------

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

FORECAST PROBLEM FOCUSED ON SVR WEATHER EVENT THRU TONIGHT.

FORECAST AREA PRESENTLY IN WAKE OF INITIAL SHORTWAVE...WEAK
SUBSIDENCE AND WARM ADVECTION ALOFT YIELDING A STRENGTHENING CAP,
THOUGH BY NO MEANS UNBREAKABLE.  FULL SUNSHINE AND ADVECTION OF LOW
70S DEWPOINTS PRODUCING AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND WEAKENING
CAP.

OUR FOCUS IS ON NEXT WEAK WAVE APPROACHING TX/OK PANHANDLES...LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH FEATURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS WRN/CTRL KS LATER THIS
AFTN.  MODELS SHOW UPPER JET STREAK OVER NRN OK.  VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN GIVEN NEXT APPPROACHING WAVE
COMBINED WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW IN WRN KS.  DRYLINE JUST E OF
DDC-AMA LINE WILL SURGE FURTHER EAST THIS AFTERNOON.  CONDITIONS
LOOK FAVORABLE FOR RAPID SEVERE T-STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG DRYLINE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...PERHAPS STARTING NEAR TRIPLE POINT N OF RSL
AND DEVELOPING SOUTHWARD ALONG DRYLINE.  ANTICIPATE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS, WHICH MAY BE SUSTAINED FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
SIGNIFICANT TORNADO THREAT MAY INCREASE DURING THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS WITH LOWERING LCL HEIGHTS AND INCREASING SHEAR VIA LOW-LEVEL
JET AND BACKING SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF DRYLINE.  MAY SUBSEQUENTLY
SEE NEW DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING ALONG COLDFRONT AS IT MOVES SE
TOWARD OUR FORECAST AREA.

PREVIOUS FORECAST LOOKS TO HAVE EVERYTHING WELL IN HAND.  FOR THIS
PACKAGE, DO NOT PLAN TO EXTEND WIND ADVISORY, THOUGH WINDS WILL BE
CLOSE TO CRITERIA DURING THE EVENING.  ALSO PLAN TO REMOVE LOW POPS
FOR WED/WED NGT WITH HIGH PRES OVER CTRL PLAINS AND FRONT IN SRN OK
PER LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.  ALSO PLAN TO ADD LOW POPS FOR ELEVATED
TSRA FRIDAY NIGHT.  NO OTHER CHANGES PLANNED IN THE AFTERNOON
PACKAGE.

WOLF
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA         64  80  53  80 /  50  10   0   0
HUTCHINSON      63  79  52  80 /  40  10   0   0
NEWTON          64  80  52  80 /  50  10   0   5
ELDORADO        66  80  53  80 /  50  20   0   5
STROTHER FIELD  67  80  53  81 /  50  20   0   0
RUSSELL         58  77  50  76 /  40  10   0   5
GREAT BEND      59  78  50  77 /  30  10   0   0
SALINA          62  78  51  79 /  50  10   0   5
MCPHERSON       63  79  52  79 /  50  10   0   5
COFFEYVILLE     69  81  55  81 /  70  30  10  10
CHANUTE         69  80  54  80 /  70  30  10  10
IOLA            69  79  54  80 /  70  30  10  10
&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 8:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
855 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-301200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
855 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

...MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MORE SEVERE STORMS MAY POP UP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. SOME THESE STORMS WILL BE TORNADIC AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL
OF PRODUCING LONG TRACK TORNADOES. THE STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY
AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A EL DORADO TO WINFIELD LINE BY
MIDNIGHT, AND AREAS TO THE EAST AFTERWARDS. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. MOVEMENT OF THE TORNADIC STORMS
WILL BE EAST-NORTHEAST BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH, WHILE THE HAIL
PRODUCING STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THE STORMS IN SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS WILL MOST LIKELY PUSH INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. DURING THIS TIMEFRAME, THE STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY
CONTINUE TO BE SEVERE AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING LONG TRACK
TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PERSONS SPOTTING
TONIGHT SHOULD BE VERY CAREFUL, ESPECIALLY AFTER SUNSET WHEN IT
BECOMES VERY DIFFICULT TO SPOT TORNADOES.

MORE SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A
COLD FRONT AS IT SAGS INTO CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WOULD BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY, OVER
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS
LATER TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ICT/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

LAWSON/COX

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 29, 9:34 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
934 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 PM     TSTM WND GST     BELLE PLAINE            37.39N 97.28W
05/29/2004  80 MPH           SUMNER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

LFW

Local storm report, May 29, 9:36 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
936 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0936 PM     HAIL             3 W MULVANE             37.48N 97.30W
05/29/2004  1.75 INCH        SEDGWICK           KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

LFW

Local storm report, May 29, 9:51 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
951 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0951 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 N RUSSELL             38.97N 98.85W
05/29/2004  60 MPH           RUSSELL            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LFW

Local storm report, May 29, 10:06 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1006 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HAIL             4 NW RUSSELL            38.93N 98.91W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        RUSSELL            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LFW

Local storm report, May 29, 10:07 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1007 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1006 PM     HAIL             2 W DOUGLASS            37.52N 97.05W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        BUTLER             KS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

LFW

Local storm report, May 29, 10:18 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1018 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     HAIL             4 E ROSE HILL           37.57N 97.06W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

1006 PM     HAIL             4 E ROSE HILL           37.57N 97.06W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LFW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 29, 7:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Harper	55 min
May 29, 7:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Harper	53 min
May 29, 8:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Sumner	60 min
May 29, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Kingman	57 min
May 29, 8:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sedgwick	63 min
May 29, 8:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Sumner	67 min
May 29, 9:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Russell	62 min
May 29, 9:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Sedgwick	54 min
May 29, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler	56 min
May 29, 10:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton, Lincoln, Russell	87 min
May 29, 10:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Ellsworth	89 min
May 29, 11:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Lincoln	64 min
May 29, 11:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ICT	Ellsworth	48 min
May 30, 12:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Saline	86 min
May 30, 12:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Ellsworth, Saline	96 min
May 30, 12:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson	62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.