Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 26, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2004, 5:27 PM EDT for Stephens County, Georgia. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 16, 2004, 5:27 PM EDT (21:27 UTC)
- Expired
- May 16, 2004, 6:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 48 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Stephens County, GA
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 220 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -71 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 967 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
595 WUUS52 KGSP 162127 SVRGSP GAC257-162215- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 527 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA * UNTIL 615 PM EDT * AT 527 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4 MILES NORTH OF TOCCOA TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF TOCCOA. THE LINE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... EASTANOLEE AROUND 610 PM EDT. AVALON AROUND 615 PM EDT. PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. LAT...LON 3448 8344 3448 8318 3454 8313 3469 8335 $$ NED
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 2:52 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 16, 2:52 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 252 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 .SHORT TERM... KGSP 88-D SHOWS CONVECTION IN FULL SWING THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA. SEVERAL FACTORS CONTRIBUTING: PRESENCE OF FRONTAL ZONE IN THE REGION...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS...WEAK UPSLOPE AND WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW ALL PRODUCING ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. SOME HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF AVERY AND CALDWELL COUNTIES HAVE RECIEVED OVER 4 INCHES OF RAIN THUS FAR. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF UPPER FORCING SO WOULD EXPECT MUCH OF THIS CONVECTION TO DIE OFF BY SUNDOWN WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. PESKY WEAK UPSLOPE MAY ALLOW SOME SPOTTY CONVECTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE OVERNIGHT AND WILL HOLD ON TO CHANCE POPS IN FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS THROUGH THE PREDAWN. WILL ALSO MENTION PATCHY FOG THERE LATE. REST OF THE FORECAST BASICALLY UNCHANGED WITH PERSISTENT REASONING. FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE SHIFTING NORTH WITH TIME AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF UPPER FORCING. TIME HEIGHTS FROM BOTH ETA AND GFS SUGGEST A RATHER MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION...AND WOULD EXPECT DIURNAL CONVECTION WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITIES NEXT FEW DAYS. WE KEPT CHANCE POPS IN FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWFA MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHT CHANCES AND NO CONVECTIVE WORDING FOR THE EAST...THEN ALL AREAS GETTING A CHANCE OF CONVECTION WEDNESDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .LONG TERM... LIKE THE 12Z GFS TREND OF HIGHER HEIGHTS IN THE EASTERN U.S. FOR DAYS 4 AND 5 AS IT IS NOW CLOSER TO THE 00Z GFS ENSEMBLES AND ECMWF WITH STRONGER RIDGING THAN THE 00Z OPERATIONAL GFS RUN. STILL...WILL NOT BE AS AGGRESSIVE WITH IT/S SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT OF BACK DOOR FRONT THRU VIRGINIA FRIDAY...STALLING IT OUT FURTHER NORTH. SO...THE MAIN RESULT OF THIS PATTERN FOR THE CWFA WILL BE TO KEEP THE TOKEN SUMMER-LIKE DEEP CONVECTIVE CHANCES...THE GREATEST OF WHICH... HOWEVER STILL IN THE LOW CHC RANGE...OVER THE MOUNTAINS EACH DAY AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN. FOR NEXT WEEKEND...OVERALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LOWER HEIGHTS SOME ALL ACRS THE CONUS...BUT L/WV TROUGHING STILL LOOKS A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE IN THE WESTERN U.S...WHICH SHOULD STILL KEEP FLAT RIDGING AS OUR DOMINANT WX FEATURE. CONTINUED JUST DAILY SMALL CHC OR SLIGHT CHC POPS...DIURNALLY DRIVEN...AND MAINLY IN THE MTNS. WITH THE AIRMASS ACRS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. EXPERIENCING LITTLE CHANGE...TEMPERATURES OVERALL WILL BE FAIRLY PERSISTENT FOR DAYS 4-7...ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID-LATE MAY...AND PRETTY SIMILAR TO WHAT WE HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING FOR THE PAST 7-10 DAYS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... GSP 61 82 63 83 / 30 30 30 20 AND 61 82 63 84 / 30 30 30 20 CLT 61 83 62 84 / 30 20 20 20 HKY 60 81 62 83 / 40 30 30 20 AVL 59 78 60 79 / 40 40 40 30 && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SAB/CSH
Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 5:30 AM EDT, 11 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 530 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014- 019-171000- ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC- CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC- CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC- GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC- HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC- MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC- RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA- SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC- 530 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PRIMARILY THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTING IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRIMARILY EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MCAVOY
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 16, 3:05 PM EDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 305 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 GAZ010-NCZ033>035-048>056-058-059-062>069-SCZ001>003-162030- ALEXANDER-AVERY-BUNCOMBE-BURKE NC-CALDWELL-CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-GRAHAM- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC- MADISON NC-MCDOWELL-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-POLK NC-RABUN-RUTHERFORD-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SWAIN- TRANSYLVANIA-YANCEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...CHEROKEE...CLAYTON... FRANKLIN...HENDERSONVILLE...HICKORY...LINCOLNTON...MARION... MORGANTON...NEWLAND...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...SPRUCE PINE...SYLVA... TRYON...WAYNESVILLE 305 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 ...NEARLY STATIONARY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA... AT 255 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN BURKE COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA WHERE PEA SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED BETWEEN 230 AND 250 PM. THESE STORMS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHERE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE LAST HOUR. MANY OTHER STORMS WHERE PRODUCING HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL... PARTICULARLY FROM THE ASHEVILLE VICINITY...TO NEAR CASHIERS NORTH CAROLINA...TO CLAYTON GEORGIA...AND OVER CALDWELL COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA IN THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS. PEOPLE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF NEARLY STATIONARY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT ONE OR TWO MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA SOURCES FOR THE LATEST WEATHER UPDATES. OUTLAW
Special weather statement, May 16, 3:05 PM EDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR TYPO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 305 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 GAZ010-NCZ033>035-048>056-058-059-062>069-SCZ001>003-162030- ALEXANDER-AVERY-BUNCOMBE-BURKE NC-CALDWELL-CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-GRAHAM- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC- MADISON NC-MCDOWELL-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-POLK NC-RABUN-RUTHERFORD-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SWAIN- TRANSYLVANIA-YANCEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...CHEROKEE...CLAYTON... FRANKLIN...HENDERSONVILLE...HICKORY...LINCOLNTON...MARION... MORGANTON...NEWLAND...RUTHERFORDTON...SHELBY...SPRUCE PINE...SYLVA... TRYON...WAYNESVILLE 305 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004 ...NEARLY STATIONARY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA... AT 255 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN BURKE COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA WHERE PEA SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED BETWEEN 230 AND 250 PM. THESE STORMS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHERE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE LAST HOUR. MANY OTHER STORMS WERE PRODUCING HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL... PARTICULARLY FROM THE ASHEVILLE VICINITY...TO NEAR CASHIERS NORTH CAROLINA...TO CLAYTON GEORGIA...AND OVER CALDWELL COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA IN THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS. PEOPLE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF NEARLY STATIONARY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT ONE OR TWO MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA SOURCES FOR THE LATEST WEATHER UPDATES. OUTLAW
Local storm report, May 16, 5:25 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
525 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0517 PM HAIL 5 SW FINGERVILLE 35.08N 82.07W
05/16/2004 0.75 INCH SPARTANBURG SC TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SBKNearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.