Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 120, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

July 7, 2004Jackson County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 7, 2004, 12:21 AM EDT for Jackson County, Michigan. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2004, 12:21 AM EDT (04:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2004, 12:45 AM EDT
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jackson County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 6, 6:15 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2004-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2004-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1353 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 6, 10:55 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 10:55 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 5:46 PM EDT, 6 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
546 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-070916-
ALLEGAN-BARRY-CALHOUN-CLARE-CLINTON-EATON-GRATIOT-INGHAM-IONIA-
ISABELLA-JACKSON-KALAMAZOO-KENT-LAKE-MASON-MECOSTA-MONTCALM-MUSKEGON-
NEWAYGO-OCEANA-OSCEOLA-OTTAWA-VAN BUREN-
546 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO LANSING TILL AROUND MIDNIGHT.
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS...BUT AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.  THE MAIN STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST AT 30
MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE GOING TO FORM JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...WHICH AT 500 PM WAS NEAR CHICAGO...AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE
INTERACTS WITH THAT FRONT IN THE PRESENCE OF WARM...MOIST AND VERY
UNSTABLE AIR CURRENTLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 OVER LOWER MICHIGAN.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGAN TO FORM NEAR CHICAGO AND WILL
SPREAD NORTHEAST INTO LOWER MICHIGAN AFTER 630 PM. THE GREATEST RISK
FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 BETWEEN 630 PM
AND 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECASTED FOR WEDNESDAY.  THESE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.  OTHER STORMS COULD RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND
ALONG WITH WARMER AND MORE HUMID WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

MJS WDM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 6, 8:18 PM EDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
818 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     HAIL             1 N ALBION              42.26N 84.76W
07/06/2004  0.75 INCH        CALHOUN            MI   STORM CHASER

            WINDS GUSTING TO 40-50 KTS.

&&

DGH
Special weather statement, Jul 6, 8:23 PM EDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
823 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

MIZ051-057-064-070500- ALLEGAN-KENT-MONTCALM-
823 PM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

THE TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 582 HAS BEEN CLEARED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF LOWER MICHIGAN. THE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN CENTRAL MICHIGAN
     MONTCALM

IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
     KENT AND ALLEGAN

A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. IF YOU
LIVE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE
LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

WDM
Local storm report, Jul 6, 9:36 PM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 6, 9:39 PM EDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 6, 9:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 6, 10:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRJackson36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.