Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WGUS73 KICT 121152
FFSICT
KSC001-121500-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
645 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALLEN COUNTY UNTIL 1030 AM
CDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE HEAVY RAINS 
HAVE MOVED EAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.  HOWEVER, STREET FLOODING 
CONTINUES TO BE A PROBLEM.

AT 645 AM CDT WEATHER LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED WATER CONTINUES TO 
COVER ROADS ACROSS LOW WATER BRIDGES THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. SPECIFIC 
ROADS BEING AFFECTED BY WATER AROUND THE HUMBOLDT AREA ARE GEORGIA, 
HAWAII, FLORIDA, DELAWARE, AND CONNECTICUT.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING...OR IS
IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS ROADS COVERED BY WATER.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3793 9508 3774 9510 3775 9550 3793 9550

$$

/SPURGEON

NNNN

000 
WGUS73 KICT 121500
FFSICT
KSC001-121600-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
957 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ALLEN COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THAT WATER HAS RECEDED FROM THE ROADS IN 
THE COUNTY. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY CONTINUE IN LOW SPOTS...BUT THE 
THREAT OF SERIOUS FLOODING HAS ENDED. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
IS BEING CANCELLED.

AT 957 AM CDT WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3795 9510 3774 9510 3774 9551 3794 9550

$$

/SPURGEON

NNNN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
341 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY ACTIVE WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE SHAPING UP FOR SOUTHERN KS PLEASE
CHECK BACK FOR FURTHER UPDATES THROUGHOUT THESE TWO DAYS.

TDY-TNGHT
STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 310K SFC WAS THE CULPRIT WHICH
IGNITED SEVERE STORMS OVER EASTERN KS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS.
THIS AREA OF LIFT LOOKS TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST OF THE AREA AND SHOULD
BE OUT OF ARE AREA BY AROUND SUNRISE. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT
SOME EARLY MORNING CONVECTION COULD RE-DEVELOP OVER THE AREA WITH
LIFT ALONG THE 315K SFC TRYING TO TAP DEEPER MSTR MOVING BACK TO THE
WEST...BUT WILL KEEP THINGS DRY FOR NOW. OTHERWISE WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO WESTERN
WYOMING AND THIS IMPULSE WILL RACE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA LATER TDY.
THE AFFECTS FROM THIS WAVE WILL HIT THE AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
LOW CLOUDS WILL TRY TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BUT ANY LOW CLOUDS LOOK TO
QUICKLY ERODE AGAIN FROM W TO E SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY.

TWO BOUNDARIES WILL BECOME FOCUS AREAS FOR TDYS SVR WEATHER
INITIATION. ONE WILL BE THE STRONG OUTFLOW BNDY FROM LAST NIGHTS
CONVECTION CURRENTLY PUSHING SW ACROSS EASTERN KS. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL TRY AND ESTABLISH ITSELF ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LINCOLN
COUNTY SE TOWARDS CHASE COUNTY. MEANWHILE THE DRY LINE WILL MIX EAST
AGAIN AND SET UP OVER S CENTRL KS. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME EXTREMELY
UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. THINGS WILL START OFF
CAPPED AND REMAIN THAT WAY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT THAT SHOULD BE
OVERCOME WITH THE COMBINATION OF STRONG CONVERGENCE OCCURRING ALONG
THE TWO BOUNDARIES AND UPPER SUPPORT FROM APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AXIS. DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG ACROSS
SOUTHERN KS...THUS FAVORABLE FOR A FEW TORNADOES. ONCE AGAIN
DAYSHIFTER WILL MONITOR THESE BOUNDARIES CLOSELY AND MAKE ANY
REQUIRED CHANGES IF NEEDED...AS BOUNDARIES CAN EASILY MOVE AROUND
FROM CURRENT THINKING.

