Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 180107
FFSGSP
SCC045-180300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
908 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR GREENVILLE
COUNTY...

AT 9 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD GREENVILLE 
COUNTY. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF 
RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTY. AT 9 PM...THE REEDY RIVER AT 
GREENVILLE WAS RIGHT AT 8 FEET...WHICH IS FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER 
WILL LIKELY CLIMB ABOVE 9 FEET LATER THIS EVENING AS THE RAIN 
CONTINUES. 

IN ADDITION TO THE FLOODING ALONG THE REEDY RIVER...OTHER STREAMS 
ARE LIKELY ALREADY RUNNING HIGH AND COULD EXCEED THEIR BANKS AT ANY 
TIME. URBAN AND STREET FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE 
HEAVIEST RAIN...SINCE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN 
MANY OF THESE AREAS.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TRAVELERS REST...TIGERVILLE...TAYLORS...SIMPSONVILLE...MAULDIN...
MARIETTA...GREER...FOUNTAIN INN AND CAESARS HEAD.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3517 8225 3503 8222 3485 8223 3480 8217
      3475 8217 3450 8231 3450 8232 3471 8246
      3478 8245 3500 8253 3502 8258 3506 8256
      3507 8261 3512 8263

$$

LAMB

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 180230
FFSGSP
SCC045-180300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1030 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GREENVILLE COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE AT 11 PM...

AT 1025 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS DIMINISHED AND MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. 
HOWEVER...AN AXIS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS STILL MIGRATING INTO 
THE COUNTY FROM THE WEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. ONLY A QUARTER TO HALF 
INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED. 

THUS FAR...ONLY REPORTS OF MINOR FLOODING HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG 
AREA ROADS NORTH OF GREENVILLE. SOME ADDITIONAL MINOR FLOODING COULD 
OCCUR AS THE WATER FROM EARLIER RAINS MAKES ITS WAY TO STREAMS. THE 
REEDY RIVER IN GREENVILLE IS RUNNING AT ABOUT 7.5 FEET...BUT BARELY 
TOPPED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8 FEET EARLIER THIS EVENING. IT SHOULD 
CONTINUE TO RECEDE AS THE EVENING WEARS ON.  

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3517 8225 3503 8222 3485 8223 3480 8217
      3475 8217 3450 8231 3450 8232 3471 8246
      3478 8245 3500 8253 3502 8258 3506 8256
      3507 8261 3512 8263

$$

LAMB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
712 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2004

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
UPDATING TO RAISE POPS TO CATEGORICAL MOUNTAINS AND LIKELY LEE PER
RADAR TRENDS. MAIN PROBLEM APPEARS TO SHIFTING FROM SEVERE TO
FLOOD POTENTIAL GIVEN TRAINING OF ECHOES UPSTATE SC AND FAR W NC.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 222 PM EDT SAT JUL 17 2004

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
UPPER TROF OVER E US CONTINUES TO DIG SW...WITH MAIN AXIS W OF CWA.
COLD ADVECTION INTO TROF WILL KEEP IT MAINLY W OF AREA FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS...AFTER WHICH IT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE E BUT STILL REMAIN
NEAR THE COAST THROUGH MID WEEK. SFC BOUNDARY LIES JUST TO THE S AND
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY N...EVENTUALLY AFFECTING THE S TO SE PART
OF THE CWA...GENERALLY S OF I-85. ISOLD SEVERE TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE
INTO THIS EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND S OF THIS BOUNDARY. THE BOUNDARY
IS FCST TO REMAIN ALONG THE SE PERIPHERY OF THE CWA THROUGH THIS
EVENING THEN PUSH SLOWLY SE. DEPENDING ON WHERE IT MIGRATES TO
WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL OCCUR SUN AFTN-
EVE. CURRENT MODELS HAVE FRONT SE OF AREA AND PUSH IT OUT TOWARD THE
COAST SUN NIGHT. MON A LITTLE DRYER AS DEEPER MOISTURE STAYS FURTHER
S AND E SO HAVE CHANCE POPS OVER N MTNS...SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE.
WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...TUE GETS A SLIGHT CHANCE AFTN-
EARLY EVE ACROSS CWA.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WILL USE THE 6Z GFS FOR DETAILS IN THE EXTENDED. LIFTING TROF AND
WEAK SFC HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE CWA FOR WED AND THU. LIS REMAIN
MAINLY POSITIVE AND WILL LIMIT POPS TO DIURNAL MTN SH/TS. FRI AND
SAT...A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST...I DO EXPECT
THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN WEST THROUGH SAT. HOWEVER...FLOW AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL BRING UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE LOWER APPALACHIAN REGION.
VERY LITTLE FORCING WILL BE NEEDED FOR A LEAST SCT SH/TS AND WILL
USE CHC POPS WITH HIGHER CHCS OVER THE MTNS. WILL CLOSELY FOLLOW HPC
AND MEX ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS AND DWPTS THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

AVIATION...
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE FA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. WILL
FORECAST SH WITH A MENTION OF CB AT ALL TERMINALS AFTER THE EARLY
PERIOD OF THE TAF. ISENTROPIC LIFT...UPSLOPE...AND WEAK INSTABILITY
SHOULD FUEL SH UNTIL 7Z. IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS AND FOG WILL BECOME
POSSIBLE SUN MORNING DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.
HOWEVER...WITH THIS PACKAGE WILL REMAIN CONSERVATIVE AND WILL ADOPT
MVFR VIS CONDITIONS BETWEEN 9-12Z...EXCEPT KAND AND KAVL WILL TAKE
VIS DOWN TO IFR. WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW SHOULD SCATTER OUT CEILINGS
AND SFC FOG/HAZE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.
&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM (UPDATE)...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
559 AM EDT SAT JUL 17 2004

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-181000-
ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC-
CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC-
HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC-
RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA-
SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC-
559 AM EDT SAT JUL 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT LACK OF INSTABILITY WILL BE
A LIMITING FACTOR TO THE SEVERITY OF THE STORMS...ALTHOUGH SHEAR WILL
BE RELATIVELY STRONG FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IF THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES
MORE UNSTABLE THAN EXPECTED...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE
POSSIBLE. A SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK MAY BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING
IF NEW DATA SUGGESTS THAT MORE INSTABILITY IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

MOORE