Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

May 17, 2004Harris County, Montgomery County, Texas

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 17, 2004, 1:56 PM CDT for Harris County, Montgomery County, Texas. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 17, 2004, 1:56 PM CDT (18:56 UTC)
Expired: May 17, 2004, 2:45 PM CDT
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Harris County, TX, Montgomery County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2283 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 554 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 17, 10:43 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 10:43 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1043 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN SHORTWAVE WAS MOVING THROUGH NE TX THIS MORNING...WITH THE TROUGH
AXIS ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF SE TX.  THE PROBLEM OF THE DAY
CONCERNS POPS AND RAINFALL COVERAGE.

THE 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOWED NO CAP OVERHEAD...PW/S RANGING FROM 1.3 AT
CRP TO 1.7 AT LCH...AND LI/S OF -6 TO -8.  EXPECT THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP IN THE AREA OF LIFT AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND SOME TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEA BREEZE.  CURRENTLY
SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10 IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
COUNTIES.  THIS AREA SHOULD MOVE EASTWARD BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE
TROUGH MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST.

LIKE THE CURRENT FORECAST TREND OF HIGHER POPS OVER THE EAST AND
COASTAL AREAS.  HOWEVER...WILL REARRANGE THESE SOMEWHAT AND UP THE
LATE MORNING POPS A BIT.  ANOTHER ITEM TO CONSIDER IS THE HEAVY
RAINFALL POTENTIAL.  THE PW OF 1.3 AT CRP IS LOWER THAN THE NORMAL PW
FOR THIS DATE AT THAT LOCATION.  HOWEVER...1.7 AT LCH IS ABOUT 2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL.  THAT SAID...THE 14Z GPS SOUNDINGS
INDICATE HIGHER PW/S AROUND 1.5 INCHES ARE GENERALLY TOWARD THE LA
BORDER AND THAT A DRYING TREND IS ADVECTING EASTWARD INTO THE AREA
(WITH PW/S OF .9 TO 1.0 INCHES) BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  THUS...
THE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE IN LA AND AM ONLY EXPECTING 1
TO 2 INCH AMOUNTS...GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 45...IN SE TX.

PL-40
41

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 17, 7:00 AM CDT, 6 hours 56 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
700 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-181200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-
GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-
POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
700 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE SPOTTY...GENERALLY AROUND 1/4 INCH.
HOWEVER...ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 45.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 17, 1:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	HGX	Harris	37 min
May 17, 3:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	HGX	Walker	48 min
May 17, 4:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	HGX	Trinity	66 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.