SUN-MON
COULD VERY WELL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SVR STORMS DEVELOP
AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS YET ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE
DRY LINE WILL TRY AND ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER S CENTRL KS YET AGAIN.
HOWEVER FOCUSING BOUNDARY/S LOCATIONS WILL BE TOUGH TO PIN DOWN AT
THIS JUNCTURE GIVEN SATURDAYS EXPECTED ACTIVITY POSSIBLY
CONTAMINATING THINGS. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR LOOK TO BE FAVORABLE
AGAIN FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT.

HEADING INTO MONDAY THE CAP LOOKS TO STRENGTHEN ON MONDAY WHICH
COULD KEEP A LID ON THINGS AND CURRENT LOW POPS SEEM REASONABLE
HERE.

EXTENDED: TUES-FRI
MODELS HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE HANDLING OF EXACT BNDRY
PLACEMENT FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FCST. GFS/ECM IN SOME SORT
OF AGREEMENT ON PUSHING BNDRY SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN KS ON
TUESDAY...BUT TRY TO MIGRATE IT BACK NORTH ON WED INTO THUR. GIVEN
MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND ITS CHANCES OF VERIFICATION NEARLY NIL THIS
FAR OUT IN TIME. WONT MAKE ANY WHOLESALE CHANGES AT THIS JUNCTURE.

&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA         92  72  89  71 /  30  30  30  30
HUTCHINSON      92  69  89  69 /  30  30  30  20
NEWTON          92  71  88  70 /  40  40  40  30
ELDORADO        91  72  88  71 /  30  40  30  30
STROTHER FIELD  92  73  89  71 /  30  30  30  30
RUSSELL         93  65  90  64 /  30  30  20  20
GREAT BEND      93  66  90  66 /  20  20  20  20
SALINA          91  67  88  67 /  40  40  40  30
MCPHERSON       92  69  88  68 /  40  40  30  30
COFFEYVILLE     90  73  87  71 /  20  30  30  30
CHANUTE         88  72  86  71 /  30  40  40  40
IOLA            88  72  86  71 /  30  40  40  40
&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

15/JAKUB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
455 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-121200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
455 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING BEFORE 8 PM. THE
AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. IF A THUNDERSTORM
CAN DEVELOP, IT WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

THERE IS ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER
MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUNDERSTORM AREAL COVERAGE WILL REMAIN CONDITIONAL ON THE STRENGTH
OF THE CAP. IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN DEVELOP, THEY WILL LIKELY RAPIDLY
BECOME SEVERE, WITH LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SATURDAY NIGHT, POSING A HAIL, WIND, AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT. PLEASE
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER
SCENARIO.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. IT
IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE A THREAT.
STAY TUNED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING, BUT MAY
BE NEEDED LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ICT/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KLEINSASSER/JAKUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
122 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     HAIL             5 NW YATES CENTER       37.92N 95.81W
06/12/2004  0.75 INCH        WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0113 AM     HAIL             YATES CENTER            37.87N 95.74W
06/12/2004  1.00 INCH        WOODSON            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0114 AM     HAIL             2 S YATES CENTER        37.84N 95.74W
06/12/2004  1.75 INCH        WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0115 AM     HAIL             2 S YATES CENTER        37.84N 95.74W
06/12/2004  2.50 INCH        WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDOWS BROKEN OUT OF HOME

&&

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
125 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     HAIL             1 NE YATES CENTER       37.88N 95.73W
06/12/2004  1.75 INCH        WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
134 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 AM     HAIL             2 S YATES CENTER        37.84N 95.74W
06/12/2004  0.88 INCH        WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
223 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     HAIL             YATES CENTER            37.87N 95.74W
06/12/2004  2.75 INCH        WOODSON            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS WINDOWS BROKEN OUT IN LOCAL BUSINESSES

&&

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
232 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0149 AM     HAIL             6 W IOLA                37.93N 95.51W
06/12/2004  0.75 INCH        WOODSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
345 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     FLOOD            4 S NEOSHO FALLS        37.95N 95.56W
06/12/2004                   WOODSON            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WILLOW RD. HAD ABOUT 6 INCHES OF WATER COVERING THE ROAD
            FOR ABOUT 30FT.

&&

COX